{"schemaVersion":"vultax-europe-record-v1","title":"Prediction Markets in Europe: Sixteen Blocking Orders, and Only Three Are Measured","asOf":"2026-10-19","articleUrl":"https://vultax.com/research/prediction-markets-europe-regulation-tracker","articlePath":"/research/prediction-markets-europe-regulation-tracker","countries":["Belgium","Cyprus","Czechia","Denmark","European Union","France","Germany","Gibraltar","Greece","Hungary","Ireland","Italy","Latvia","Lithuania","Malta","Netherlands","Poland","Portugal","Romania","Spain","Switzerland","Ukraine","United Kingdom"],"venues":["Polymarket","Kalshi","Not specified"],"actions":[{"id":"41b0c43ff8cf099ca428","date":"By 19 Oct 2026","authority":"Gibraltar, Licensing Authority","action":"Register of authorised operators under regulation 10 lists Predict Street Limited, PMA01, and Wire Alternative Markets Limited, PMA02; the register publishes no dates","countries":["Gibraltar"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"Gambling Division, register","url":"https://gamblingdivision.gov.gi/prediction-market-authorisations"}],"sourceNote":"Gambling Division, register","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"6e8eac8f1e7fee3b8fa6","date":"17 Oct 2026","authority":"Malta, Malta Gaming Authority","action":"Told Vultax it sees significant interest and that some prediction-market products may fit existing betting licences; declined to discuss individual applications","countries":["Malta"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"Vultax, 17 Oct 2026","url":"https://vultax.com/market-updates/malta-mga-prediction-markets-significant-interest"}],"sourceNote":"Vultax, 17 Oct 2026","evidence":"Published written response"},{"id":"addf343c1b4f9bd46ed1","date":"15 Oct 2026","authority":"Malta, Malta Gaming Authority","action":"Extended Hacksaw Group's B2B critical gaming supply licence to Type 3 gaming services for a peer-to-peer prediction-markets platform, per Hacksaw's own announcement","countries":["Malta"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"Hacksaw Group release, 15 Oct 2026","url":"https://mfn.se/a/hacksaw/hacksaw-group-launches-b2b-prediction-markets-platform-expanding-technology-and-distribution-ecosystem"}],"sourceNote":"Hacksaw Group release, 15 Oct 2026","evidence":"Company announcement"},{"id":"d5b3aca1121ecdd3c920","date":"12 Oct 2026","authority":"Latvia, State Revenue Service","action":"Told Vultax that polymarket.com was blocked by a decision of the Lotteries and Gambling Supervisory Inspection of 25 November 2024, that Polymarket's operator Adventure One QSS is not subject to payment blocking, that the supervisor has not asked the operator to restrict Latvian users, and that the decision was not appealed; the answer did not cover Kalshi's entries","countries":["Latvia"],"venues":["Polymarket","Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"State Revenue Service, blocked operators and websites","url":"https://www.vid.gov.lv/lv/bloketie-komersanti"}],"sourceNote":"Vultax, 22 Oct 2026; State Revenue Service, blocked operators and websites","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"d897cdab8a216a083bfd","date":"7 Oct 2026","authority":"Germany, GGL","action":"Confirmed to Vultax that administrative proceedings are open against Polymarket and Kalshi, both responded, geoblocking is in place, and no internet-provider block was requested","countries":["Germany"],"venues":["Polymarket","Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"Vultax, 7 Oct 2026","url":"https://vultax.com/market-updates/polymarket-kalshi-germany-ggl-proceedings"}],"sourceNote":"Vultax, 7 Oct 2026","evidence":"Published written response"},{"id":"5236d90c8053d7645ccf","date":"6 Oct 2026","authority":"United Kingdom, FCA","action":"Markets executive director Simon Walls said the FCA is engaging with operators on their UK plans; the retail ban on binary options is unchanged","countries":["United Kingdom"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"The Paypers, reporting the FCA","url":"https://thepaypers.com/crypto-web3-and-cbdc/news/fca-reportedly-confirms-talks-as-prediction-markets-push-back-on-gambling-label"}],"sourceNote":"The Paypers, reporting the FCA","evidence":"Reported; primary check pending"},{"id":"4211e890fa0eb690a816","date":"6 Oct 2026","authority":"Ireland, GRAI","action":"Told Vultax that two major prediction-market operators geoblocked Ireland earlier this year