{ "schemaVersion": "vultax-public-research-data-v1", "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket", "datasets": [ { "title": "Who wins Worlds 2026: Gen.G and Bilibili Gaming on Polymarket", "columns": [ { "name": "Category", "unit": null }, { "name": "Gen.G wins Worlds 2026", "unit": "%" }, { "name": "Bilibili Gaming wins Worlds 2026", "unit": "%" } ], "rows": [ [ "13 Sep", 30.5, 29.5 ], [ "14 Sep", 38.5, 23.5 ], [ "15 Sep", 39, 17 ], [ "16 Sep", 37.5, 18 ], [ "17 Sep", 37, 19.5 ], [ "18 Sep", 37, 20.5 ], [ "19 Sep", 38.5, 21 ], [ "20 Sep", 38.5, 21 ], [ "21 Sep", 38.5, 21 ], [ "22 Sep", 38.5, 21 ], [ "23 Sep", 37.5, 21 ], [ "24 Sep", 37.5, 20.5 ], [ "25 Sep", 34.5, 20 ], [ "26 Sep", 34.5, 19.5 ], [ "27 Sep", 34.5, 19.5 ], [ "28 Sep", 35, 21 ], [ "29 Sep", 35.5, 20 ], [ "30 Sep", 35.5, 20.5 ], [ "1 Oct", 36.5, 18.5 ], [ "2 Oct", 35.5, 19.5 ], [ "3 Oct", 34.5, 19.5 ], [ "4 Oct", 33.5, 17.5 ], [ "5 Oct", 34.5, 17.5 ], [ "6 Oct", 34, 18.5 ], [ "7 Oct", 33, 17.5 ], [ "8 Oct", 33, 17.5 ], [ "9 Oct", 32.5, 16.5 ], [ "10 Oct", 33, 17.5 ], [ "11 Oct", 32.5, 18.5 ], [ "12 Oct", 30.5, 18.5 ], [ "13 Oct", 30.5, 18.5 ], [ "14 Oct", 30.5, 16.5 ], [ "15 Oct", 32, 18.5 ], [ "16 Oct", 30.5, 18.5 ], [ "17 Oct", 31.5, 17.5 ], [ "18 Oct", 30.5, 17.5 ], [ "19 Oct", 30.5, 17.5 ], [ "20 Oct", 31.5, 16.5 ], [ "21 Oct", 31.5, 17.5 ], [ "23 Oct", 33.5, 16.5 ], [ "24 Oct", 33.5, 13 ], [ "25 Oct", 33.5, 13 ], [ "26 Oct", 38, 13 ], [ "27 Oct", 43, 11.5 ], [ "28 Oct", 43.5, 11.5 ], [ "29 Oct", 43.5, 11.5 ], [ "30 Oct", 43.5, 12.5 ], [ "31 Oct", 43.5, 7.5 ], [ "1 Nov", 46.5, 16.6 ], [ "2 Nov", 46.5, 15.5 ], [ "3 Nov", 47.5, 15.3 ], [ "4 Nov", 48.5, 14.8 ], [ "5 Nov", 53, 13.5 ], [ "6 Nov", 53.5, 20.9 ], [ "7 Nov", 53.5, 20.3 ], [ "8 Nov", 61, 22.6 ], [ "9 Nov, 18:00 UTC", 62.5, 37.4 ] ], "measurementContext": "Polymarket, daily readings at 00:00 UTC from 13 September, and 18:00 UTC on 9 November 2026. Percent.", "sources": [ { "label": "Wikipedia: 2026 League of Legends World Championship", "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_League_of_Legends_World_Championship", "note": "Final date, time and venue; Swiss-stage and knockout results." }, { "label": "Wikipedia: 2024 League of Legends World Championship", "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_League_of_Legends_World_Championship", "note": "Final, 2 November 2024: T1 3-2 Bilibili Gaming, London. Semifinal: T1 3-1 Gen.G." }, { "label": "Wikipedia: 2025 League of Legends World Championship", "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_League_of_Legends_World_Championship", "note": "Final, 9 November 2025: T1 3-2 KT Rolster, Chengdu. Semifinal: KT Rolster 3-1 Gen.G." }, { "label": "Wikipedia: Gen.G Esports", "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gen.G_Esports", "note": "Roster from Samsung Galaxy, the 2017 world champions; Mid-Season Invitational 2024 and 2025." }, { "label": "Polymarket: Worlds 2026: Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/worlds-2026-winner", "note": "Read at 18:00 UTC on 9 November 2026, with daily values from 10 September and hourly values from 28 October." }, { "label": "Polymarket: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5), Worlds Playoffs", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-blg-gen-2026-11-14", "note": "The final, with its games-total market." }, { "label": "Polymarket: LoL Worlds 2025 Winner", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-worlds-2025-winner", "note": "Daily readings at 00:00 UTC: Gen.G 66.5% on 1 November 2025, the day of its semifinal; T1 12% on 25 October 2025. Settled for T1." }, { "label": "Polymarket: Worlds 2026 Winning Region", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-worlds-2026-winning-region-226", "note": "LCK or LPL." }, { "label": "Polymarket: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5), Worlds Playoffs", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-blg-t1-2026-11-08", "note": "The most traded series. All 45 settled series markets, play-in to semifinals, were read one hour before their start." }, { "label": "Polymarket API: price history", "url": "https://docs.polymarket.com/", "note": "Hourly and daily Yes prices from the CLOB API. Vultax computed the readings." }, { "label": "Vultax: Polymarket sports and esports markets", "url": "https://vultax.com/research/polymarket-sports-and-esports-markets", "note": "How much money esports markets draw, and how thin their books are." } ], "measurement": { "kind": "observed", "temporalCoverage": "2026-09-13/2026-11-09", "population": "Yes prices for Gen.G and Bilibili Gaming in Polymarket's Worlds 2026: Winner market", "methodology": "Polymarket's daily price-history value at 00:00 UTC, the previous value carried over the two days the series skips, then the last value at or before the stated reading." }, "id": "the-final-chart", "kind": "published-chart", "description": "Polymarket gives Gen.G 62.5% to win the Worlds 2026 final against Bilibili Gaming on 14 November in Brooklyn. Gen.G has not lost a series at this Worlds; BLG came through on the last day of the Swiss stage. The favourite has won all six knockout series so far.", "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket", "sectionUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket#the-final", "publishedAt": "2026-11-09", "modifiedAt": "2026-11-09", "version": "a3ab3dad8da1855abae61bf58b81016261120ca7ccd8dae73181c6de59250ae5", "isLive": false, "limitations": "Published research snapshots and calculations; these exports do not contain current quotes or live account data. Observation windows and populations are stated in the source captions and methodology. Missing metadata is unknown, not zero. A reading of public market prices at stated times; not a forecast by Vultax and not advice to trade.", "downloads": { "json": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket/data.json?dataset=the-final-chart", "csv": "https://vultax.com/research/lol-worlds-odds-polymarket/data.csv?dataset=the-final-chart" } } ] }