{
  "schemaVersion": "vultax-feature-mirror-v1",
  "slug": "whale-tracker",
  "title": "Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin",
  "description": "Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.",
  "mirrorSummary": "Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.",
  "canonicalUrl": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee",
  "availability": {
    "status": "live",
    "message": "The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access."
  },
  "workspace": {
    "label": "Open the Vultax workspace",
    "url": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity"
  },
  "downloads": {
    "json": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.json",
    "markdown": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/page.md",
    "schema": "https://vultax.com/features/schema.json"
  },
  "tables": [
    {
      "id": "pm-large-trades",
      "title": "Largest Polymarket trades above the size threshold",
      "description": "The biggest prints returned by the public Polymarket trade endpoint above Vultax’s published size filter.",
      "coverage": "Polymarket only. Source threshold 10000 USD; oldest trade inspected 2026-09-22T19:33:52Z. At most eight largest prints from the last hour of a capped 200-trade response.",
      "columns": [
        {
          "key": "market",
          "label": "Market",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "side",
          "label": "Taker side",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "outcome",
          "label": "Outcome",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "usd",
          "label": "Notional",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "price",
          "label": "Price per share",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "at",
          "label": "Trade time",
          "format": "datetime",
          "unit": "UTC"
        }
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "id": "trade-0",
          "values": {
            "market": "Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet",
            "side": "sell",
            "outcome": "Kyrian Jacquet",
            "usd": 37627,
            "price": 0.999,
            "at": "2026-09-23T11:12:29.000Z"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/hangzhou-open-aleksandar-vukic-vs-kyrian-jacquet--0xbbcf9611492a1ae5106ca1c113d06283b565349edcb7c27465bbda6a41617a5c?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-1",
          "values": {
            "market": "Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "Kyrian Jacquet",
            "usd": 22222,
            "price": 0.59,
            "at": "2026-09-23T10:47:04.000Z"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/hangzhou-open-aleksandar-vukic-vs-kyrian-jacquet--0xbbcf9611492a1ae5106ca1c113d06283b565349edcb7c27465bbda6a41617a5c?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-2",
          "values": {
            "market": "Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner",
            "side": "sell",
            "outcome": "Conventus Stellarum",
            "usd": 16940,
            "price": 0.999,
            "at": "2026-09-23T10:54:19.000Z"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/dota-2-team-nemesis-vs-conventus-stellarum-game-1-winner--0x70a8fb7f4bb30bccafcf56c7b3a2e173b102ea3e83650df015215806920ceb5d?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-3",
          "values": {
            "market": "Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winner",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "Team Nemesis",
            "usd": 14400,
            "price": 0.36,
            "at": "2026-09-23T11:16:49.000Z"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/dota-2-team-nemesis-vs-conventus-stellarum-game-2-winner--0x56c69f12dc8bb551639a04b62090a57f20444954ca94591e8ae973c6969feccd?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-4",
          "values": {
            "market": "Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet",
            "side": "sell",
            "outcome": "Kyrian Jacquet",
            "usd": 13844,
            "price": 0.999,
            "at": "2026-09-23T11:09:40.000Z"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/hangzhou-open-aleksandar-vukic-vs-kyrian-jacquet--0xbbcf9611492a1ae5106ca1c113d06283b565349edcb7c27465bbda6a41617a5c?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-5",
          "values": {
            "market": "Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "Adam Walton",
            "usd": 13250,
            "price": 0.5233081916,
            "at": "2026-09-23T11:20:29.000Z"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/hangzhou-open-valentin-royer-vs-adam-walton--0x5147fef356553fdac18ded0ade91843a62be125c3ba22d908e91bf4413eb1573?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-6",
          "values": {
            "market": "Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner",
            "side": "sell",
            "outcome": "Conventus Stellarum",
            "usd": 10188,
            "price": 0.999,
            "at": "2026-09-23T10:53:13.000Z"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/dota-2-team-nemesis-vs-conventus-stellarum-game-1-winner--0x70a8fb7f4bb30bccafcf56c7b3a2e173b102ea3e83650df015215806920ceb5d?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-7",
          "values": {
            "market": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "usd": 10023,
            "price": 0.29,
            "at": "2026-09-23T11:13:19.000Z"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel--0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37?tab=trades"
          }
        }
      ],
      "notes": [
        "The public trade endpoint returns a capped recent sample. An empty result does not prove no large trades occurred.",
        "A large trade does not identify a person, establish conviction, or predict the outcome of the market it was placed in.",
        "Price is the price paid per share of the named outcome, between 0 and 1 dollar. It is a market observation, not a probability Vultax endorses.",
        "When the source provides a valid condition ID, the market name opens that exact Polymarket market in Vultax's app. A name alone is never used to infer a market link.",
        "Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote."
