{
  "schema": "vultax-nobel-public-model-inputs-v1",
  "assembledAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:33.620281+00:00",
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "Angela Merkel",
        "Juan Manuel Santos and Timoleón Jiménez",
        "Dmitry Muratov and the Novaya Gazeta",
        "Article 9 Association",
        "Jeanne Nacatche Banyere, Jeannette Kahindo Bindu and Dr. Denis Mukwege"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "National Dialogue Quartet"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "National Dialogue Quartet",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "mappingNote": "Sole official laureate."
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "Svetlana Gannushkina",
        "Ernest Moniz and Ali Akbar Salehi",
        "The White Helmets",
        "Edward Snowden",
        "Jeanne Nacatche Banyere, Jeannette Kahindo Bindu and Dr. Denis Mukwege"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "Juan Manuel Santos"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "Juan Manuel Santos",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "mappingNote": "Sole official laureate."
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "Mohammad Javad Zarif and Federica Mogherini",
        "UNHCR and High Commissioner Filippo Grandi",
        "Cumhuriyet and Can Dündar",
        "The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS)",
        "The White Helmets and Raed al Saleh"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "mappingNote": "Sole official laureate."
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "World Food Programme",
        "Dr. Denis Mukwege, Nadia Murad & Tarana Burke",
        "SOS Méditerranée, Doctors Without Borders & International Rescue Committee",
        "Oby Ezekwesili & The Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative",
        "Reporters Without Borders (RSF)"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "Denis Mukwege",
        "Nadia Murad"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "Denis Mukwege",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": true,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": true,
      "mappingNote": "For joint historical prizes, individual-first then surname ordering under the frozen 2026 comparison rule. Not a claim about historical venue settlements."
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "Youth peace activists Hajer Sharief, Ilwad Elman, and Nathan Law Kwun-chung",
        "Reporters Without Borders",
        "Control Arms Coalition",
        "International Rescue Committee",
        "Abiy Ahmed"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "Abiy Ahmed Ali"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "Abiy Ahmed Ali",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": true,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": true,
      "mappingNote": "Sole official laureate."
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ)",
        "Alaa Salah and the Forces for Freedom and Change (FFC)",
        "Alexei Navalny and the Anti-Corruption Foundation",
        "Ilham Tohti and Nathan Law Kwun-chung",
        "Hajer Sharief and Ilwad Elman"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "World Food Programme"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "World Food Programme",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "mappingNote": "Sole official laureate."
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "Reporters Without Borders (RSF)",
        "Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya",
        "UNFCCC & Patricia Espinosa",
        "B'Tselem & the Palestinian Center for Human Rights (PCHR)",
        "Ilham Tohti & Nathan Law Kwun-chung"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "Maria Ressa",
        "Dmitry Muratov"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "Dmitry Muratov",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "mappingNote": "For joint historical prizes, individual-first then surname ordering under the frozen 2026 comparison rule. Not a claim about historical venue settlements."
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya & Alexei Navalny",
        "International Court of Justice",
        "Harsh Mander & Karwan-e-Mohabbat",
        "Ilham Tohti, Agnes Chow & Nathan Law",
        "HRDAG & CANVAS"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "Ales Bialiatski",
        "Memorial",
        "Center for Civil Liberties"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "Ales Bialiatski",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "mappingNote": "For joint historical prizes, individual-first then surname ordering under the frozen 2026 comparison rule. Not a claim about historical venue settlements."
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "Narges Mohammadi and Mahbouba Seraj",
        "Victoria Tauli-Corpuz and Juan Carlos Jintiach",
        "International Court of Justice",
        "Kyaw Moe Tun and Myanmar's National Unity Consultative Council",
        "Human Rights Data Analysis Group"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "Narges Mohammadi"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "Narges Mohammadi",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": true,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": true,
      "mappingNote": "Sole official laureate."
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "The OSCE’s Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights",
        "Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms",
        "UNRWA and Philippe Lazzarini",
        "International Court of Justice",
        "UNESCO and the Council of Europe"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "Nihon Hidankyo"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "Nihon Hidankyo",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "mappingNote": "Sole official laureate."
    },
    {
      "year": 2025,
      "headlineGroups": [
        "Committee to Protect Journalists",
        "Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms",
        "The OSCE’s Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights & The Carter Center",
        "The Women's International League for Peace and Freedom",
        "The International Court of Justice and the International Criminal Court"
      ],
      "officialWinners": [
        "Maria Corina Machado"
      ],
      "selectedWinner": "Maria Corina Machado",
      "selectedWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "anyOfficialWinnerOnHeadlineList": false,
      "mappingNote": "Sole official laureate."
