{
  "schemaVersion": "vultax-feature-mirror-v1",
  "slug": "trader-radar",
  "title": "Prediction Market Trader Activity",
  "description": "The public Polymarket trades above Vultax’s size threshold and the public PnL leaderboard, the trader tables that sit beside Trader Radar.",
  "mirrorSummary": "The public Polymarket trades above Vultax’s size threshold and the public PnL leaderboard, the trader tables that sit beside Trader Radar.",
  "canonicalUrl": "https://vultax.com/features/trader-radar",
  "availability": {
    "status": "live",
    "message": "In the app under Analytics → Radar. The board is read from a dated snapshot of public Polymarket positions and opens without an account."
  },
  "workspace": {
    "label": "Open Trader Radar",
    "url": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/radar"
  },
  "downloads": {
    "json": "https://vultax.com/features/trader-radar/data.json",
    "markdown": "https://vultax.com/features/trader-radar/page.md",
    "schema": "https://vultax.com/features/schema.json"
  },
  "tables": [
    {
      "id": "pm-large-trades",
      "title": "Largest Polymarket trades above the size threshold",
      "description": "The biggest prints returned by the public Polymarket trade endpoint above Vultax’s published size filter.",
      "coverage": "Polymarket only. Source threshold 10000 USD; oldest trade inspected 2026-09-13T20:21:07Z. At most eight largest prints.",
      "columns": [
        {
          "key": "market",
          "label": "Market",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "side",
          "label": "Taker side",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "outcome",
          "label": "Outcome",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "usd",
          "label": "Notional",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "price",
          "label": "Price per share",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "at",
          "label": "Trade time",
          "format": "datetime",
          "unit": "UTC"
        }
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "id": "trade-0",
          "values": {
            "market": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "No",
            "usd": 35254,
            "price": 0.21,
            "at": "2026-09-14T06:43:55.000Z"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-1",
          "values": {
            "market": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "No",
            "usd": 29910,
            "price": 0.997,
            "at": "2026-09-14T07:18:36.000Z"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-2",
          "values": {
            "market": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "No",
            "usd": 24807,
            "price": 0.8,
            "at": "2026-09-14T07:15:04.000Z"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-3",
          "values": {
            "market": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "No",
            "usd": 19940,
            "price": 0.997,
            "at": "2026-09-14T07:19:16.000Z"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-4",
          "values": {
            "market": "Phan Thiet 4: Timofei Derepasko vs Taisei Ichikawa",
            "side": "sell",
            "outcome": "Timofei Derepasko",
            "usd": 18051,
            "price": 0.999,
            "at": "2026-09-14T06:57:25.000Z"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-5",
          "values": {
            "market": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "No",
            "usd": 16000,
            "price": 0.8,
            "at": "2026-09-14T07:13:37.000Z"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-6",
          "values": {
            "market": "Phan Thiet 4: Masamichi Imamura vs Enzo Aguiard",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "Enzo Aguiard",
            "usd": 12380,
            "price": 0.8494548548,
            "at": "2026-09-14T07:15:09.000Z"
          }
        }
      ],
      "notes": [
        "The public trade endpoint returns a capped recent sample. An empty result does not prove no large trades occurred.",
        "A large trade does not identify a person, establish conviction, or predict the outcome of the market it was placed in.",
        "Price is the price paid per share of the named outcome, between 0 and 1 dollar. It is a market observation, not a probability Vultax endorses."