after its interventions, that prediction markets offering betting count as remote betting intermediaries and have needed a GRAI licence since 1 July 2026, and that legal action can include High Court blocking orders aimed at internet providers, app stores and payments","countries":["Ireland"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"GRAI, business-to-consumer licences","url":"https://www.grai.ie/licensing-regulation/business-to-consumer-licenses"}],"sourceNote":"Written answer to Vultax, 6 Oct 2026, attributed to a GRAI spokesperson and quoted below; GRAI, business-to-consumer licences","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"f03f3499b4b46109d567","date":"6 Oct 2026","authority":"Denmark, Danish Gambling Authority","action":"Asked about Polymarket's appeal against the blocking order, told Vultax only that a remand had been claimed and the appeal was still pending","countries":["Denmark"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[],"sourceNote":"Written answer to Vultax, 6 Oct 2026, quoted below","evidence":"Source not linked"},{"id":"847ca67e1c307bbaefbf","date":"1 Oct 2026","authority":"Spain, DGOJ","action":"Told Vultax it cannot say whether it has ruled in the sanction case against Polymarket and Kalshi","countries":["Spain"],"venues":["Polymarket","Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"Vultax, 2 Oct 2026","url":"https://vultax.com/market-updates/polymarket-kalshi-spain-sanction-decision"}],"sourceNote":"Vultax, 2 Oct 2026","evidence":"Published written response"},{"id":"946a65b8786e2999b4d0","date":"30 Sep 2026","authority":"Lithuania, Gaming Control Authority","action":"Told Vultax that Polymarket's operator had neither responded nor appealed, and that other prediction-market sites are under evaluation","countries":["Lithuania"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Vultax, 30 Sep 2026","url":"https://vultax.com/market-updates/polymarket-blocked-in-lithuania"}],"sourceNote":"Vultax, 30 Sep 2026","evidence":"Published written response"},{"id":"5c8188bc5e746c832cde","date":"30 Sep 2026","authority":"Czechia, Ministry of Finance","action":"Entered kalshi.com on the List of Unauthorised Internet Games; providers must block it within fifteen days","countries":["Czechia"],"venues":["Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"Ministry of Finance list, PDF","url":"https://mf.gov.cz/assets/attachments/Zverejnovane-udaje-ze-Seznamu-nepovolenych-internetovych-her_v210.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"Ministry of Finance list, PDF","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"1cbc28b3a22a207b7a2f","date":"10 Sep 2026","authority":"EU, ESMA","action":"Risk report with a chapter on prediction markets: the largest platforms hold no EU authorisation, insider trading is a risk, and the platforms restrict some EU countries but not others","countries":["European Union"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"ESMA TRV Risk Monitor No. 2, 2026","url":"https://www.esma.europa.eu/sites/default/files/2026-09/ESMA50-1949966494-4282_TRV_Risk_Monitor_2_2026.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"ESMA TRV Risk Monitor No. 2, 2026","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"d6f9977893503039a147","date":"8 Sep 2026","authority":"Lithuania, Gaming Control Authority","action":"Announced the block of polymarket.com after a Regional Administrative Court ruling of 24 August; entry 2,204 on the list of illegal operators","countries":["Lithuania"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Gaming Control Authority notice","url":"https://lpt.lrv.lt/lt/naujienos/po-lpt-tyrimo-uzblokuota-prieiga-prie-polymarket-svetaines-Jno/"}],"sourceNote":"Gaming Control Authority notice","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"aa99ab6b7a5ffcfb03d8","date":"13 Aug 2026","authority":"Gibraltar, Government","action":"Prediction Market (Fees and Duties) Regulations 2026, LN.2026/316, in operation: 30,000 pounds to apply, 100,000 pounds a year, and a general prediction market duty of 0.15 percent of commission charged","countries":["Gibraltar"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"Gibraltar Laws, LN.2026/316","url":"https://www.gibraltarlaws.gov.gi/uploads/legislations/gambling/2026s316/2026s316.