{
  "schemaVersion": "vultax-public-research-data-v1",
  "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket",
  "datasets": [
    {
      "title": "The favourite has won every knockout series",
      "columns": [
        {
          "name": "Date",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "name": "Round",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "name": "Series",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "name": "Favourite an hour before",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "name": "Result",
          "unit": null
        }
      ],
      "rows": [
        [
          "3 Nov",
          "Quarterfinal",
          "Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming",
          "Invictus Gaming 55%",
          "Invictus Gaming 3-1"
        ],
        [
          "4 Nov",
          "Quarterfinal",
          "Gen.G vs LYON",
          "Gen.G 92%",
          "Gen.G 3-0"
        ],
        [
          "5 Nov",
          "Quarterfinal",
          "Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming",
          "Bilibili Gaming 59%",
          "Bilibili Gaming 3-0"
        ],
        [
          "6 Nov",
          "Quarterfinal",
          "Karmine Corp vs T1",
          "T1 83%",
          "T1 3-1"
        ],
        [
          "7 Nov",
          "Semifinal",
          "Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G",
          "Gen.G 80%",
          "Gen.G 3-0"
        ],
        [
          "8 Nov",
          "Semifinal",
          "Bilibili Gaming vs T1",
          "Bilibili Gaming 56%",
          "Bilibili Gaming 3-1"
        ]
      ],
      "measurementContext": "The six knockout series of Worlds 2026 in Allen, Texas, all best of five. The favourite is the team priced above 50% in Polymarket's market on the series one hour before the scheduled start. Scores from Wikipedia; dates in New York time.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Wikipedia: 2026 League of Legends World Championship",
          "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_League_of_Legends_World_Championship",
          "note": "Final date, time and venue; Swiss-stage and knockout results."
        },
        {
          "label": "Wikipedia: 2024 League of Legends World Championship",
          "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_League_of_Legends_World_Championship",
          "note": "Final, 2 November 2024: T1 3-2 Bilibili Gaming, London. Semifinal: T1 3-1 Gen.G."
        },
        {
          "label": "Wikipedia: 2025 League of Legends World Championship",
          "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_League_of_Legends_World_Championship",
          "note": "Final, 9 November 2025: T1 3-2 KT Rolster, Chengdu. Semifinal: KT Rolster 3-1 Gen.G."
        },
        {
          "label": "Wikipedia: Gen.G Esports",
          "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gen.G_Esports",
          "note": "Roster from Samsung Galaxy, the 2017 world champions; Mid-Season Invitational 2024 and 2025."
        },
        {
          "label": "Polymarket: Worlds 2026: Winner",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/worlds-2026-winner",
          "note": "Read at 18:00 UTC on 9 November 2026, with daily values from 10 September and hourly values from 28 October."
        },
        {
          "label": "Polymarket: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5), Worlds Playoffs",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-blg-gen-2026-11-14",
          "note": "The final, with its games-total market."
        },
        {
          "label": "Polymarket: LoL Worlds 2025 Winner",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-worlds-2025-winner",
          "note": "Daily readings at 00:00 UTC: Gen.G 66.5% on 1 November 2025, the day of its semifinal; T1 12% on 25 October 2025. Settled for T1."
        },
        {
          "label": "Polymarket: Worlds 2026 Winning Region",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-worlds-2026-winning-region-226",
          "note": "LCK or LPL."
        },
        {
          "label": "Polymarket: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5), Worlds Playoffs",
          "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-blg-t1-2026-11-08",
          "note": "The most traded series. All 45 settled series markets, play-in to semifinals, were read one hour before their start."
        },
        {
          "label": "Polymarket API: price history",
          "url": "https://docs.polymarket.com/",
          "note": "Hourly and daily Yes prices from the CLOB API. Vultax computed the readings."
        },
        {
          "label": "Vultax: Polymarket sports and esports markets",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/research/polymarket-sports-and-esports-markets",
          "note": "How much money esports markets draw, and how thin their books are."
        }
      ],
      "measurement": {
        "kind": "observed",
        "temporalCoverage": "2026-11-03/2026-11-08",
        "population": "Polymarket's series markets for the Worlds 2026 quarterfinals and semifinals",
        "methodology": "Last price-history value at or before one hour before each series' scheduled start; the winner as the market settled, checked against Wikipedia's results."
      },
      "id": "favourites-table",
      "kind": "published-table",
      "description": "Polymarket gives Gen.G 62.5% to win the Worlds 2026 final against Bilibili Gaming on 14 November in Brooklyn. Gen.G has not lost a series at this Worlds; BLG came through on the last day of the Swiss stage. The favourite has won all six knockout series so far.",
      "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket",
      "sectionUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket#favourites",
      "publishedAt": "2026-11-09",
      "modifiedAt": "2026-11-09",
      "version": "2922b59cb978126df787edc321c91eaede2d4aa534cd33bc89284ed4623bd550",
      "isLive": false,
      "limitations": "Published research snapshots and calculations; these exports do not contain current quotes or live account data. Observation windows and populations are stated in the source captions and methodology. Missing metadata is unknown, not zero. A reading of public market prices at stated times; not a forecast by Vultax and not advice to trade.",
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket/data.json?dataset=favourites-table",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket/data.csv?dataset=favourites-table"
      }
    }
  ]
}