@misc{ipeirotis2026intrade,
  author = {Ipeirotis, Panos},
  title = {Intrade Historical Archive},
  publisher = {Zenodo},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.23740923},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23740923}
}

@misc{vultax2026intradeedition,
  author = {{Vultax Research Team}},
  title = {What the crowd priced: 17,295 Intrade contracts, 2002 to 2013},
  howpublished = {Vultax Research, Tallinn},
  year = {2026},
  note = {Reading edition of the Intrade Historical Archive, published 13 November 2026},
  url = {https://vultax.com/research/intrade-historical-archive}
}

@inproceedings{archak2009volatility,
  author = {Archak, Nikolay and Ipeirotis, Panagiotis G.},
  title = {Modeling Volatility in Prediction Markets},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the 10th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce},
  year = {2009},
  pages = {275--284},
  doi = {10.1145/1566374.1566414}
}

@techreport{archak2010dependency,
  author = {Archak, Nikolay and Ipeirotis, Panagiotis G.},
  title = {Modeling Dependency in Prediction Markets},
  institution = {New York University, Center for Digital Economy Research},
  number = {CeDER-10-05},
  year = {2010},
  url = {https://ssrn.com/abstract=1718942}
}