{
  "schemaVersion": "vultax-feature-mirror-v1",
  "slug": "whale-tracker",
  "title": "Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin",
  "description": "Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.",
  "mirrorSummary": "Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.",
  "canonicalUrl": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-e6ca138086009c3f",
  "availability": {
    "status": "live",
    "message": "The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access."
  },
  "workspace": {
    "label": "Open the Vultax workspace",
    "url": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity"
  },
  "downloads": {
    "json": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-e6ca138086009c3f/data.json",
    "markdown": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-e6ca138086009c3f/page.md",
    "schema": "https://vultax.com/features/schema.json"
  },
  "tables": [
    {
      "id": "pm-large-trades",
      "title": "Largest Polymarket trades above the size threshold",
      "description": "The biggest prints returned by the public Polymarket trade endpoint above Vultax’s published size filter.",
      "coverage": "Polymarket only. Source threshold 10000 USD; oldest trade inspected 2026-09-22T21:39:27Z. At most eight largest prints from the returned last-hour, thresholded taker-side feed. Polymarket Data API v2 taker-side cursor scan inspected 200 records across 1 page and reached a record before the one-hour cutoff.",
      "columns": [
        {
          "key": "market",
          "label": "Market",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "side",
          "label": "Taker side",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "outcome",
          "label": "Outcome",
          "format": "text",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "key": "usd",
          "label": "Notional",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "price",
          "label": "Price per share",
          "format": "usd",
          "unit": "USD"
        },
        {
          "key": "at",
          "label": "Trade time",
          "format": "datetime",
          "unit": "UTC"
        },
        {
          "key": "txHash",
          "label": "Settlement tx",
          "format": "hash",
          "unit": null
        }
      ],
      "rows": [
        {
          "id": "trade-0",
          "values": {
            "market": "Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage",
            "side": "sell",
            "outcome": "Team Nemesis",
            "usd": 28673,
            "price": 0.999,
            "at": "2026-09-23T13:15:19.000Z",
            "txHash": "0x115a85537b16291e8bc65058f42a513bd7cbeefcb493321a3614699607c522be"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/dota-2-team-nemesis-vs-conventus-stellarum-bo3-pgl-wallachia-group-stage--0xc8c3d4b224aa9df12e4888ecf7915ca08d28a9b389be2febfdff546cff1f76c8?tab=trades",
            "txHash": "https://polygon.blockscout.com/tx/0x115a85537b16291e8bc65058f42a513bd7cbeefcb493321a3614699607c522be"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-1",
          "values": {
            "market": "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "LGD Gaming",
            "usd": 25742,
            "price": 0.7284526631,
            "at": "2026-09-23T13:33:14.000Z",
            "txHash": "0x9578841df991ec112c2c4db14d0c4e9d65cf03a43296fc3af7ba9218d517ae04"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/dota-2-lgd-gaming-vs-mouz-game-1-winner--0x22bd70d1e0c7142d5862aa526cbb1dd7d9e219c4ccb822f6df63784743b2ff90?tab=trades",
            "txHash": "https://polygon.blockscout.com/tx/0x9578841df991ec112c2c4db14d0c4e9d65cf03a43296fc3af7ba9218d517ae04"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-2",
          "values": {
            "market": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "usd": 23976,
            "price": 0.999,
            "at": "2026-09-23T13:38:16.000Z",
            "txHash": "0x1f6dca08097e4f8c2449626838716adacdb7ab46bbdb7978ce7a94183b0f3e04"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-82-000-on-september-23--0xf49f5da899d2a09af29abb5fab1024f944a1920fe6f663407d7515c4e0e6fd73?tab=trades",
            "txHash": "https://polygon.blockscout.com/tx/0x1f6dca08097e4f8c2449626838716adacdb7ab46bbdb7978ce7a94183b0f3e04"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-3",
          "values": {
            "market": "Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "Washington Nationals",
            "usd": 23775,
            "price": 0.39,
            "at": "2026-09-23T13:39:47.000Z",
            "txHash": "0x35bededfaed3d1964ccbcd9351724ae082b0e7b11863b89084074563cc38dc06"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/washington-nationals-vs-detroit-tigers--0xaf0dbca26c6b6ece765dc74d6ca39272369f69ebfbbd36ccd342f7705465a2a9?tab=trades",
            "txHash": "https://polygon.blockscout.com/tx/0x35bededfaed3d1964ccbcd9351724ae082b0e7b11863b89084074563cc38dc06"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-4",
          "values": {
            "market": "Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "Team Liquid",
            "usd": 23620,
