Captured: 2026-10-04T00:25:03.792Z
Source observed: 2026-10-04T00:20:01.000Z
Public edition revised 2026-10-21: source rows withheld; original capture retained privately.

# Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin

Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.

Canonical: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261004-d08e7eabaa4dd2ad
JSON: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261004-d08e7eabaa4dd2ad/data.json

Availability: The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access.

## Where the sampled large-trade value went

Market share of the dollar value in the source's last-hour sample of trades above its size filter.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-04T00:20:01.000Z
Coverage: 41 returned trades above $10000 in the last hour; $916703 sampled notional. Polymarket Data API v2 taker-side cursor scan inspected 200 records across 1 page and reached a record before the one-hour cutoff. The filter excludes smaller trades, so this is not venue-wide flow.

| Market | Sampled notional (USD) | Share of sampled value (%) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Washington vs. USC | 210834 | 23 |
| Kentucky vs. South Carolina | 102631 | 11.2 |
| McNeese vs. LSU | 64962 | 7.09 |
| Arkansas State vs. Louisiana | 50000 | 5.45 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4? | 44491 | 4.85 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian pres | 40555 | 4.42 |

- The denominator is the returned last-hour sample above the threshold, not all Polymarket trades or all trades in those markets.
- Rows are grouped by source condition ID when supplied; rows without one fall back to the reported title and have no exact-market link.
- A high share describes where the sampled prints occurred. It does not identify a wallet, prove one order, or predict the outcome.
- Several prints can belong to one event or one execution sequence; inspect the timestamps and the visible-print clusters below.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax traders pack · Polymarket Data API v2 thresholded taker-side cursor scan](https://vultax.com/live/traders.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261004-d08e7eabaa4dd2ad/data.json?dataset=pm-market-concentration), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261004-d08e7eabaa4dd2ad/data.csv?dataset=pm-market-concentration)

- [Washington vs. USC](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/washington-vs-usc--0xea33be22543767de5acf367da99381ae355b1b91b7e4f4a9a5cf133883161b37?tab=trades)
- [Kentucky vs. South Carolina](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/kentucky-vs-south-carolina--0xc661649ad36c630c421618de0d109939e099b2e086d9d555ef3b7bbde45e3567?tab=trades)
- [McNeese vs. LSU](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/mcneese-vs-lsu--0x954fc2b97920730f67c818cb2602d7db18805bcb75a53e1c31fce7dcac89bf3c?tab=trades)
- [Arkansas State vs. Louisiana](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/arkansas-state-vs-louisiana--0xd3a965a8653b29923e6a18c61ab0e941a6e39ac3bb9afe4723ca5561f9036957?tab=trades)
- [Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-above-74-000-on-october-4--0x8764f7431ad942e3b2e25441bbe6fd2cce61935895fb5710719665c0b18d1894?tab=trades)
- [Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian pres](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-fl-vio-bolsonaro-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-pres--0x6114306f724135bd1db2f5f3169386decf18f618653c196ef0a6c1afd27f4c73?tab=trades)

## Trade sample coverage by venue

How many trades the source inspected and how many passed its large-print threshold.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-04T00:20:01.000Z
Coverage: Only responding BTC trade endpoints; the count is trades returned, not guaranteed full-window coverage.

| Exchange | Trades inspected | Large prints | Large-print value (USD) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Coinbase | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Binance | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Kraken | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| OKX | 500 | 0 | 0 |
| Bybit | 1000 | 0 | 0 |

- A missing venue is unavailable, not a zero. A reported zero applies only to the inspected sample.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax crypto pack · prints30m.byVenue](https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261004-d08e7eabaa4dd2ad/data.json?dataset=btc-trade-coverage), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261004-d08e7eabaa4dd2ad/data.csv?dataset=btc-trade-coverage)

## Related research

- [115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour](https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges) — published 2026-09-03

Continue: [Open the Vultax workspace](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity)

- Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.
- Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero.
- Downloads contain Vultax research summaries and simulation results. Exchange quotes, individual source trades, leaderboards and vendor datasets are not included. Third-party rights remain with their owners.