# Worlds 2026 Final Odds: Polymarket Gives Gen.G 62.5% Against Bilibili Gaming
Polymarket gives Gen.G 62.5% to win the Worlds 2026 final against Bilibili Gaming on 14 November in Brooklyn. Gen.G has not lost a series at this Worlds; BLG came through on the last day of the Swiss stage. The favourite has won all six knockout series so far.
Canonical URL: https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket
Author: [Vultax Research Team](https://vultax.com/editorial-policy#who)
Published: 2026-11-09
Last public revision: 2026-11-09
Cite as: Vultax Research Team (2026). Worlds 2026 Final Odds: Polymarket Gives Gen.G 62.5% Against Bilibili Gaming. Vultax Research notes 2026-045, Vultax Research, Tallinn, 9 November 2026. https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket
AI-assisted drafting, research and editing. Published by OmniOS OÜ. [How we use AI](https://vultax.com/editorial-policy#ai)
Published research snapshots and calculations; these exports do not contain current quotes or live account data. Observation windows and populations are stated in the source captions and methodology. Missing metadata is unknown, not zero. A reading of public market prices at stated times; not a forecast by Vultax and not advice to trade.
## Key figures
- Gen.G to win Worlds 2026, on Polymarket: 62.5% — At 18:00 UTC on 9 November 2026. Bilibili Gaming was 37.4%
- Gen.G in the market on the final itself: 62.5% — Best of five, Saturday 14 November, 19:00 UTC
- Knockout series won by the favourite: 6 of 6 — The team priced above 50% an hour before the start won every quarterfinal and semifinal
- Four or five games in the final: 72.5% — 27.5% for a 3-0 sweep either way
## Polymarket makes Gen.G the favourite for Saturday
Gen.G and Bilibili Gaming (BLG) meet in the League of Legends World Championship final on Saturday 14 November at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York ([Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_League_of_Legends_World_Championship)). The best of five starts at 14:00 New York time, 19:00 UTC: 11:00 in Los Angeles, 16:00 in São Paulo, 19:00 in London, 20:00 in Paris and Berlin, and 03:00 on Sunday in Beijing and 04:00 in Seoul.
At 18:00 UTC on 9 November, Polymarket gave Gen.G a 62.5% chance of winning Worlds 2026 and BLG 37.4%. Its market on the final itself had Gen.G at 62.5%. About $14.1 million has traded on the winner market since it opened on 10 September, and about $290,000 on the final before a game has been played.
The market also expects a long night. It gives four or five games 72.5%, against 27.5% for a 3-0 sweep either way. Korea's league, the LCK, is 62.5% to take the title from China's LPL, the same split as the two teams, since each league has one finalist left. The [Vultax esports room](https://app.vultax.com/predictions/topic/esports) follows both markets live through the final.
### Who wins Worlds 2026: Gen.G and Bilibili Gaming on Polymarket
Polymarket, daily readings at 00:00 UTC from 13 September, and 18:00 UTC on 9 November 2026. Percent.
| Category | Gen.G wins Worlds 2026 (%) | Bilibili Gaming wins Worlds 2026 (%) |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 13 Sep | 30.5 | 29.5 |
| 14 Sep | 38.5 | 23.5 |
| 15 Sep | 39 | 17 |
| 16 Sep | 37.5 | 18 |
| 17 Sep | 37 | 19.5 |
| 18 Sep | 37 | 20.5 |
| 19 Sep | 38.5 | 21 |
| 20 Sep | 38.5 | 21 |
| 21 Sep | 38.5 | 21 |
| 22 Sep | 38.5 | 21 |
| 23 Sep | 37.5 | 21 |
| 24 Sep | 37.5 | 20.5 |
| 25 Sep | 34.5 | 20 |
| 26 Sep | 34.5 | 19.5 |
| 27 Sep | 34.5 | 19.5 |
| 28 Sep | 35 | 21 |
| 29 Sep | 35.5 | 20 |
| 30 Sep | 35.5 | 20.5 |
| 1 Oct | 36.5 | 18.5 |
| 2 Oct | 35.5 | 19.5 |
| 3 Oct | 34.5 | 19.5 |
| 4 Oct | 33.5 | 17.5 |
| 5 Oct | 34.5 | 17.5 |
| 6 Oct | 34 | 18.5 |
| 7 Oct | 33 | 17.5 |
| 8 Oct | 33 | 17.5 |
| 9 Oct | 32.5 | 16.5 |
| 10 Oct | 33 | 17.5 |
| 11 Oct | 32.5 | 18.5 |
| 12 Oct | 30.5 | 18.5 |
| 13 Oct | 30.5 | 18.5 |
| 14 Oct | 30.5 | 16.5 |
| 15 Oct | 32 | 18.5 |
| 16 Oct | 30.5 | 18.5 |
| 17 Oct | 31.5 | 17.5 |
| 18 Oct | 30.5 | 17.5 |
| 19 Oct | 30.5 | 17.5 |
| 20 Oct | 31.5 | 16.5 |
| 21 Oct | 31.5 | 17.5 |