      ],
      "kind": "market-snapshot",
      "status": "published",
      "statusReason": "Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.",
      "observedAt": "2026-09-23T11:31:20.000Z",
      "modifiedAt": null,
      "rowCount": 8,
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Vultax traders pack · Polymarket public trade endpoint",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/live/traders.json"
        }
      ],
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.json?dataset=pm-large-trades",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.csv?dataset=pm-large-trades"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pm-market-concentration",
      "title": "Where the sampled large-trade value went",
      "description": "Market share of the dollar value in the source's last-hour sample of trades above its size filter.",
      "coverage": "10 returned trades above $10000 in the last hour; $158494 sampled notional. The endpoint request is capped at 200 trades, so this is not venue-wide flow.",
      "columns": [
        {
          "key": "market",
          "label": "Market",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "notional",
          "label": "Sampled notional",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "share",
          "label": "Share of sampled value",
          "format": "percent",
          "unit": "%"
        }
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "id": "market-0",
          "values": {
            "market": "Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet",
            "notional": 73693,
            "share": 46.5
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/hangzhou-open-aleksandar-vukic-vs-kyrian-jacquet--0xbbcf9611492a1ae5106ca1c113d06283b565349edcb7c27465bbda6a41617a5c?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "market-1",
          "values": {
            "market": "Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winner",
            "notional": 34400,
            "share": 21.7
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/dota-2-team-nemesis-vs-conventus-stellarum-game-2-winner--0x56c69f12dc8bb551639a04b62090a57f20444954ca94591e8ae973c6969feccd?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "market-2",
          "values": {
            "market": "Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner",
            "notional": 27128,
            "share": 17.12
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/dota-2-team-nemesis-vs-conventus-stellarum-game-1-winner--0x70a8fb7f4bb30bccafcf56c7b3a2e173b102ea3e83650df015215806920ceb5d?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "market-3",
          "values": {
            "market": "Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton",
            "notional": 13250,
            "share": 8.36
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/hangzhou-open-valentin-royer-vs-adam-walton--0x5147fef356553fdac18ded0ade91843a62be125c3ba22d908e91bf4413eb1573?tab=trades"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "market-4",
          "values": {
            "market": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?",
            "notional": 10023,
            "share": 6.32
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel--0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37?tab=trades"
          }
        }
      ],
      "notes": [
        "The denominator is the returned last-hour sample above the threshold, not all Polymarket trades or all trades in those markets.",
        "Rows are grouped by source condition ID when supplied; rows without one fall back to the reported title and have no exact-market link.",
        "A high share describes where the sampled prints occurred. It does not identify a wallet, prove one order, or predict the outcome.",
        "Several prints can belong to one event or one execution sequence; inspect the timestamps and the visible-print clusters below.",
        "Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote."
      ],
      "kind": "market-snapshot",
      "status": "published",
      "statusReason": "Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.",
      "observedAt": "2026-09-23T11:31:20.000Z",
      "modifiedAt": null,
      "rowCount": 5,
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Vultax traders pack · Polymarket public trades, capped sample",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/live/traders.json"
        }
      ],
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.json?dataset=pm-market-concentration",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.csv?dataset=pm-market-concentration"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "pm-visible-print-clusters",
      "title": "Multiple displayed prints in the same second",
      "description": "A context check on the eight displayed large prints: same market, outcome, taker side and second.",
      "coverage": "Only clusters among the at-most-eight displayed prints. The source sample can contain more fills, so cluster totals are lower bounds.",
      "columns": [
        {
          "key": "market",
          "label": "Market",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "outcome",
          "label": "Outcome",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "side",
          "label": "Taker side",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "at",
          "label": "Trade second",
          "format": "datetime",
          "unit": "UTC"
        },
        {
          "key": "prints",
          "label": "Visible prints",
          "format": "number",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "notional",
          "label": "Visible notional",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "low",
          "label": "Lowest price",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "high",
          "label": "Highest price",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        }
      ],
      "rows": [],
      "notes": [
        "Same-second prints are not evidence of one order, one wallet or coordinated behaviour. The public summary lacks an order identifier.",
        "A blank table means no cluster appears among the displayed eight prints; it says nothing about the rest of the capped response.",
        "Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote."
