@techreport{gurkaynak_wolfers_nber_2006,
  author = {Gürkaynak, Refet S. and Wolfers, Justin},
  title = {Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk},
  institution = {National Bureau of Economic Research},
  number = {11929}, year = {2006}, month = jan,
  doi = {10.3386/w11929}, url = {https://www.nber.org/papers/w11929}
}

@techreport{gurkaynak_wolfers_frbsf_2005,
  author = {Gürkaynak, Refet S. and Wolfers, Justin},
  title = {Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk},
  institution = {Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco},
  number = {2005-26}, year = {2005}, month = sep,
  url = {https://www.frbsf.org/wp-content/uploads/wp05-26bk.pdf}
}

@misc{gurkaynak_wolfers_data_2005,
  author = {Gürkaynak, Refet S. and Wolfers, Justin},
  title = {Economic derivatives data and code},
  year = {2005}, note = {Package Gurkaynak\_Wolfers\_2005\_data\_code.zip, readme dated 8 November 2005},
  url = {https://users.nber.org/~jwolfers/data.php#economicderivativesdata}
}

@misc{vultax_auction_review_2026,
  author = {{Vultax Research}},
  title = {Gürkaynak–Wolfers economic derivatives: auction-only review edition},
  year = {2026}, note = {Private curation edition 0.3.2; no deposited edition DOI. Cite original research separately.}
}