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"Gibraltar Laws, LN.2026/316","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"0c689e337138ee2d4d40","date":"5 Aug 2026","authority":"Italy, TAR Lazio","action":"Refused Polymarket's urgent application to suspend the block; the site stays inaccessible pending the merits","countries":["Italy"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Sky TG24","url":"https://tg24.sky.it/economia/2026/08/05/polymarket-italia-chiuso-ricorso-respinto"}],"sourceNote":"Sky TG24","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"97d82eb6db7da81e9a93","date":"16 Jul 2026","authority":"France, ANJ","action":"The ANJ president ordered internet providers to block polymarket.com; the communiqué of 17 July cites a Paris prosecutor's investigation opened on 4 May into manipulated weather bets and the absence of identity checks; Polymarket said on 23 July it would challenge","countries":["France"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"ANJ communiqué, 17 Jul 2026","url":"https://anj.fr/promotion-dune-offre-de-jeux-dargent-illegale-blocage-du-site-polymarket"},{"label":"CoinDesk, 23 Jul 2026","url":"https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/07/23/polymarket-to-challenge-france-s-nationwide-website-block"}],"sourceNote":"ANJ communiqué, 17 Jul 2026; CoinDesk, 23 Jul 2026","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"b677cce651b9591d316a","date":"13 Jul 2026","authority":"Gibraltar, Government","action":"Prediction Market Regulations 2026, LN.2026/176, in force: an authorisation regime with a public register, separate from a gambling licence; two operators reported on the register","countries":["Gibraltar"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"Gibraltar Laws, LN.2026/176","url":"https://www.gibraltarlaws.gov.gi/uploads/legislations/gambling/2026s176/2026s176.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"Gibraltar Laws, LN.2026/176","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"ebf851515fd4a2b7ba28","date":"13 Jul 2026","authority":"Czechia, Ministry of Finance","action":"Entered polymarket.com on the List of Unauthorised Internet Games; the first providers were blocking it by 16 July","countries":["Czechia"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Ministry of Finance, blocking page","url":"https://mf.gov.cz/cs/kontrola-a-regulace/hazardni-hry/blokace-nepovolenych-internetovych-her"},{"label":"Lupa.cz","url":"https://www.lupa.cz/aktuality/cesko-zakazalo-popularni-polymarket-sazkarsky-web-uz-blokuji-prvni-poskytovatele-internetu/"}],"sourceNote":"Ministry of Finance, blocking page; Lupa.cz","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"b959e1222895a658d698","date":"10 Jul 2026","authority":"Italy, ADM","action":"Decision 427985 ordered 293 more sites blocked by 27 July 2026, polymarket.com among them; the domain is number 3934 on the list read 19 October","countries":["Italy"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"ADM, decision of 10 Jul 2026","url":"https://www.adm.gov.it/portale/documents/20182/128370228/Nota427985RU_Fri+Jul+10+020000+CEST+2026.pdf"},{"label":"ADM list of blocked sites","url":"https://www.adm.gov.it/portale/documents/20182/109453590/elenco_siti_inibiti.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"ADM, decision of 10 Jul 2026; ADM list of blocked sites","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"ef1198a6b3695bbf4e40","date":"8 Jul 2026","authority":"Denmark, court at Frederiksberg","action":"Ruled for the Danish Gambling Authority and ordered internet providers to block 98 gambling sites; polymarket.com is number 97 on the authority's published list; the authority announced the ruling on 19 August","countries":["Denmark"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Danish Gambling Authority, 19 Aug 2026","url":"https://spillemyndigheden.dk/en-us/news-articles/the-danish-gambling-authority-blocks-98-illegal-gambling-sites"},{"label":"list of blocked websites, July 2026","url":"https://spillemyndigheden.dk/media/ettbgi33/websites-blocked-july-2026.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"Danish Gambling Authority, 19 Aug 2026; list of blocked websites, July 2026","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"5e247fc0c2cac7aebbc0","date":"3 Jul 2026","authority":"EU, ESMA","action":"Public statement: an event contract that is a financial instrument is a derivative, falls under the national bans on selling binary options to retail clients, and may be distributed only by an authorised investment firm","countries":["European Union"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"ESMA public statement, PDF","url":"https://www.esma.europa.eu/sites/default/files/2026-07/ESMA35-243228190-8148_Public_Statement_on_the_application_of_the_national_product_intervention_measures_on_binary_options_to_event_contracts.