      ],
      "kind": "market-snapshot",
      "status": "published",
      "statusReason": "Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.",
      "observedAt": "2026-09-23T11:31:20.000Z",
      "modifiedAt": null,
      "rowCount": 0,
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Vultax traders pack · displayed Polymarket public trades",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/live/traders.json"
        }
      ],
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.json?dataset=pm-visible-print-clusters",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.csv?dataset=pm-visible-print-clusters"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "btc-large-trades",
      "title": "Largest captured BTC trades",
      "description": "Large prints returned by the existing public exchange trade endpoints.",
      "coverage": "BTC/USD and BTC/USDT; source threshold 100000 USD, lookback 30 minutes. At most ten largest captured prints.",
      "columns": [
        {
          "key": "venue",
          "label": "Exchange",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "side",
          "label": "Taker side",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "value",
          "label": "Trade value",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "btc",
          "label": "BTC",
          "format": "number",
          "unit": "BTC"
        },
        {
          "key": "at",
          "label": "Trade time",
          "format": "datetime",
          "unit": "UTC"
        }
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "id": "print-0",
          "values": {
            "venue": "kraken",
            "side": "sell",
            "value": 148342,
            "btc": 1.735,
            "at": "2026-09-23T11:29:10.000Z"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "print-1",
          "values": {
            "venue": "kraken",
            "side": "buy",
            "value": 144712,
            "btc": 1.691,
            "at": "2026-09-23T11:31:43.000Z"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "print-2",
          "values": {
            "venue": "kraken",
            "side": "buy",
            "value": 104288,
            "btc": 1.218,
            "at": "2026-09-23T11:31:43.000Z"
          }
        }
      ],
      "notes": [
        "Trade endpoints return capped recent samples; this is not a complete 30-minute tape. Empty results do not prove no large trades occurred.",
        "A large print does not identify a trader or prove directional intent. Exchange prints and Vultax detector alerts are different populations.",
        "Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote."
      ],
      "kind": "market-snapshot",
      "status": "published",
      "statusReason": "Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.",
      "observedAt": "2026-09-23T11:31:20.000Z",
      "modifiedAt": null,
      "rowCount": 3,
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Vultax crypto pack · public BTC trade endpoints",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json"
        }
      ],
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.json?dataset=btc-large-trades",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.csv?dataset=btc-large-trades"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "btc-trade-coverage",
      "title": "Trade sample coverage by venue",
      "description": "How many trades the source inspected and how many passed its large-print threshold.",
      "coverage": "Only responding BTC trade endpoints; the count is trades returned, not guaranteed full-window coverage.",
      "columns": [
        {
          "key": "venue",
          "label": "Exchange",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "seen",
          "label": "Trades inspected",
          "format": "number",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "large",
          "label": "Large prints",
          "format": "number",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "usd",
          "label": "Large-print value",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        }
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "id": "coinbase",
          "values": {
            "venue": "Coinbase",
            "seen": 1000,
            "large": 0,
            "usd": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "binance",
          "values": {
            "venue": "Binance",
            "seen": 1000,
            "large": 0,
            "usd": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "kraken",
          "values": {
            "venue": "Kraken",
            "seen": 1000,
            "large": 3,
            "usd": 397342
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "okx",
          "values": {
            "venue": "OKX",
            "seen": 500,
            "large": 0,
            "usd": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "bybit",
          "values": {
            "venue": "Bybit",
            "seen": 1000,
            "large": 0,
            "usd": 0
          }
        }
      ],
      "notes": [
        "A missing venue is unavailable, not a zero. A reported zero applies only to the inspected sample.",
        "Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote."
      ],
      "kind": "market-snapshot",
      "status": "published",
      "statusReason": "Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.",
      "observedAt": "2026-09-23T11:31:20.000Z",
      "modifiedAt": null,
      "rowCount": 5,
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Vultax crypto pack · prints30m.byVenue",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json"
        }
      ],
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.json?dataset=btc-trade-coverage",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-aa6a65cd451cf1ee/data.csv?dataset=btc-trade-coverage"
      }
    }
  ],
  "research": [
    {
      "title": "115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-03",
      "description": "Every large-trade alert Vultax logged on six exchanges from 18 June to 3 September 2026: HTX carried 56% of large-trade notional, flow stayed close to balanced, 13:00–16:00 UTC held 23.6% of alerts, and weekends ran 23–30% quieter."
    }
  ],
  "related": [
    {
      "slug": "event-intelligence",
      "title": "Crypto Market News and Exchange Status",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/features/event-intelligence"
    },
    {
      "slug": "orderbook-heatmap",
      "title": "Bitcoin Order Books and Exchange Depth",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/features/orderbook-heatmap"
    },
    {
      "slug": "wallet-intelligence",
      "title": "Polymarket Trader Rankings and Wallet Research",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/features/wallet-intelligence"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.",
    "Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero."
  ]
}
