Captured: 2026-10-03T00:25:03.185Z
Source observed: 2026-10-03T00:20:00.000Z
Public edition revised 2026-10-21: source rows withheld; original capture retained privately.

# Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin

Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.

Canonical: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261003-ff86a44352d459e6
JSON: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261003-ff86a44352d459e6/data.json

Availability: The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access.

## Where the sampled large-trade value went

Market share of the dollar value in the source's last-hour sample of trades above its size filter.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-03T00:20:00.000Z
Coverage: 13 returned trades above $10000 in the last hour; $396714 sampled notional. Polymarket Data API v2 taker-side cursor scan inspected 200 records across 1 page and reached a record before the one-hour cutoff. The filter excludes smaller trades, so this is not venue-wide flow.

| Market | Sampled notional (USD) | Share of sampled value (%) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 151200 | 38.11 |
| Liberty vs. Delaware | 45852 | 11.56 |
| Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech | 30971 | 7.81 |
| Spread: Penn State (-2.5) | 28684 | 7.23 |
| Rangers vs. Red Wings | 28617 | 7.21 |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | 23684 | 5.97 |

- The denominator is the returned last-hour sample above the threshold, not all Polymarket trades or all trades in those markets.
- Rows are grouped by source condition ID when supplied; rows without one fall back to the reported title and have no exact-market link.
- A high share describes where the sampled prints occurred. It does not identify a wallet, prove one order, or predict the outcome.
- Several prints can belong to one event or one execution sequence; inspect the timestamps and the visible-print clusters below.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax traders pack · Polymarket Data API v2 thresholded taker-side cursor scan](https://vultax.com/live/traders.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261003-ff86a44352d459e6/data.json?dataset=pm-market-concentration), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261003-ff86a44352d459e6/data.csv?dataset=pm-market-concentration)

- [2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/2026-balance-of-power-d-senate-d-house--0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d?tab=trades)
- [Liberty vs. Delaware](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/liberty-vs-delaware--0xab609bd6badc7a3778fa631be12f1ff8c2bc4234edea7d501f4f86f4136cdf95?tab=trades)
- [Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/pittsburgh-vs-virginia-tech--0x3f297899eaa9f13e5cd374fa09c663ff289a6b873c6c8840ae010cb37dd50188?tab=trades)
- [Spread: Penn State (-2.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-penn-state-2-5--0xad7548b6b549151d682618dac37d566173d936e857d9ee6fe04a816cfd8c69ee?tab=trades)
- [Rangers vs. Red Wings](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/rangers-vs-red-wings--0x38995fda71a0bab23e0fc3a4fc6a38a5d9900acd73bce4e55da0213de98de86f?tab=trades)
- [Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/any-of-the-cornell-7-charged-with-a-felony-sex-crime--0xa0917fc36c80b2aef40b3be6e7c8f5abb16c512174b75073923cb52b53d7bbe0?tab=trades)

## Trade sample coverage by venue

How many trades the source inspected and how many passed its large-print threshold.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-03T00:20:00.000Z
Coverage: Only responding BTC trade endpoints; the count is trades returned, not guaranteed full-window coverage.

| Exchange | Trades inspected | Large prints | Large-print value (USD) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Coinbase | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Binance | 1000 | 5 | 1534568 |
| Kraken | 1000 | 1 | 216436 |
| OKX | 500 | 2 | 369528 |
| Bybit | 1000 | 0 | 0 |

- A missing venue is unavailable, not a zero. A reported zero applies only to the inspected sample.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax crypto pack · prints30m.byVenue](https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261003-ff86a44352d459e6/data.json?dataset=btc-trade-coverage), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261003-ff86a44352d459e6/data.csv?dataset=btc-trade-coverage)

## Related research

- [115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour](https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges) — published 2026-09-03

Continue: [Open the Vultax workspace](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity)

- Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.
- Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero.
- Downloads contain Vultax research summaries and simulation results. Exchange quotes, individual source trades, leaderboards and vendor datasets are not included. Third-party rights remain with their owners.