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"ESMA public statement, PDF","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"bbee5a2dda040f1a6d20","date":"23 Jun 2026","authority":"Netherlands, Kansspelautoriteit","action":"Rejected Polymarket's objection; the order under penalty and the 420,000 euro penalty stand; published 8 July; an appeal lies to the district court","countries":["Netherlands"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Kansspelautoriteit, decision on objection, 23 Jun 2026","url":"https://kansspelautoriteit.nl/sites/default/files/2026-07/2026-06-23_24971_beslissing%20op%20bezwaar%20Adventure%20One%20QSS%20Inc._sanctiebesluit.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"Kansspelautoriteit, decision on objection, 23 Jun 2026","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"2341fc367929a47389f3","date":"17 Jun 2026","authority":"Switzerland, Gespa","action":"Media release joining the joint statement: prediction markets are gambling under Swiss law, providers from abroad without authorisation act illegally and access to their websites is blocked","countries":["Switzerland"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"Gespa, 17 Jun 2026","url":"https://www.gespa.ch/download/pictures/33/vqqy606j9ss18bv1iw621p37i8ept9/26-06-17_medienmitteilung_prognosemaerkte_en.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"Gespa, 17 Jun 2026","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"cda1210c22d43447cca0","date":"17 Jun 2026","authority":"Nine regulators: Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland","action":"Joint statement at the opening of the World Cup warning about unlicensed prediction markets and pledging enforcement; the GGL told Vultax on 7 October that no joint measures had followed yet","countries":["Belgium","France","Germany","Italy","Netherlands","Poland","Portugal","Spain","Switzerland"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"EGR","url":"https://www.egr.global/intel/news/european-regulators-join-forces-and-threaten-action-against-prediction-markets/"},{"label":"Gaming Tech Law","url":"https://www.gamingtechlaw.com/2026/06/prediction-markets-in-europe/"}],"sourceNote":"EGR; Gaming Tech Law","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"e14b344edb5c6cd8ee7e","date":"26 May 2026","authority":"Spain, DGOJ","action":"Opened sanction proceedings against Polymarket and Kalshi and ordered internet providers to block both sites as a precaution, notified in the official gazette","countries":["Spain"],"venues":["Polymarket","Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"Vultax, 2 Oct 2026","url":"https://vultax.com/market-updates/polymarket-kalshi-spain-sanction-decision"}],"sourceNote":"Vultax, 2 Oct 2026","evidence":"Published written response"},{"id":"8c9bfcf9d5d3fc682090","date":"19 May 2026","authority":"Netherlands, Kansspelautoriteit","action":"Collection decision: the 420,000 euros forfeited after the 17 February deadline are to be collected; published 16 June","countries":["Netherlands"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Kansspelautoriteit, case page","url":"https://kansspelautoriteit.nl/adventure-one-qss-inc-polymarket"}],"sourceNote":"Kansspelautoriteit, case page","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"cd7ee08ec704d672d51c","date":"9 Apr 2026","authority":"Greece, Hellenic Gaming Commission","action":"Decision 11131 entered kalshi.com on the blacklist in its 50th edition; predictit.org followed in the 52nd edition by decision 18780 of 12 June 2026","countries":["Greece"],"venues":["Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"Hellenic Gaming Commission, blacklist, 53rd edition","url":"https://hgc.gov.gr/%ce%ba%ce%bf%ce%b9%ce%bd%cf%8c-%ce%ba%ce%b1%ce%b9-%cf%80%ce%b1%ce%af%ce%ba%cf%84%ce%b5%cf%82/blacklist/"}],"sourceNote":"Hellenic Gaming Commission, blacklist, 53rd edition","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"a4b89bd2639638dca1d6","date":"1 Apr 2026","authority":"Romania, court","action":"Refused to suspend the ONJN blacklisting of Polymarket while the case