Captured: 2026-09-25T00:25:03.386Z
Source observed: 2026-09-25T00:20:00.000Z
Public edition revised 2026-10-21: source rows withheld; original capture retained privately.

# Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin

Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.

Canonical: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260925-161e8761c73b3283
JSON: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260925-161e8761c73b3283/data.json

Availability: The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access.

## Where the sampled large-trade value went

Market share of the dollar value in the source's last-hour sample of trades above its size filter.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-09-25T00:20:00.000Z
Coverage: 29 returned trades above $10000 in the last hour; $1625652 sampled notional. Polymarket Data API v2 taker-side cursor scan inspected 200 records across 1 page and reached a record before the one-hour cutoff. The filter excludes smaller trades, so this is not venue-wide flow.

| Market | Sampled notional (USD) | Share of sampled value (%) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 | 600763 | 36.96 |
| Spread: Packers (-4.5) | 508368 | 31.27 |
| Falcons vs. Packers | 304517 | 18.73 |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) | 48254 | 2.97 |
| Spread: Liberty (-6.5) | 32024 | 1.97 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | 31865 | 1.96 |

- The denominator is the returned last-hour sample above the threshold, not all Polymarket trades or all trades in those markets.
- Rows are grouped by source condition ID when supplied; rows without one fall back to the reported title and have no exact-market link.
- A high share describes where the sampled prints occurred. It does not identify a wallet, prove one order, or predict the outcome.
- Several prints can belong to one event or one execution sequence; inspect the timestamps and the visible-print clusters below.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax traders pack · Polymarket Data API v2 thresholded taker-side cursor scan](https://vultax.com/live/traders.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260925-161e8761c73b3283/data.json?dataset=pm-market-concentration), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260925-161e8761c73b3283/data.csv?dataset=pm-market-concentration)

- [Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/falcons-vs-packers-o-u-43-5--0x2010cd76ac0d429f5a085dd0d357ea01f9fe8f8343d399e022cd404208e251db?tab=trades)
- [Spread: Packers (-4.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-packers-4-5--0xb865736cce51dfb32d4e97796dfc9be85972159f0cf03c255844c21456b3e17a?tab=trades)
- [Falcons vs. Packers](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/falcons-vs-packers--0xa8c72b8c2fc217438caad58074ff0fe0878b1d7b06daf6d588b87b78020152ba?tab=trades)
- [Spread: Packers (-5.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-packers-5-5--0xb32449c2f4ae85b981f5a4a0d8b2a8b1f1e3208bd597d90c7503da114eb5921a?tab=trades)
- [Spread: Liberty (-6.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-liberty-6-5--0x21d8410e9d6ba2f3d363bfda6a751c7fd9f69efd365d23a8c2c55f09074e151c?tab=trades)
- [Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/milwaukee-brewers-vs-philadelphia-phillies--0xcb169452dc1771cc194ad61634b529c6df933c76b99fd28782f1c77f71f94955?tab=trades)

## Trade sample coverage by venue

How many trades the source inspected and how many passed its large-print threshold.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-09-25T00:20:00.000Z
Coverage: Only responding BTC trade endpoints; the count is trades returned, not guaranteed full-window coverage.

| Exchange | Trades inspected | Large prints | Large-print value (USD) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Coinbase | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Binance | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Kraken | 1000 | 2 | 250921 |
| OKX | 500 | 0 | 0 |
| Bybit | 1000 | 0 | 0 |

- A missing venue is unavailable, not a zero. A reported zero applies only to the inspected sample.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax crypto pack · prints30m.byVenue](https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260925-161e8761c73b3283/data.json?dataset=btc-trade-coverage), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260925-161e8761c73b3283/data.csv?dataset=btc-trade-coverage)

## Related research

- [115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour](https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges) — published 2026-09-03

Continue: [Open the Vultax workspace](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity)

- Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.
- Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero.
- Downloads contain Vultax research summaries and simulation results. Exchange quotes, individual source trades, leaderboards and vendor datasets are not included. Third-party rights remain with their owners.
