{ "schemaVersion": "vultax-public-research-data-v1", "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/best-polymarket-traders-leaderboards", "datasets": [ { "title": "Which Vultax trader view answers your question", "columns": [ { "name": "View", "unit": null }, { "name": "The question it answers", "unit": null }, { "name": "Read it knowing", "unit": null } ], "rows": [ [ "Leaderboard", "Who has made the most, over the last 30 days (Vi IQ) or all time?", "Both orders use the profit Polymarket reports. A rank by profit says nothing about how often a wallet trades; filter on activity first." ], [ "Live movers", "Who is trading right now, and in what size?", "It ranks recent activity, not skill. A large trade is an event to look into, not a record." ], [ "Search all traders", "What does one display name look like?", "Name search reaches beyond the ranked 80,000 and is free. Pasting a wallet address opens its record on every plan, including wallets outside the 80,000." ], [ "Official leaderboard", "What does Polymarket's own board show?", "The venue does not publish its definition of profit or its fee treatment, so its figures and the observed view can differ for the same wallet." ] ], "measurementContext": "The four views of the trader leaderboard in the Vultax terminal, as labelled on 27 September 2026. The research samples in this study are separate from the ranked population.", "sources": [ { "label": "Polymarket leaderboard", "url": "https://polymarket.com/leaderboard", "note": "Profit/Loss and Volume; four windows; no method; read 2026-09-05" }, { "label": "Polycopy: Best Polymarket Traders (September 2026)", "url": "https://polycopy.app/best-polymarket-traders", "note": "\"verified on-chain 30-day P&L\", the 23% baseline; read 2026-09-05" }, { "label": "Polymarket trading fees", "url": "https://docs.polymarket.com/trading/fees.md", "note": "Taker fee formula and rates" }, { "label": "Polymarket documentation", "url": "https://docs.polymarket.com/", "note": "Public data endpoints from which trades and positions are observed" }, { "label": "Vultax methodology", "url": "https://vultax.com/methodology", "note": "Population separation, freshness and the explicit-coverage standard applied to prediction data" }, { "label": "Vultax: Best Polymarket Tools in 2026", "url": "https://vultax.com/research/best-polymarket-tools-2026", "note": "The full comparison" }, { "label": "Finance Magnates — Polymarket rolls out U.S. app after CFTC green light, starting with sports", "url": "https://www.financemagnates.com/forex/polymarket-rolls-out-us-mobile-app-after-cftc-green-light-starting-with-sports-events/", "note": "Polymarket US launched 2 December 2025 on the QCEX designation acquired for $112 million; the invite waitlist was removed in May 2026; iOS only at the time of writing." }, { "label": "Coinpaprika — Polymarket expands beyond prediction markets with 20x leverage perps (Sep 2026)", "url": "https://coinpaprika.com/news/polymarket-expands-beyond-prediction-markets/", "note": "Perpetual futures launched 3 September 2026 with up to 20x leverage; 67 markets within hours; U.S. traders barred. Kalshi's bitcoin perpetuals went live 3 June 2026." }, { "label": "DefiRate — Prediction markets top $11B in contract volume as sports, combos drive Kalshi growth (week of 24–30 Aug 2026)", "url": "https://defirate.com/news/volume-report-top-11b-contracts-sports-combos/", "note": "Kalshi at about 90% of combined contract volume in late August, driven by sports and multi-leg combos; the share is contract volume, not dollars at risk." }, { "label": "The Crypto Basic — Kalshi, Polymarket August volume drops 14.5% in first monthly decline in a year (2 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://thecryptobasic.com/2026/09/02/kalshi-polymarket-august-volume-drops-14-5-in-first-monthly-decline-in-a-year/", "note": "August 2026 was the first monthly decline in a year after the World Cup; Polymarket's August volume about $8.2 billion, down about 37% from July." }, { "label": "Gizmodo — Study finds around a quarter of Polymarket trades are fake (Columbia, Nov 2025)", "url": "https://gizmodo.com/study-finds-around-a-quarter-of-polymarket-trades-are-fake-2000683231", "note": "About 25% of Polymarket volume over three years flagged as wash trading by counterparty structure, peaking near 60% in December 2024; roughly one wallet in seven flagged; many flagged wallets made no profit." }, { "label": "CFTC — Enforcement Division issues Prediction Markets Advisory (25 Feb 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9185-26", "note": "Insider trading, fraud and manipulation, wash sales and pre-arranged trading, and disruptive trading named as conduct the Commission polices on any designated contract market; cites a candidate trading his own race and a video editor trading on non-public channel information." }, { "label": "Carhart, M. M. (1997). On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance. Journal of Finance 52(1)", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb03808.x", "note": "The benchmark finding that fund performance persistence is short-lived and mostly explained by momentum and costs" }, { "label": "Mellers, B. et al. (2015). Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions. Perspectives on Psychological Science 10(3)", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691615577794", "note": "Evidence that a small top group of forecasters keeps its edge over time" }, { "label": "Barber, B. M., Odean, T. (2000). Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth. Journal of Finance 55(2)", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00226", "note": "Why activity and outcomes are entangled in retail trading records" }, { "label": "Odean, T. (1998). Are Investors Reluctant to Realize Their Losses? Journal of Finance 53(5)", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00072", "note": "The disposition effect: gains are realised readily, losses are held" }, { "label": "Wolfers, J., Zitzewitz, E. (2004). Prediction Markets. Journal of Economic Perspectives 18(2)", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1257/0895330041371321", "note": "How prediction-market prices aggregate information and who supplies liquidity" } ], "measurement": { "kind": "reference", "temporalCoverage": "2026-09-27", "population": null, "methodology": "Product views read from the live trader leaderboard; research samples are described under What was measured." }, "id": "use-the-leaderboard-table", "kind": "published-table", "description": "Who makes money on Polymarket, whether winners keep winning, and how five leaderboards count. The top 1% of winning wallets took 43.9% of realised gains; across all wallets, a winning month was followed by another 41–51% of the time, and 124 of 137 among the most active.", "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/best-polymarket-traders-leaderboards", "sectionUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/best-polymarket-traders-leaderboards#use-the-leaderboard", "publishedAt": "2026-09-11", "modifiedAt": "2026-10-14", "version": "bde7a6d53b66284c3f07dc3b25d40af8730bd4d62d36712396b769c0a7b2395a", "isLive": false, "limitations": "Published research snapshots and calculations; these exports do not contain current quotes or live account data. Observation windows and populations are stated in the source captions and methodology. Missing metadata is unknown, not zero. Leaderboard facts were read from vendor pages on the stated date and can change. Vultax figures describe realised P&L over short windows for wallets observed by its pipeline and are not a forecast of any wallet's results. Nothing here identifies a wallet's operator, and nothing here is financial advice.", "downloads": { "json": "https://vultax.com/research/best-polymarket-traders-leaderboards/data.json?dataset=use-the-leaderboard-table", "csv": "https://vultax.com/research/best-polymarket-traders-leaderboards/data.csv?dataset=use-the-leaderboard-table" } } ] }