continues","countries":["Romania"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"SiGMA, 6 Apr 2026","url":"https://sigma.world/news/romanian-court-keeps-polymarket-onjn-blacklist/"}],"sourceNote":"SiGMA, 6 Apr 2026; reported, court document not read","evidence":"Reported; primary check pending"},{"id":"15547aaf5801938acf6e","date":"26 Mar 2026","authority":"Gibraltar, Licensing Authority","action":"Predict Street Ltd licensed as a betting intermediary under the 2005 Act, reported from the licence register as the first prediction-market licence in Europe","countries":["Gibraltar"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"iGaming Business, 1 Apr 2026","url":"https://igamingbusiness.com/prediction-markets/gibraltar-licenses-first-prediction-market-operator/"}],"sourceNote":"iGaming Business, 1 Apr 2026; reported, licence document not read","evidence":"Reported; primary check pending"},{"id":"ec8247b5b1b9975a2a54","date":"Feb 2026","authority":"United Kingdom, Gambling Commission","action":"Said prediction-market businesses could require a betting intermediary licence, since trading positions on event outcomes can resemble a betting exchange","countries":["United Kingdom"],"venues":["Not specified"],"sources":[{"label":"The Paypers","url":"https://thepaypers.com/crypto-web3-and-cbdc/news/fca-reportedly-confirms-talks-as-prediction-markets-push-back-on-gambling-label"}],"sourceNote":"The Paypers; the Commission's text not read","evidence":"Reported; primary check pending"},{"id":"6c1c2707d0348c51bd9a","date":"24 Feb 2026","authority":"France, ANJ","action":"Statement that prediction-market platforms are illegal in France and carry the risks of unlicensed gambling; names Polymarket and Kalshi, both geoblocked at the ANJ's request, and lists ten countries that have blocked Polymarket, Greece and Cyprus among them","countries":["France"],"venues":["Polymarket","Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"ANJ, 24 Feb 2026","url":"https://anj.fr/plateformes-de-marches-de-prediction-des-sites-illegaux-en-france-qui-peuvent-presenter-des-risques"}],"sourceNote":"ANJ, 24 Feb 2026","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"9d1ca8f7e28d732e7bf2","date":"By 24 Feb 2026","authority":"Cyprus, National Betting Authority","action":"polymarket.com and kalshi.com on the blocking list that internet providers must apply under article 69 of the Betting Law of 2019; absent from an archived copy of 17 September 2025, present when read on 19 October 2026; the French ANJ named Cyprus as a blocking country on 24 February 2026","countries":["Cyprus"],"venues":["Polymarket","Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"National Betting Authority, blocking list","url":"https://nba.gov.cy/wp-content/uploads/BlockingListLatest.txt"},{"label":"archived copy, 17 Sep 2025","url":"http://web.archive.org/web/20250917175440/https://nba.gov.cy/wp-content/uploads/BlockingListLatest.txt"}],"sourceNote":"National Betting Authority, blocking list; archived copy, 17 Sep 2025","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"4be01d53a53e9509154e","date":"18 Feb 2026","authority":"Netherlands, Kansspelautoriteit","action":"Found Polymarket still accessible the day after the 17 February deadline of its order under penalty; 420,000 euros forfeited, with 840,000 the maximum","countries":["Netherlands"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"NOS","url":"https://nos.nl/l/2602855"},{"label":"Gambling Insider NL","url":"https://www.gamblinginsider.com/nl/nieuws/104336/polymarket-krijgt-e420-000-boete-van-de-kansspelautoriteit-in-juni"}],"sourceNote":"NOS; Gambling Insider NL","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"05bde49ab62210d2704b","date":"13 Feb 2026","authority":"Romania, ONJN","action":"Decision 76 entered kalshi.com on the blacklist, number 4 in annex 1, on inspection report 7675 of 11 February","countries":["Romania"],"venues":["Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"ONJN, decision 76 and annexes","url":"https://onjn.gov.ro/decizia-nr-76-din-13-02-2026/"}],"sourceNote":"ONJN, decision 76 and annexes","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"76cb199531ee16aab21b","date":"20 Jan 2026","authority":"Netherlands, Kansspelautoriteit","action":"Order under penalty on Adventure One QSS Inc., decision 22310/01.370.802: stop giving the opportunity to gamble through polymarket.com within four weeks or forfeit 420,000 euros per week up to 840,000 euros; published 17 February","countries":["Netherlands"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Kansspelautoriteit, decision of 20 Jan 2026","url":"https://kansspelautoriteit.nl/sites/default/files/2026-02/2026-01-20_22310_LOD%20Adventure%20One%20SQQ%20Inc._sanctiebesluit.