            "price": 0.43,
            "at": "2026-09-23T13:47:11.000Z",
            "txHash": "0x1a7d021ebe607292e3086d5c728fcf18d3475c3168711328c5905c5d228f811b"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/valorant-team-liquid-vs-paper-rex-bo3-vct-champions-group-c--0x58fe37d6b63944e8567e65dab6244745b06fd682cf18a03482dba3d43004306b?tab=trades",
            "txHash": "https://polygon.blockscout.com/tx/0x1a7d021ebe607292e3086d5c728fcf18d3475c3168711328c5905c5d228f811b"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-5",
          "values": {
            "market": "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "LGD Gaming",
            "usd": 22500,
            "price": 0.75,
            "at": "2026-09-23T13:34:05.000Z",
            "txHash": "0xb2186f0404750116289a8dc7a27f5768e20e53bca64c264e04904f8e977bb754"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/dota-2-lgd-gaming-vs-mouz-game-1-winner--0x22bd70d1e0c7142d5862aa526cbb1dd7d9e219c4ccb822f6df63784743b2ff90?tab=trades",
            "txHash": "https://polygon.blockscout.com/tx/0xb2186f0404750116289a8dc7a27f5768e20e53bca64c264e04904f8e977bb754"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-6",
          "values": {
            "market": "Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "Over",
            "usd": 20064,
            "price": 0.48,
            "at": "2026-09-23T13:44:46.000Z",
            "txHash": "0xed5c92189c38cd0003f2d2de01076a68c1994e0c6ca6b1451896dce332b3434b"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/toronto-blue-jays-vs-baltimore-orioles-o-u-7-5--0x7e8de41579c8ba1a368456f70b9402c9be4ec5bf3238c8393f6d18277d610963?tab=trades",
            "txHash": "https://polygon.blockscout.com/tx/0xed5c92189c38cd0003f2d2de01076a68c1994e0c6ca6b1451896dce332b3434b"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "trade-7",
          "values": {
            "market": "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner",
            "side": "buy",
            "outcome": "LGD Gaming",
            "usd": 19760,
            "price": 0.76,
            "at": "2026-09-23T13:34:23.000Z",
            "txHash": "0xe54b4b98c9c02e7a9e15f342aa49982beb3a0322d23521dee9f2aa78fd8ee947"
          },
          "links": {
            "market": "https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/dota-2-lgd-gaming-vs-mouz-game-1-winner--0x22bd70d1e0c7142d5862aa526cbb1dd7d9e219c4ccb822f6df63784743b2ff90?tab=trades",
            "txHash": "https://polygon.blockscout.com/tx/0xe54b4b98c9c02e7a9e15f342aa49982beb3a0322d23521dee9f2aa78fd8ee947"
          }
        }
      ],
      "notes": [
        "The dollar filter excludes smaller trades; an empty result does not prove no trading occurred.",
        "A large trade does not identify a person, establish conviction, or predict the outcome of the market it was placed in.",
        "Price is the price paid per share of the named outcome, between 0 and 1 dollar. It is a market observation, not a probability Vultax endorses.",
        "When the source provides a valid condition ID, the market name opens that exact Polymarket market in Vultax's app. A name alone is never used to infer a market link.",
        "The source-reported hash links to an external Polygon transaction explorer. A settlement transaction is not an order identifier or proof of one wallet, person or motive.",
        "Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote."
      ],
      "kind": "market-snapshot",
      "status": "published",
      "statusReason": "Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.",
      "observedAt": "2026-09-23T14:00:01.000Z",
      "modifiedAt": null,
      "rowCount": 8,
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Vultax traders pack · Polymarket Data API v2 thresholded taker-side trades",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/live/traders.json"
        }
      ],
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-e6ca138086009c3f/data.json?dataset=pm-large-trades",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260923-e6ca138086009c3f/data.csv?dataset=pm-large-trades"
      }
    }
  ],
  "research": [
    {
      "title": "115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-03",
      "description": "Every large-trade alert Vultax logged on six exchanges from 18 June to 3 September 2026: HTX carried 56% of large-trade notional, flow stayed close to balanced, 13:00–16:00 UTC held 23.6% of alerts, and weekends ran 23–30% quieter."
    }
  ],
  "related": [
    {
      "slug": "event-intelligence",
      "title": "Crypto Market News and Exchange Status",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/features/event-intelligence"
    },
    {
      "slug": "orderbook-heatmap",
      "title": "Bitcoin Order Books and Exchange Depth",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/features/orderbook-heatmap"
    },
    {
      "slug": "wallet-intelligence",
      "title": "Polymarket Trader Rankings and Wallet Research",
      "url": "https://vultax.com/features/wallet-intelligence"
    }
  ],
  "limitations": [
    "Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.",
    "Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero."
  ]
}