| 23 Oct | 33.5 | 16.5 |
| 24 Oct | 33.5 | 13 |
| 25 Oct | 33.5 | 13 |
| 26 Oct | 38 | 13 |
| 27 Oct | 43 | 11.5 |
| 28 Oct | 43.5 | 11.5 |
| 29 Oct | 43.5 | 11.5 |
| 30 Oct | 43.5 | 12.5 |
| 31 Oct | 43.5 | 7.5 |
| 1 Nov | 46.5 | 16.6 |
| 2 Nov | 46.5 | 15.5 |
| 3 Nov | 47.5 | 15.3 |
| 4 Nov | 48.5 | 14.8 |
| 5 Nov | 53 | 13.5 |
| 6 Nov | 53.5 | 20.9 |
| 7 Nov | 53.5 | 20.3 |
| 8 Nov | 61 | 22.6 |
| 9 Nov, 18:00 UTC | 62.5 | 37.4 |
[CSV](https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket/data.csv?dataset=the-final-chart), [JSON](https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket/data.json?dataset=the-final-chart)
## Gen.G has not lost a series at this Worlds
Gen.G won its three Swiss-stage series in Los Angeles, against Invictus Gaming, Hanwha Life Esports and LYON, dropping one game to LYON. In the knockout stage in Allen, Texas, it swept LYON and Invictus Gaming 3-0. Polymarket had it as the favourite before all five series, from 59% against Hanwha Life to 92% against LYON.
It has been the favourite in the winner market every day since 13 September; only the first three days after it opened on 10 September had another leader (BLG, then Hanwha Life). Its price rose from 32% on 15 October, as the play-in began, to 46.5% at the end of the Swiss stage and 62.5% on 9 November.
## BLG came through on the last day of the Swiss stage
BLG took the long way. It lost its first Swiss-stage game to Movistar KOI, a best of one in which Polymarket had made it an 81% favourite, and later lost a best of three to Top Esports at 76%. With two wins and two losses it had to beat Hanwha Life Esports on 31 October to stay in. That afternoon, its price to win Worlds fell to 4.5%.
It won 2-0 as the underdog, priced at 42% before the series, then swept Dplus KIA 3-0 in the quarterfinal and beat T1 3-1 in the semifinal on 8 November. About $30.3 million traded on that semifinal, more than on any other series of the tournament.
## The favourite has won every knockout series
Polymarket runs a market on the winner of every series. In the six best-of-five knockout series in Allen, the team priced above 50% an hour before the start won all six, from Invictus Gaming at 55% against Top Esports to Gen.G at 92% against LYON.
Favourites did worse in the Swiss stage, winning 20 of 33 series: 12 of the 20 best of ones and 8 of the 13 best of threes. The biggest upset came in the play-in, where FURIA beat Cloud9 with Cloud9 at 84%, and BLG lost twice as a favourite of 76% or more. Across all 45 series so far, play-in included, the favourite has won 29.
A longer series gives the stronger team more room, which fits that record. Six knockout series are still a small sample.
The six knockout series of Worlds 2026 in Allen, Texas, all best of five. The favourite is the team priced above 50% in Polymarket's market on the series one hour before the scheduled start. Scores from Wikipedia; dates in New York time.
| Date | Round | Series | Favourite an hour before | Result |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov | Quarterfinal | Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming | Invictus Gaming 55% | Invictus Gaming 3-1 |
| 4 Nov | Quarterfinal | Gen.G vs LYON | Gen.G 92% | Gen.G 3-0 |
| 5 Nov | Quarterfinal | Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming 59% | Bilibili Gaming 3-0 |
| 6 Nov | Quarterfinal | Karmine Corp vs T1 | T1 83% | T1 3-1 |
| 7 Nov | Semifinal | Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G | Gen.G 80% | Gen.G 3-0 |
| 8 Nov | Semifinal | Bilibili Gaming vs T1 | Bilibili Gaming 56% | Bilibili Gaming 3-1 |
[CSV](https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket/data.csv?dataset=favourites-table), [JSON](https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket/data.json?dataset=favourites-table)
## BLG is back in the final it lost two years ago
T1 won the last three Worlds, in 2023, 2024 and 2025, and BLG ended that run in the semifinal. In 2024 BLG lost the final to T1 3-2 at The O2 Arena in London ([Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_League_of_Legends_World_Championship)).
