Captured: 2026-10-06T00:25:03.387Z
Source observed: 2026-10-06T00:20:01.000Z
Public edition revised 2026-10-21: source rows withheld; original capture retained privately.

# Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin

Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.

Canonical: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261006-1bb70475e412720f
JSON: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261006-1bb70475e412720f/data.json

Availability: The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access.

## Where the sampled large-trade value went

Market share of the dollar value in the source's last-hour sample of trades above its size filter.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-06T00:20:01.000Z
Coverage: 20 returned trades above $10000 in the last hour; $683402 sampled notional. Polymarket Data API v2 taker-side cursor scan inspected 200 records across 1 page and reached a record before the one-hour cutoff. The filter excludes smaller trades, so this is not venue-wide flow.

| Market | Sampled notional (USD) | Share of sampled value (%) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5 | 263645 | 38.58 |
| Falcons vs. Saints | 148291 | 21.7 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 81427 | 11.91 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 52628 | 7.7 |
| Spread: Saints (-1.5) | 52000 | 7.61 |
| Sharks vs. Stars | 38940 | 5.7 |

- The denominator is the returned last-hour sample above the threshold, not all Polymarket trades or all trades in those markets.
- Rows are grouped by source condition ID when supplied; rows without one fall back to the reported title and have no exact-market link.
- A high share describes where the sampled prints occurred. It does not identify a wallet, prove one order, or predict the outcome.
- Several prints can belong to one event or one execution sequence; inspect the timestamps and the visible-print clusters below.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax traders pack · Polymarket Data API v2 thresholded taker-side cursor scan](https://vultax.com/live/traders.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261006-1bb70475e412720f/data.json?dataset=pm-market-concentration), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261006-1bb70475e412720f/data.csv?dataset=pm-market-concentration)

- [Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 47.5](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/falcons-vs-saints-o-u-47-5--0x9f0c6cbb6bd544233a65be167a9d27af57371df402a368c8ab00c845df2333d2?tab=trades)
- [Falcons vs. Saints](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/falcons-vs-saints--0x0821f464f7a3e8cde824ad5b971008110484cbf9ea28883d936589ed22bc621a?tab=trades)
- [Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-fl-vio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election--0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d?tab=trades)
- [Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-luiz-in-cio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election--0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8?tab=trades)
- [Spread: Saints (-1.5)](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/spread-saints-1-5--0xf1c7468c7c6b777cc189aac97ac4b3a61c6536d0555f2dd1f22290e72115f268?tab=trades)
- [Sharks vs. Stars](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/sharks-vs-stars--0xd869c110d924446bebca780fb498035669d5833c79a111e3ebb5e1c9be93da29?tab=trades)

## Trade sample coverage by venue

How many trades the source inspected and how many passed its large-print threshold.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-06T00:20:01.000Z
Coverage: Only responding BTC trade endpoints; the count is trades returned, not guaranteed full-window coverage.

| Exchange | Trades inspected | Large prints | Large-print value (USD) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Coinbase | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Binance | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Kraken | 1000 | 3 | 498196 |
| OKX | 500 | 1 | 748855 |
| Bybit | 1000 | 1 | 148829 |

- A missing venue is unavailable, not a zero. A reported zero applies only to the inspected sample.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax crypto pack · prints30m.byVenue](https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261006-1bb70475e412720f/data.json?dataset=btc-trade-coverage), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261006-1bb70475e412720f/data.csv?dataset=btc-trade-coverage)

## Related research

- [115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour](https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges) — published 2026-09-03

Continue: [Open the Vultax workspace](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity)

- Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.
- Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero.
- Downloads contain Vultax research summaries and simulation results. Exchange quotes, individual source trades, leaderboards and vendor datasets are not included. Third-party rights remain with their owners.