Winner's move in the 12 hours before the 2025 announcement: +65.8 pts

The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize market on Polymarket moved 65.8 points toward the winner in the 12 hours before the announcement, 57 times its largest 12-hour move of the prior 30 days and the largest of 50 award announcements.

- Rank among award announcements: 1 of 50
- Final-12-hour dollars against the quiet-period average: 1,927×
- Winners that moved outside their own 30-day range: 3 of 50

Observed 2025-10-09T20:50Z to 2025-10-10T09:00Z, population: Machado's Yes price, Polymarket Nobel Peace Prize 2025.

Study: https://vultax.com/research/nobel-peace-prize-odds-before-announcement
Markdown: https://vultax.com/research/nobel-peace-prize-odds-before-announcement.md
Data: https://vultax.com/research/nobel-peace-prize-odds-before-announcement/data.json
Share card: https://vultax.com/og/article/research/nobel-peace-prize-odds-before-announcement
Live screen: https://app.vultax.com/predictions/topic/nobel-prize

Vultax Research, Nobel Peace Prize Odds: The 2025 Market Rose 66 Points Before the Announcement, 2026-09-30, https://vultax.com/research/nobel-peace-prize-odds-before-announcement