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"Kansspelautoriteit, decision of 20 Jan 2026","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"81969180c27f7ba26c7f","date":"By 18 Jan 2026","authority":"Italy, ADM","action":"kalshi.com on the list of blocked gambling sites in an archived copy dated 18 January 2026; the decision that added it has not been read","countries":["Italy"],"venues":["Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"ADM list, archived copy","url":"http://web.archive.org/web/20260118041158/https://www.adm.gov.it/portale/documents/20182/114059352/elenco_siti_inibiti_giochi.txt"}],"sourceNote":"ADM list, archived copy","evidence":"Archived source"},{"id":"d4cfe801f86edf012360","date":"16 Jan 2026","authority":"Portugal, SRIJ","action":"Ban: Polymarket is not authorised to offer betting in Portugal, and betting on political events is not permitted under national law","countries":["Portugal"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Decrypt via Yahoo","url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/polymarket-banned-portugal-hungary-prediction-175111303.html"}],"sourceNote":"Decrypt via Yahoo; the regulator's notice not read","evidence":"Reported; primary check pending"},{"id":"c8eae8107d7aca1d0132","date":"16 Jan 2026","authority":"Hungary, SZTFH","action":"Temporary order requiring internet providers to block polymarket.com and its subdomains","countries":["Hungary"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Lexology, CMS note","url":"https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=314ca58f-8ef0-4608-9173-8ea5dddc1196"}],"sourceNote":"Lexology, CMS note","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"35fafd3d91d73097c5e9","date":"22 Dec 2025","authority":"Latvia, Lotteries and Gambling Supervisory Inspection","action":"Decision 3985-Blok put KalshiEX LLC and Kalshi Klear LLC on the list of unlicensed operators that credit and payment institutions may not work with; kalshi.com and www.kalshi.com are also on the blocked-domain list, which publishes no entry dates","countries":["Latvia"],"venues":["Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"State Revenue Service, payment-blocking list","url":"https://www.vid.gov.lv/lv/media/33851/download?attachment="},{"label":"blocked-domain list","url":"https://www.vid.gov.lv/lv/media/33860/download?attachment="}],"sourceNote":"State Revenue Service, payment-blocking list; blocked-domain list","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"3992b03c30e670a56e23","date":"10 Dec 2025","authority":"Ukraine, National Commission for the Regulation of Electronic Communications","action":"Resolution 695 added polymarket.com to the register of blocked websites","countries":["Ukraine"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Decrypt via Yahoo","url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-blocks-polymarket-over-war-163335690.html"}],"sourceNote":"Decrypt via Yahoo; resolution not read","evidence":"Reported; primary check pending"},{"id":"451450ad25bc5147a04a","date":"25 Nov 2025","authority":"Switzerland, Gespa","action":"kalshi.com added to the blocking list; four Swiss-branded Polymarket domains followed on 25 August 2026","countries":["Switzerland"],"venues":["Polymarket","Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"Gespa blocking list, 25 Aug 2026","url":"https://blocklist.gespa.ch/comlot_blacklist.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"Gespa blocking list, 25 Aug 2026","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"7898523b5d39b8fe6313","date":"21 Nov 2025","authority":"Greece, Hellenic Gaming Commission","action":"Decision 32917 entered polymarket.com, operator Adventure One QSS, on the blacklist of unlicensed providers in its 47th edition; internet providers must deny access under article 48 of Law 4002/2011","countries":["Greece"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Hellenic Gaming Commission, blacklist, 53rd edition","url":"https://hgc.gov.gr/%ce%ba%ce%bf%ce%b9%ce%bd%cf%8c-%ce%ba%ce%b1%ce%b9-%cf%80%ce%b1%ce%af%ce%ba%cf%84%ce%b5%cf%82/blacklist/"},{"label":"the list as a