Mamdani at his lowest in the mayoral market, 24 May 2025: 3.6%

Zohran Mamdani was 2.0% in Polymarket's Democratic primary market in January 2025 and 3.6% in its mayoral market on 24 May, when Andrew Cuomo was 86.5%. He won the primary and the mayoralty; on election night the market passed 99% six minutes after the polls closed. Zohran Mamdani began 2025 as an outsider in Polymarket's markets.

- Minutes after polls closed that Mamdani passed 99%: 6
- Mamdani in the primary market, January 2025: 2.0%
- Traded in the mayoral market: $429.6m

Observed 2025-06-25T00:30Z to 2025-06-25T02:00Z, population: Mamdani and Cuomo Yes prices, Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor.

Study: https://vultax.com/research/nyc-mayor-odds-polymarket-2025
Markdown: https://vultax.com/research/nyc-mayor-odds-polymarket-2025.md
Data: https://vultax.com/research/nyc-mayor-odds-polymarket-2025/data.json
Share card: https://vultax.com/og/article/research/nyc-mayor-odds-polymarket-2025
Live screen: https://app.vultax.com/predictions/midterms

Vultax Research Team, NYC Mayor Odds: Mamdani Was 3.6% on Polymarket in May 2025. He Won, 2026-11-04, https://vultax.com/research/nyc-mayor-odds-polymarket-2025