Captured: 2026-10-01T00:25:02.792Z
Source observed: 2026-10-01T00:20:00.000Z
Public edition revised 2026-10-21: source rows withheld; original capture retained privately.

# Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin

Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.

Canonical: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261001-79c2a6bbd0c09a78
JSON: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261001-79c2a6bbd0c09a78/data.json

Availability: The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access.

## Where the sampled large-trade value went

Market share of the dollar value in the source's last-hour sample of trades above its size filter.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-01T00:20:00.000Z
Coverage: 11 returned trades above $10000 in the last hour; $219690 sampled notional. Polymarket Data API v2 taker-side cursor scan inspected 200 records across 1 page and reached a record before the one-hour cutoff. The filter excludes smaller trades, so this is not venue-wide flow.

| Market | Sampled notional (USD) | Share of sampled value (%) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | 59894 | 27.26 |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | 46994 | 21.39 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | 25000 | 11.38 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | 18731 | 8.53 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | 16103 | 7.33 |
| Set Handicap: Roman Safiullin (-1.5) vs Flavio Cobolli (+1.5) | 13999 | 6.37 |

- The denominator is the returned last-hour sample above the threshold, not all Polymarket trades or all trades in those markets.
- Rows are grouped by source condition ID when supplied; rows without one fall back to the reported title and have no exact-market link.
- A high share describes where the sampled prints occurred. It does not identify a wallet, prove one order, or predict the outcome.
- Several prints can belong to one event or one execution sequence; inspect the timestamps and the visible-print clusters below.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax traders pack · Polymarket Data API v2 thresholded taker-side cursor scan](https://vultax.com/live/traders.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261001-79c2a6bbd0c09a78/data.json?dataset=pm-market-concentration), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261001-79c2a6bbd0c09a78/data.csv?dataset=pm-market-concentration)

- [Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/chicago-white-sox-vs-houston-astros--0x26f0870ce04043d458ea2f8b185d5b83ee8a95b9001d7cd45d2fe5834d2588c1?tab=trades)
- [Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/valorant-tyloo-vs-team-liquid-bo3-vct-champions-group-c--0xfcec3a44b67a20584d459ae6607cde8b027c9f436ca4bdf97e98ac36a8144568?tab=trades)
- [Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-avalanche-1-5--0xf99e1143b2ff466fa361c043196d0f9291cd4ba7081b51e6ca86ba6ce27f8957?tab=trades)
- [Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/boston-red-sox-vs-new-york-yankees-o-u-6-5--0xcadcf34a5d49fe8d3b95eff80e15bf2d5d53e7cc7c76da8944b0935200ba3f2e?tab=trades)
- [Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-bitcoin-reach-100-000-in-september--0x913581dc6f16ad7018bbfb51f6e2fa0a4bdd305212ef7976efb5cf0209304cb6?tab=trades)
- [Set Handicap: Roman Safiullin (-1.5) vs Flavio Cobolli (+1.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/set-handicap-roman-safiullin-1-5-vs-flavio-cobolli-1-5--0xa8113b41ea9172fc2bed7386e1bd3735ba1134e9721ed0569f446f9f658f4002?tab=trades)

## Trade sample coverage by venue

How many trades the source inspected and how many passed its large-print threshold.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-01T00:20:00.000Z
Coverage: Only responding BTC trade endpoints; the count is trades returned, not guaranteed full-window coverage.

| Exchange | Trades inspected | Large prints | Large-print value (USD) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Coinbase | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Binance | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Kraken | 1000 | 1 | 114574 |
| OKX | 500 | 4 | 2096677 |
| Bybit | 1000 | 1 | 206611 |

- A missing venue is unavailable, not a zero. A reported zero applies only to the inspected sample.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax crypto pack · prints30m.byVenue](https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261001-79c2a6bbd0c09a78/data.json?dataset=btc-trade-coverage), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261001-79c2a6bbd0c09a78/data.csv?dataset=btc-trade-coverage)

## Related research

- [115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour](https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges) — published 2026-09-03

Continue: [Open the Vultax workspace](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity)

- Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.
- Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero.
- Downloads contain Vultax research summaries and simulation results. Exchange quotes, individual source trades, leaderboards and vendor datasets are not included. Third-party rights remain with their owners.