Captured: 2026-10-07T00:25:03.128Z
Source observed: 2026-10-07T00:20:00.000Z
Public edition revised 2026-10-21: source rows withheld; original capture retained privately.

# Large Trades: Polymarket and Bitcoin

Inspect captured Polymarket and BTC prints, then check the sampled market concentration and same-second print groups before drawing a conclusion.

Canonical: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261007-c95c1b12bf6a2c42
JSON: https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261007-c95c1b12bf6a2c42/data.json

Availability: The Polymarket trade tape is open to everyone in the app. Crypto whale views sit in the crypto workspace and depend on feed coverage and plan access.

## Where the sampled large-trade value went

Market share of the dollar value in the source's last-hour sample of trades above its size filter.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-07T00:20:00.000Z
Coverage: 13 returned trades above $10000 in the last hour; $297453 sampled notional. Polymarket Data API v2 taker-side cursor scan inspected 200 records across 1 page and reached a record before the one-hour cutoff. The filter excludes smaller trades, so this is not venue-wide flow.

| Market | Sampled notional (USD) | Share of sampled value (%) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | 68488 | 23.02 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | 56059 | 18.85 |
| Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5 | 51777 | 17.41 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | 30673 | 10.31 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 29954 | 10.07 |
| Nets vs. Hornets | 26238 | 8.82 |

- The denominator is the returned last-hour sample above the threshold, not all Polymarket trades or all trades in those markets.
- Rows are grouped by source condition ID when supplied; rows without one fall back to the reported title and have no exact-market link.
- A high share describes where the sampled prints occurred. It does not identify a wallet, prove one order, or predict the outcome.
- Several prints can belong to one event or one execution sequence; inspect the timestamps and the visible-print clusters below.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax traders pack · Polymarket Data API v2 thresholded taker-side cursor scan](https://vultax.com/live/traders.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261007-c95c1b12bf6a2c42/data.json?dataset=pm-market-concentration), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261007-c95c1b12bf6a2c42/data.csv?dataset=pm-market-concentration)

- [Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/los-angeles-dodgers-vs-atlanta-braves--0x7849245484a838816650314f7a826d1bf0a5f5c1e6d46956d14a278d47dae3bb?tab=trades)
- [Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled--0xd93366079fab7bcb8a03705969822056b76226a48fd5bb7b1475a5b186cf6f07?tab=trades)
- [Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/chicago-fire-fc-vs-vancouver-whitecaps-fc-o-u-3-5--0xc41c5deda6340c89b99d92b441936312850a3d0d9696ad8d67eceef2614a1c86?tab=trades)
- [Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/milwaukee-brewers-vs-san-diego-padres--0x7af06a6b565678dd02509cb9209e8b8cfc791c4025e1a352b7aba321f6b31279?tab=trades)
- [Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/will-the-republican-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections--0x4e4f77e7dbf4cab666e9a1943674d7ae66348e862df03ea6f44b11eb95731928?tab=trades)
- [Nets vs. Hornets](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/markets/nets-vs-hornets--0x5fd2da7ee5406cdb30f77ae194e13ad4a2474a1b7da21adcdbe7d7be4df1047f?tab=trades)

## Trade sample coverage by venue

How many trades the source inspected and how many passed its large-print threshold.

Status: published. Historical snapshot. Source status when captured: fresh. Within this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
Source observed at: 2026-10-07T00:20:00.000Z
Coverage: Only responding BTC trade endpoints; the count is trades returned, not guaranteed full-window coverage.

| Exchange | Trades inspected | Large prints | Large-print value (USD) |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Coinbase | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| Binance | 1000 | 1 | 114222 |
| Kraken | 1000 | 0 | 0 |
| OKX | 500 | 0 | 0 |
| Bybit | 1000 | 1 | 116559 |

- A missing venue is unavailable, not a zero. A reported zero applies only to the inspected sample.
- Source status when captured: fresh. This snapshot is not a current quote.
- Source: [Vultax crypto pack · prints30m.byVenue](https://vultax.com/live/crypto.json)
- [JSON](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261007-c95c1b12bf6a2c42/data.json?dataset=btc-trade-coverage), [CSV](https://vultax.com/features/whale-tracker/evidence/20261007-c95c1b12bf6a2c42/data.csv?dataset=btc-trade-coverage)

## Related research

- [115,006 Large-Trade Alerts: Where and When Crypto Whales Trade, by Venue and Hour](https://vultax.com/research/crypto-whale-trades-115000-alerts-six-exchanges) — published 2026-09-03

Continue: [Open the Vultax workspace](https://app.vultax.com/analytics/activity)

- Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.
- Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero.
- Downloads contain Vultax research summaries and simulation results. Exchange quotes, individual source trades, leaderboards and vendor datasets are not included. Third-party rights remain with their owners.