{ "schemaVersion": "vultax-public-research-data-v1", "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-lawsuit-tracker", "datasets": [ { "title": "Appeals-court rulings (5)", "columns": [ { "name": "Case", "unit": null }, { "name": "State and venue", "unit": null }, { "name": "Status", "unit": null }, { "name": "Latest entry", "unit": null }, { "name": "Checked", "unit": null } ], "rows": [ [ "[KalshiEX LLC v. Schuler; KalshiEX LLC v. Orgel](https://www.opn.ca6.uscourts.gov/opinions.pdf/26a0272p-06.pdf), 6th Cir. 26-3196 and 26-5235", "Ohio, Tennessee, Kalshi", "For the states: contracts not shown to be swaps; Ohio's denial of an injunction affirmed, Tennessee's grant vacated; preliminary relief only", "25 Sep 2026", "Document" ], [ "[KalshiEX LLC v. Flaherty, et al.](https://www2.ca3.uscourts.gov/opinarch/251922p.pdf), 3d Cir. 25-1922", "New Jersey, Kalshi", "For Kalshi: New Jersey's preliminary injunction for Kalshi upheld, one judge dissenting; petition 26-299 pending", "22 Sep 2026", "Document" ], [ "[North American Derivatives Exchange (Crypto.com) v. Nevada, et al.](https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/26/26-344/423887/20260911105156438_CDNA%20v.%20Nevada%20-%20Cert%20Petition%20Appendix%20FILE.pdf), 9th Cir. 25-7187", "Nevada, Crypto.com", "For Nevada: contracts not swaps, denial affirmed in an unpublished memorandum; petition 26-344 pending", "15 Sep 2026", "Document" ], [ "[Robinhood Derivatives LLC v. Dreitzer, et al.](https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/26/26-338/423750/20260910115048061_Robinhood%20Pet.App.pdf), 9th Cir. 25-7831", "Nevada, Robinhood", "For Nevada: denial of Robinhood's request affirmed in an unpublished memorandum; petition 26-338 pending", "14 Sep 2026", "Document" ], [ "[KalshiEX LLC v. Assad, et al.](https://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2026/08/28/25-7516.pdf), 9th Cir. 25-7516", "Nevada, Kalshi", "For Nevada: dissolution of Kalshi's injunction affirmed; election contracts sent back; preliminary relief only", "28 Aug 2026", "Document" ] ], "measurementContext": "Checked 27 September 2026 against the court's own document, the docket index only, or partly (the part read is named). Each case links to its document or docket. Complaints and petitions are allegations. Latest entry is the most recent dated entry seen.", "sources": [ { "label": "Supreme Court docket — Flaherty v. KalshiEX, No. 26-299", "url": "https://www.supremecourt.gov/docket/docketfiles/html/public/26-299.html", "note": "Response extended to 9 November 2026; 11 amicus briefs filed by 8 October" }, { "label": "Supreme Court docket — Robinhood Derivatives v. Dreitzer, No. 26-338", "url": "https://www.supremecourt.gov/docket/docketfiles/html/public/26-338.html", "note": "Response extended on 9 October 2026 to 13 November" }, { "label": "Supreme Court docket — North American Derivatives Exchange v. Nevada, No. 26-344", "url": "https://www.supremecourt.gov/docket/docketfiles/html/public/26-344.html", "note": "Response extended on 8 October 2026 to 16 November" }, { "label": "Supreme Court — October Term 2026 calendar", "url": "https://www.supremecourt.gov/oral_arguments/2026TermCourtCalendar.pdf", "note": "The term opened on 5 October 2026" }, { "label": "U.S. Court of Appeals, Third Circuit — KalshiEX v. Flaherty, No. 25-1922 (6 Apr 2026)", "url": "https://www2.ca3.uscourts.gov/opinarch/251922p.pdf", "note": "Precedential opinion" }, { "label": "U.S. Court of Appeals, Ninth Circuit — KalshiEX v. Assad, No. 25-7516 (28 Aug 2026)", "url": "https://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2026/08/28/25-7516.pdf", "note": "Published opinion" }, { "label": "U.S. Court of Appeals, Sixth Circuit — KalshiEX v. Schuler and KalshiEX v. Orgel (25 Sep 2026)", "url": "https://www.opn.ca6.uscourts.gov/opinions.pdf/26a0272p-06.pdf", "note": "Recommended for publication" }, { "label": "CFTC — release 9206-26: suits against Arizona, Connecticut and Illinois (2 Apr 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9206-26", "note": "The first of the federal suits against states" }, { "label": "CFTC — release 9218-26: suit against New York (24 Apr 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9218-26", "note": null }, { "label": "CFTC — release 9220-26: suit against Wisconsin (28 Apr 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9220-26", "note": null }, { "label": "CFTC — release 9233-26: suit against Minnesota (19 May 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9233-26", "note": null }, { "label": "CFTC — release 9238-26: joining Kalshi's suit against Rhode Island (28 May 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9238-26", "note": null }, { "label": "CFTC — release 9251-26: suit against New Mexico (12 Jun 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9251-26", "note": null }, { "label": "CFTC — release 9260-26: suit against Kentucky (23 Jun 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9260-26", "note": null }, { "label": "CFTC — release 9217-26: insider-trading charges over the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro (23 Apr 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9217-26", "note": "Allegations" }, { "label": "CFTC — release 9237-26: insider-trading charges over Google's Year in Search (27 May 2026)", "url": "https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9237-26", "note": "Allegations" }, { "label": "CourtListener — RECAP archive of federal dockets", "url": "https://www.courtlistener.com/", "note": "Copies of federal docket entries and filings; can lag the court" }, { "label": "Vultax: Is Polymarket legal in the US?", "url": "https://vultax.com/research/is-polymarket-legal-in-the-us-2026", "note": "What the cases mean venue by venue and state by state" }, { "label": "Vultax: Polymarket insider trading, the charged cases", "url": "https://vultax.com/research/polymarket-longshot-insider-screen-base-rate", "note": "How an insider screen treats the two charged cases" }, { "label": "Document-based research", "url": "https://vultax.com/datasets/research-proof-library-2026-10-25/articles/prediction-market-lawsuit-tracker.md", "note": "No Lean proof. Document-based research; its factual and legal claims are not covered by a Lean proof." }, { "label": "Per-article scope records and Lean package", "url": "https://vultax.com/datasets/research-proof-library-public-2026-10-28/README.md", "note": "Historical scope records and selected Lean checks; the complete package is temporarily unavailable." }, { "label": "Complaint — QCX LLC v. Wilson, S.D. Ohio 2:26-cv-01502", "url": "https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ohsd.316878/gov.uscourts.ohsd.316878.1.0.pdf", "note": "Filed 16 October 2026; 46 pages; read 25 October 2026" }, { "label": "Ohio Casino Control Commission — cease-and-desist letters of 2 October 2026", "url": "https://yourradioplace.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/10.2.26_Combined_C_amp_D_letters.pdf", "note": "Ten letters, signed by Interim Executive Director Andromeda Morrison; copy published by Your Radio Place" }, { "label": "Plus500US — response to the Ohio cease-and-desist letter, 13 October 2026", "url": "https://vultax.com/research/documents/plus500us-ohio-response-2026-10-13.pdf", "note": "Supplied to Vultax by the Ohio Casino Control Commission on 22 October 2026" }, { "label": "Ohio Casino Control Commission — written reply to Vultax, 22 October 2026", "url": "https://vultax.com/research/documents/ohio-commission-reply-2026-10-22.txt", "note": "Ten letters, one confirmation of compliance, two companies in litigation" }, { "label": "Covers — Ohio gives gaming licensees an October 30 deadline, 22 October 2026", "url": "https://www.covers.com/industry/ohio-gives-gaming-licensees-oct-30-deadline-to-cut-sports-prediction-market-ties-oct-22-2026", "note": "Quotes the Commission's letter of 20 October 2026 to its licensees" }, { "label": "Holland & Knight — Ohio Pulls the Lever, 21 October 2026", "url": "https://www.hklaw.com/en/insights/publications/2026/10/ohio-pulls-the-lever-gaming-licensees-ordered-to-cease", "note": "The Commission confirmed the licensee letters at its meeting of 21 October 2026" } ], "measurement": { "kind": "reference", "temporalCoverage": "2025-09/2026-09", "population": "5 of 50 tracked cases: appeals-court rulings", "methodology": "Each row checked against the court's own opinion, order, complaint, petition or docket up to 27 September 2026." }, "id": "appeals-court-rulings-table", "kind": "published-table", "description": "Every court case Vultax follows over sports and event contracts, from Supreme Court petitions to class actions and two insider-trading prosecutions: 50 in all, checked against the court's own documents or docket on 27 September 2026 and updated on 19 and 25 October.", "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-lawsuit-tracker", "sectionUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-lawsuit-tracker#appeals-court-rulings", "publishedAt": "2026-10-01", "modifiedAt": "2026-10-25", "version": "4cf17f18253b6adf6f828fc377781bc3b54528182af46b212d1c7638ef689713", "isLive": false, "limitations": "Published research snapshots and calculations; these exports do not contain current quotes or live account data. Observation windows and populations are stated in the source captions and methodology. Missing metadata is unknown, not zero. Lists court cases and filings up to 27 September 2026, and the Supreme Court dockets up to 19 October 2026, as the court record shows them; complaints are allegations and most rulings are on preliminary relief. Nothing here is legal advice.", "downloads": { "json": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-lawsuit-tracker/data.json?dataset=appeals-court-rulings-table", "csv": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-lawsuit-tracker/data.csv?dataset=appeals-court-rulings-table" } } ] }