      ],
      "kind": "market-snapshot",
      "status": "fresh",
      "statusReason": "Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.",
      "observedAt": "2026-09-14T07:40:00.000Z",
      "modifiedAt": null,
      "rowCount": 7,
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Vultax traders pack · Polymarket public trade endpoint",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/live/traders.json"
        }
      ],
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/data.json?dataset=pm-large-trades",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/data.csv?dataset=pm-large-trades"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "traders-7d",
      "title": "Polymarket PnL leaderboard · 7d",
      "description": "Public display names and reported PnL from the existing Polymarket leaderboard mirror.",
      "coverage": "Top ten displayed from the source’s 25-row 7d PnL leaderboard sample. This is distinct from Vultax’s observed-performance cohort.",
      "columns": [
        {
          "key": "rank",
          "label": "Rank",
          "format": "number",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "name",
          "label": "Public display name",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "pnl",
          "label": "Reported PnL",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "volume",
          "label": "Reported volume",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        }
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "id": "rank-0",
          "values": {
            "rank": 1,
            "name": "wr0ngw4yb3tt0r",
            "pnl": 249864,
            "volume": 6726122
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "rank-1",
          "values": {
            "rank": 2,
            "name": "0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c",
            "pnl": 110649,
            "volume": 664319
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "rank-2",
          "values": {
            "rank": 3,
            "name": "theowalcott",
            "pnl": 91904,
            "volume": 1423262
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "rank-3",
          "values": {
            "rank": 4,
            "name": "GrandeFromage",
            "pnl": 61735,
            "volume": 50759
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "rank-4",
          "values": {
            "rank": 5,
            "name": "cosmicxbt",
            "pnl": 53507,
            "volume": 162443
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "rank-5",
          "values": {
            "rank": 6,
            "name": "BreakTheBank",
            "pnl": 50261,
            "volume": 334038
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "rank-6",
          "values": {
            "rank": 7,
            "name": "anonymous",
            "pnl": 49748,
            "volume": 1615897
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "rank-7",
          "values": {
            "rank": 8,
            "name": "TKD44",
            "pnl": 45768,
            "volume": 181360
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "rank-8",
          "values": {
            "rank": 9,
            "name": "shadyjdz",
            "pnl": 45314,
            "volume": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "rank-9",
          "values": {
            "rank": 10,
            "name": "ndb1",
            "pnl": 40544,
            "volume": 312528
          }
        }
      ],
      "notes": [
        "Public aliases do not establish identity. Rankings are period-specific observations, not evidence of repeatable returns.",
        "The source rounds amounts and can default missing amounts to zero. No wallet/profile URL is inferred from a display name."
      ],
      "kind": "market-snapshot",
      "status": "fresh",
      "statusReason": "Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.",
      "observedAt": "2026-09-14T07:40:00.000Z",
      "modifiedAt": null,
      "rowCount": 10,
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Vultax traders pack · Polymarket public leaderboard",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/live/traders.json"
        }
      ],
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/features/wallet-intelligence/data.json?dataset=traders-7d",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/features/wallet-intelligence/data.csv?dataset=traders-7d"
      }
    }
  ],
  "research": [
    {
      "title": "Do Profitable Polymarket Traders Stay Profitable? Two Months, 9,949 Wallets",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/research/polymarket-trader-performance-persistence-two-months",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-05",
      "description": "Month-over-month realised P&L for 9,949 Polymarket wallets: activity separates winners from losers more than a leaderboard rank does, and among wallets with ten or more trades in both months, 67% were profitable in both."
    },
    {
      "title": "Best Polymarket Traders: 67% of Last Month's Winners Win Again, and No Leaderboard Says How It Counts",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/research/best-polymarket-traders-leaderboards",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-11",
      "description": "Five Polymarket leaderboards compared on ranking basis, stated method and refresh, against the Vultax measurement of 9,949 wallets: 67.4% of June's profitable wallets were profitable in July, rank correlation 0.83, and one-trade wallets were profitable 12.2% of the time."
    }
  ],
  "related": [
    {
      "slug": "wallet-intelligence",
      "title": "Polymarket Trader Rankings and Wallet Research",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/features/wallet-intelligence"
    },
    {
      "slug": "whale-tracker",
      "title": "Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker"
    },
    {
      "slug": "prediction-desk",
      "title": "Polymarket vs Kalshi: Prediction Market Prices",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/features/prediction-desk"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.",
    "Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero."
  ]
}