Captured: 2026-10-02T00:25:03.564Z
Source observed: 2026-10-02T00:20:03.000Z
Public edition revised 2026-10-21: source rows withheld; original capture retained privately.

# Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin

Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.

Canonical: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261002-38c52ac785bb79f5
JSON: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261002-38c52ac785bb79f5/data.json

Availability: The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access.

## Where the sampled large-trade value went

Market share of the dollar value in the source's last-hour sample of trades above its size filter.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-02T00:20:03.000Z
Coverage: 28 returned trades above $10000 in the last hour; $1236191 sampled notional. Polymarket Data API v2 taker-side cursor scan inspected 200 records across 1 page and reached a record before the one-hour cutoff. The filter excludes smaller trades, so this is not venue-wide flow.

| Market | Sampled notional (USD) | Share of sampled value (%) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Steelers vs. Browns | 511226 | 41.35 |
| Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | 229314 | 18.55 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 131599 | 10.65 |
| Rams vs. Eagles | 62326 | 5.04 |
| Wild vs. Predators | 59387 | 4.8 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | 40172 | 3.25 |

- The denominator is the returned last-hour sample above the threshold, not all Polymarket trades or all trades in those markets.
- Rows are grouped by source condition ID when supplied; rows without one fall back to the reported title and have no exact-market link.
- A high share describes where the sampled prints occurred. It does not identify a wallet, prove one order, or predict the outcome.
- Several prints can belong to one event or one execution sequence; inspect the timestamps and the visible-print clusters below.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax traders pack · Polymarket Data API v2 thresholded taker-side cursor scan](https://vultax.com/live/traders.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261002-38c52ac785bb79f5/data.json?dataset=pm-market-concentration), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261002-38c52ac785bb79f5/data.csv?dataset=pm-market-concentration)

- [Steelers vs. Browns](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/steelers-vs-browns--0x8a9f8be5bef9bc8d36c7895707a4f2561d49de9f5467b6675ba206196e8bd2e2?tab=trades)
- [Spread: Steelers (-2.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-steelers-2-5--0x4559a72c1886c19f9f34a184e1f5476d8245543fd430dfd9a05b7aa9e1afea40?tab=trades)
- [Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-october-2026-meeting--0xde5d75ab7702875623ba509bc923241e1211da74a113521b3b70ddac930d7316?tab=trades)
- [Rams vs. Eagles](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/rams-vs-eagles--0x00175589d9a20da7fc783d639788f42c51d7505c7147f38bfa72fe7223d1cabc?tab=trades)
- [Wild vs. Predators](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/wild-vs-predators--0x5deee88bedec0635984ccaa9541c60f0dcd945eb945fb0beeeb09426cc7ed984?tab=trades)
- [Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/philadelphia-phillies-vs-atlanta-braves--0x56843c39ee842fae25c33d55a160628192506e5a4d3df922ebd7f1faee8114dc?tab=trades)

## Trade sample coverage by venue

How many trades the source inspected and how many passed its large-print threshold.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-02T00:20:03.000Z
Coverage: Only responding BTC trade endpoints; the count is trades returned, not guaranteed full-window coverage.

| Exchange | Trades inspected | Large prints | Large-print value (USD) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Coinbase | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Binance | 1000 | 7 | 2296010 |
| Kraken | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| OKX | 500 | 0 | 0 |
| Bybit | 1000 | 3 | 427763 |

- A missing venue is unavailable, not a zero. A reported zero applies only to the inspected sample.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax crypto pack · prints30m.byVenue](https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261002-38c52ac785bb79f5/data.json?dataset=btc-trade-coverage), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261002-38c52ac785bb79f5/data.csv?dataset=btc-trade-coverage)

## Related research

- [115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour](https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges) — published 2026-09-03

Continue: [Open the Vultax workspace](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity)

- Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.
- Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero.
- Downloads contain Vultax research summaries and simulation results. Exchange quotes, individual source trades, leaderboards and vendor datasets are not included. Third-party rights remain with their owners.