Gen.G lost in the semifinals in each of the last two years, 1-3 to T1 in 2024 and 1-3 to KT Rolster in 2025 ([Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_League_of_Legends_World_Championship)). Last year it was an even bigger favourite than it is now: 66.5% to win Worlds on the morning of that semifinal in Chengdu ([Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/lol-worlds-2025-winner)). T1, at 12% a week earlier, took the title. Its first roster came from Samsung Galaxy, the 2017 world champions, and it won the Mid-Season Invitational in 2024 and 2025, but it has never won Worlds as Gen.G ([Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gen.G_Esports)). Whichever team lifts the trophy on Saturday wins its first Worlds under its current name.
## How we got these numbers
Each price is the last value at or before 18:00 UTC on 9 November 2026 in Polymarket's public price history, for the Worlds 2026: Winner market, the market on the final, its games-total market and the Worlds 2026 Winning Region market. The chart uses Polymarket's daily readings at 00:00 UTC, with the previous value carried over the two days the daily series skips; BLG's low on 31 October is from the hourly history.
The favourite in a series is the team priced above 50% in that series' market one hour before the scheduled start; the winner is how the market settled, checked against the results on Wikipedia. Polymarket's esports markets are among its thinnest, as [our sports and esports study](https://vultax.com/research/polymarket-sports-and-esports-markets) found, and these are market prices, not a forecast by Vultax.
## Questions
### Who is favoured to win the Worlds 2026 final?
At 18:00 UTC on 9 November 2026, Polymarket gave Gen.G 62.5% to win Worlds 2026 and Bilibili Gaming 37.4%. The market on the final itself had Gen.G at 62.5%. These are market prices, not a forecast.
### When is the Worlds 2026 final?
Saturday 14 November 2026 at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York, from 14:00 New York time (19:00 UTC). That is 11:00 in Los Angeles, 20:00 in Paris and Berlin, and 03:00 and 04:00 on Sunday in Beijing and Seoul. The final is a best of five.
### How often does the Polymarket favourite win at Worlds?
At Worlds 2026 the team priced above 50% an hour before the start won all six best-of-five knockout series, 20 of the 33 Swiss-stage series and 29 of the 45 series played so far, play-in included.
### Have Gen.G or Bilibili Gaming won Worlds before?
Neither has won Worlds under its current name. Bilibili Gaming lost the 2024 final 3-2 to T1. Gen.G lost in the semifinals in 2024 and 2025; its first roster came from Samsung Galaxy, the 2017 champions.
## Sources and methodology
- [Wikipedia: 2026 League of Legends World Championship](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_League_of_Legends_World_Championship) — Final date, time and venue; Swiss-stage and knockout results.
- [Wikipedia: 2024 League of Legends World Championship](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_League_of_Legends_World_Championship) — Final, 2 November 2024: T1 3-2 Bilibili Gaming, London. Semifinal: T1 3-1 Gen.G.
- [Wikipedia: 2025 League of Legends World Championship](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_League_of_Legends_World_Championship) — Final, 9 November 2025: T1 3-2 KT Rolster, Chengdu. Semifinal: KT Rolster 3-1 Gen.G.
- [Wikipedia: Gen.G Esports](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gen.G_Esports) — Roster from Samsung Galaxy, the 2017 world champions; Mid-Season Invitational 2024 and 2025.
- [Polymarket: Worlds 2026: Winner](https://polymarket.com/event/worlds-2026-winner) — Read at 18:00 UTC on 9 November 2026, with daily values from 10 September and hourly values from 28 October.
- [Polymarket: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5), Worlds Playoffs](https://polymarket.com/event/lol-blg-gen-2026-11-14) — The final, with its games-total market.
- [Polymarket: LoL Worlds 2025 Winner](https://polymarket.com/event/lol-worlds-2025-winner) — Daily readings at 00:00 UTC: Gen.G 66.5% on 1 November 2025, the day of its semifinal; T1 12% on 25 October 2025. Settled for T1.
- [Polymarket: Worlds 2026 Winning Region](https://polymarket.com/event/lol-worlds-2026-winning-region-226) — LCK or LPL.
- [Polymarket: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5), Worlds Playoffs](https://polymarket.com/event/lol-blg-t1-2026-11-08) — The most traded series. All 45 settled series markets, play-in to semifinals, were read one hour before their start.
- [Polymarket API: price history](https://docs.polymarket.com/) — Hourly and daily Yes prices from the CLOB API. Vultax computed the readings.
- [Vultax: Polymarket sports and esports markets](https://vultax.com/research/polymarket-sports-and-esports-markets) — How much money esports markets draw, and how thin their books are.