spreadsheet","url":"https://hgc.gov.gr/wp-content/uploads/blacklist.xlsx"}],"sourceNote":"Hellenic Gaming Commission, blacklist, 53rd edition; the list as a spreadsheet","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"cf6229832fcb57c27d88","date":"29 Oct 2025","authority":"Romania, ONJN","action":"Decision 883 of the Supervisory Committee entered polymarket.com on the blacklist, number 19 in annex 1, on inspection report 75.111 of 24 October; providers must block access","countries":["Romania"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"ONJN, decision 883 and annexes","url":"https://onjn.gov.ro/decizia-nr-883-din-29-10-2025/"}],"sourceNote":"ONJN, decision 883 and annexes","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"7cbe4e15870546263498","date":"5 Sep 2025","authority":"Germany, GGL","action":"Public warning naming Polymarket: paid bets on social and political events cannot be licensed in Germany","countries":["Germany"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"GGL warning","url":"https://www.gluecksspiel-behoerde.de/de/news/ggl-warnt-vor-teilnahme-an-illegalen-gesellschaftswetten"}],"sourceNote":"GGL warning","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"74573008c938728fac3e","date":"14 Apr 2025","authority":"Poland, Ministry of Finance","action":"kalshi.com and www.kalshi.com entered in the register, entries 49208 and 49209; predictit.org and predictit.com followed on 12 May 2025","countries":["Poland"],"venues":["Kalshi"],"sources":[{"label":"Register of domains","url":"https://hazard.mf.gov.pl/"}],"sourceNote":"Register of domains","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"1f971521ffd4b86a262f","date":"30 Jan 2025","authority":"Belgium, Kansspelcommissie","action":"Added Polymarket to the blacklist after warnings went unanswered and asked the prosecutor to have access blocked","countries":["Belgium"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"CDC Gaming","url":"https://cdcgaming.com/brief/belgium-blocks-polymarket-as-blacklisted-website/"},{"label":"SBC News","url":"https://sbcnews.co.uk/sportsbook/2025/02/03/polymarket-belgium-ban/"}],"sourceNote":"CDC Gaming; SBC News","evidence":"Published source; see citation"},{"id":"716abad9d83c3abb1553","date":"8 Jan 2025","authority":"Poland, Ministry of Finance","action":"polymarket.com, www.polymarket.com and learn.polymarket.com entered in the register of domains used to offer gambling contrary to the Act, entries 47994 to 47996; providers must block within 48 hours of an entry and payment providers must stop within 30 days","countries":["Poland"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Register of domains","url":"https://hazard.mf.gov.pl/"},{"label":"Ministry of Finance, how the register works","url":"https://www.gov.pl/web/finanse/rejestr-domen-sluzacych-do-oferowania-gier-hazardowych-niezgodnie-z-ustawa"}],"sourceNote":"Register of domains; Ministry of Finance, how the register works","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"7f7d10c497a37127b615","date":"29 Nov 2024","authority":"France, ANJ","action":"Communiqué: after the ANJ examined polymarket.com and approached Adventure One QSS Inc., the company introduced geoblocking that prevents play from France","countries":["France"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"ANJ, 29 Nov 2024","url":"https://anj.fr/suite-lintervention-de-lanj-le-site-polymarket-ne-propose-plus-ses-services-sur-le-territoire"}],"sourceNote":"ANJ, 29 Nov 2024","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"29e9841c424f72d124c0","date":"26 Nov 2024","authority":"Switzerland, Gespa","action":"Blocking order for polymarket.com under article 86 of the Gambling Act; the domain has been on Gespa's blocking list since that date, which internet providers must apply","countries":["Switzerland"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"Gespa blocking list, 25 Aug 2026","url":"https://blocklist.gespa.ch/comlot_blacklist.pdf"}],"sourceNote":"Gespa blocking list, 25 Aug 2026","evidence":"Authority document"},{"id":"f0994e234ccf8e4701cf","date":"25 Nov 2024","authority":"Latvia, Lotteries and Gambling Supervisory Inspection","action":"Decided to block polymarket.com, which was then added to the list of blocked gambling websites that internet providers must apply; the State Revenue Service confirmed the decision to Vultax on 12 October 2026 and said it was not appealed","countries":["Latvia"],"venues":["Polymarket"],"sources":[{"label":"State