Captured: 2026-09-29T00:25:05.774Z
Source observed: 2026-09-29T00:20:03.000Z
Public edition revised 2026-10-21: source rows withheld; original capture retained privately.

# Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin

Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.

Canonical: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260929-dd418bfe143eda60
JSON: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260929-dd418bfe143eda60/data.json

Availability: The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access.

## Where the sampled large-trade value went

Market share of the dollar value in the source's last-hour sample of trades above its size filter.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-09-29T00:20:03.000Z
Coverage: 30 returned trades above $10000 in the last hour; $1058747 sampled notional. Polymarket Data API v2 taker-side cursor scan inspected 200 records across 1 page and reached a record before the one-hour cutoff. The filter excludes smaller trades, so this is not venue-wide flow.

| Market | Sampled notional (USD) | Share of sampled value (%) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | 375325 | 35.45 |
| Eagles vs. Bears | 310884 | 29.36 |
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 41.5 | 76600 | 7.23 |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) | 59400 | 5.61 |
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 42.5 | 56112 | 5.3 |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | 43621 | 4.12 |

- The denominator is the returned last-hour sample above the threshold, not all Polymarket trades or all trades in those markets.
- Rows are grouped by source condition ID when supplied; rows without one fall back to the reported title and have no exact-market link.
- A high share describes where the sampled prints occurred. It does not identify a wallet, prove one order, or predict the outcome.
- Several prints can belong to one event or one execution sequence; inspect the timestamps and the visible-print clusters below.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax traders pack · Polymarket Data API v2 thresholded taker-side cursor scan](https://vultax.com/live/traders.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260929-dd418bfe143eda60/data.json?dataset=pm-market-concentration), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260929-dd418bfe143eda60/data.csv?dataset=pm-market-concentration)

- [Spread: Eagles (-3.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-eagles-3-5--0x0f9601588797b122840aa7170cf1e936f6026061c66ae04dc8ed2f151ce1f070?tab=trades)
- [Eagles vs. Bears](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/eagles-vs-bears--0x3ce1a8eb83552ffab3794a33b4ab7d7da750a9cd2246da324b37c5e5b0478575?tab=trades)
- [Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 41.5](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/eagles-vs-bears-o-u-41-5--0xf8aec9bc10dc40eb2c82609b49feb5b6c5b22ef4c86d02f1472669301ef8502e?tab=trades)
- [Spread: Eagles (-2.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-eagles-2-5--0x5a60436a6feb8af071173228dbd7ad8af91820a8d765e82b26d185102533132d?tab=trades)
- [Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 42.5](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/eagles-vs-bears-o-u-42-5--0xb4512057edc0229700519f36948e32a556d3dd4991afbee8122830aaebe33e38?tab=trades)
- [Spread: Bears (-3.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-bears-3-5--0x533ebdda80928a85bd45cd972e7c130a8311f1f3a272b43edeedbec89d631b7f?tab=trades)

## Trade sample coverage by venue

How many trades the source inspected and how many passed its large-print threshold.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-09-29T00:20:03.000Z
Coverage: Only responding BTC trade endpoints; the count is trades returned, not guaranteed full-window coverage.

| Exchange | Trades inspected | Large prints | Large-print value (USD) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Coinbase | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Binance | 1000 | 1 | 100988 |
| Kraken | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| OKX | 500 | 0 | 0 |
| Bybit | 1000 | 0 | 0 |

- A missing venue is unavailable, not a zero. A reported zero applies only to the inspected sample.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax crypto pack · prints30m.byVenue](https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260929-dd418bfe143eda60/data.json?dataset=btc-trade-coverage), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20260929-dd418bfe143eda60/data.csv?dataset=btc-trade-coverage)

## Related research

- [115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour](https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges) — published 2026-09-03

Continue: [Open the Vultax workspace](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity)

- Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.
- Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero.
- Downloads contain Vultax research summaries and simulation results. Exchange quotes, individual source trades, leaderboards and vendor datasets are not included. Third-party rights remain with their owners.