    }
  ],
  "currentHeadlineGroups": [
    "Mykola Kuleba and Save the Children",
    "Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms",
    "The Committee to Protect Journalists",
    "The International Court of Justice and the International Criminal Court",
    "The International Space Station"
  ],
  "sourceReferences": [
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2015,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2015",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:31.866710+00:00",
      "sha256": "36bf732a4e9a3c1839a462a0a2300b55c2e9d07116f436b31baa2adf99a4728b",
      "bytes": 35236
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2016,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2016",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:31.887010+00:00",
      "sha256": "2ab510c91ac8156ede1b0dc436cdf583978da8648163abb10c526a3b6d900ac0",
      "bytes": 31849
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2017,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2017",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:31.869222+00:00",
      "sha256": "83a52396af94982f6a5a70d40aa5f53da15e96d5b820b290c4cf66d78e8adc62",
      "bytes": 31782
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2018,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2018",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:31.896617+00:00",
      "sha256": "78f0b7375bc7cffe63c076d9d90c873b915f8b7b790dc195c5d1cc2351ce2c8c",
      "bytes": 34394
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2019,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2019",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:31.990951+00:00",
      "sha256": "df4d8d78ba7a29e3dcf6f1d35f56aa1d359c44d3ce1372a99019fa77af3cbb00",
      "bytes": 38037
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2020,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2020",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:31.990951+00:00",
      "sha256": "a034b1043548069dc4f150d9a8ad0862a404116dacfb33770613732ae9a49aa9",
      "bytes": 32255
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2021,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2021",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.018407+00:00",
      "sha256": "cd4e2b4123fe27fd2a955bcc2aef1f9e2eea88cabd27e11e361ec89a5721cbd8",
      "bytes": 31969
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2022,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2022",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.012095+00:00",
      "sha256": "cd2a383de03c6b750d852463027b63cfc558402d6366b145394a92adb58671aa",
      "bytes": 32283
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2023,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2023",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.108742+00:00",
      "sha256": "a1feafa6b1e45cc7f3f022a7863c4857030b167d65a04444e38a5008b8bc61a6",
      "bytes": 30205
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2024,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2024",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.150229+00:00",
      "sha256": "76dc308e3857ee064bd8b59ad1276f533b4f3ae0ff38c5cc941a68605f8a6a8c",
      "bytes": 30081
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2025,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2025",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.133315+00:00",
      "sha256": "50b22b5ba1c8e60cc575c3c192669d07b9952d8492c549027d0ae9f94bfd0b47",
      "bytes": 29992
    },
    {
      "kind": "prio",
      "year": 2026,
      "url": "https://www.prio.org/nobellist/2026",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.153216+00:00",
      "sha256": "84ef73e7e85f32bfa0d590bb1445d2e13c94ff1682a1e2bdb2f5c778714c6f71",
      "bytes": 30785
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2015,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2015",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.787916+00:00",
      "sha256": "37a68546612e6cd7afb4c3eef4404b0fecf2f8cfd04fdbb8e764f70bc0cb4ee5",
      "bytes": 1322
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2016,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2016",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.746361+00:00",
      "sha256": "eb9cc145750cef1c21ed55f6cb087b65adc1b15462afead502294e47e64a3009",
      "bytes": 1205
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2017,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2017",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.781396+00:00",
      "sha256": "5cbc92850883965703e2ee590df2de90f0eb1756c806f8a43c0e5a1fab286d10",
      "bytes": 1460
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2018,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2018",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:32.828150+00:00",
      "sha256": "ab6df5389bd28efc6e37a255d8d88f7ff130ebf2db89b038551e12102224b9ec",
      "bytes": 1627
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2019,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2019",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:33.153698+00:00",
      "sha256": "15a0086609c1a81cb61c528efc886ac4edafd4fad2ff624c753549cbe39c54cd",
      "bytes": 1326
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2020,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2020",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:33.222686+00:00",
      "sha256": "92b14c0ac7751f689284a1ca82ab7cc210652528769274145dae742da5fe50fe",
      "bytes": 1454
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2021,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2021",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:33.138612+00:00",
      "sha256": "e1cdef53426d1c83b9a84cc614dbf15f21ad90e3cbd421b29dde6625020b14ef",
      "bytes": 1706
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2022,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2022",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:33.227378+00:00",
      "sha256": "8f7df5e891510cd19229d348ba8bc22f632856ab29bf7ff3675d14ddbdf6cc10",
      "bytes": 3733
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2023,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2023",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:33.579650+00:00",
      "sha256": "b25c3f154e88fa4783d783e995f78bbb395ca7ee6d26499830e531832b00cbcb",
      "bytes": 1260
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2024,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2024",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:33.523329+00:00",
      "sha256": "184e813eff768b88ebb1ff36ab03b7569c75fa00c60a229569578cfd86e2a1eb",
      "bytes": 1253
    },
    {
      "kind": "official",
      "year": 2025,
      "url": "https://api.nobelprize.org/2.1/nobelPrize/pea/2025",
      "retrievedAt": "2026-10-08T14:30:33.620281+00:00",
      "sha256": "2f34b24d98dc5e09d25a4c6040235fbc89c61355741d6f1f191f5e8aacc13233",
      "bytes": 1367
    }
  ],
  "archiveLimitations": [
    "Historical PRIO pages are reconstructed from current archived-year pages, not independently time-stamped pre-announcement captures.",
    "Only the five headline shortlist groups count; incidental mentions in the article body do not.",
    "PRIO is independent of the Nobel Committee; its list neither confirms nominations nor reflects privileged access."
  ],
  "matchPolicy": "Only the five headline groups; exact whole-name matches and the explicit Abiy Ahmed alias. Incidental text, past-year candidates and affiliations do not count."
}