Revenue Service, blocked-domain list","url":"https://www.vid.gov.lv/lv/media/33860/download?attachment="},{"label":"blocked operators and websites","url":"https://www.vid.gov.lv/lv/bloketie-komersanti"}],"sourceNote":"State Revenue Service, blocked-domain list; blocked operators and websites","evidence":"Published source; see citation"}],"next":[{"date":"15 Oct 2026","where":"Czechia, Ministry of Finance","action":"Internet providers must block kalshi.com from this day; polymarket.com has been listed since 13 July"},{"date":"About 26 Nov 2026","where":"Spain, DGOJ","action":"Six-month limit on the sanction case opened on 26 May; a fine of 1 to 50 million euros is possible under article 42.3 of the Gambling Act"},{"date":"Pending","where":"Italy, TAR Lazio","action":"Decision on the merits of Polymarket's appeal against the ADM block; the urgent appeal was refused on 5 August"},{"date":"Pending","where":"Netherlands, court","action":"Polymarket's challenge to the Kansspelautoriteit's 420,000 euro penalty, forfeited after the 17 February deadline"},{"date":"Pending","where":"Denmark, appeal","action":"Polymarket's appeal against the Frederiksberg court's blocking order; on 6 October the Danish Gambling Authority said a remand had been claimed and the appeal was still pending"},{"date":"1 Jan 2027","where":"Finland","action":"The new licensing regime opens; no Finnish action on prediction markets has been found"}],"restrictions":[{"country":"France","authorityAction":"ISP block, 16 Jul 2026","platformPolicy":"Close-only on website and API"},{"country":"Belgium","authorityAction":"Blacklist, 30 Jan 2025","platformPolicy":"Close-only on website and API"},{"country":"Italy","authorityAction":"ISP block, 10 Jul 2026, in force 27 Jul","platformPolicy":"Close-only on website and API"},{"country":"Germany","authorityAction":"Proceedings; no ISP order","platformPolicy":"Close-only on website and API"},{"country":"Poland","authorityAction":"Register entry, 8 Jan 2025","platformPolicy":"Close-only on website and API"},{"country":"Netherlands","authorityAction":"Penalty order, 20 Jan 2026","platformPolicy":"Close-only on website only"},{"country":"Ireland","authorityAction":"No order; GRAI interventions, 2026","platformPolicy":"Close-only on website only"},{"country":"Spain","authorityAction":"ISP block, 26 May 2026","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Portugal","authorityAction":"Ban, 16 Jan 2026","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Hungary","authorityAction":"ISP block, 16 Jan 2026","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Czechia","authorityAction":"Listed, 13 Jul 2026","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Lithuania","authorityAction":"ISP block, 8 Sep 2026","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Romania","authorityAction":"Blacklist, 29 Oct 2025","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Switzerland","authorityAction":"ISP block, 26 Nov 2024","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Cyprus","authorityAction":"Blocking list, by 24 Feb 2026","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Greece","authorityAction":"Blacklist, 21 Nov 2025","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Latvia","authorityAction":"Blocked-site list, 25 Nov 2024","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Denmark","authorityAction":"Court-ordered ISP block, 8 Jul 2026","platformPolicy":"Not listed"},{"country":"Ukraine","authorityAction":"Register, 10 Dec 2025","platformPolicy":"Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk only"}],"measurements":[{"country":"France","polymarket":"385 of 472","kalshi":"no tests","authorityAction":"ISP block since 16 Jul 2026"},{"country":"Spain","polymarket":"381 of 791","kalshi":"1,060 of 1,621","authorityAction":"ISP block since 26 May 2026"},{"country":"Switzerland","polymarket":"2 of 13","kalshi":"no tests","authorityAction":"ISP block since 26 Nov 2024"},{"country":"Sweden","polymarket":"0 of 6","kalshi":"no tests","authorityAction":"None found"},{"country":"Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Romania, Belgium, Ukraine, Poland, Cyprus, Greece, Latvia, Denmark","polymarket":"no tests","kalshi":"no tests","authorityAction":"Orders in the record above"}],"measurementWindow":"21 July to 19 October 2026","version":"be602328b4bda088caf4e8b972d4086e5f8aba6a3e4db80d37502b44caaaf9f2","isLive":false}