{
  "schemaVersion": "vultax-public-research-data-v1",
  "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-user-research-protocol",
  "datasets": [
    {
      "title": "Questions that map to observable misunderstandings",
      "columns": [
        {
          "name": "Construct",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "name": "Question format",
          "unit": null
        },
        {
          "name": "Primary output",
          "unit": null
        }
      ],
      "rows": [
        [
          "Price vs capacity",
          "Neutral vignette + cannot tell",
          "Response shares and missing answers"
        ],
        [
          "Dataset history vs account age",
          "Neutral vignette + cannot tell",
          "Response shares by recruitment channel"
        ],
        [
          "End date vs payout",
          "Neutral vignette + cannot tell",
          "Response shares by broad experience band"
        ],
        [
          "Tool experience",
          "30-day recall + not applicable",
          "Descriptive self-report only"
        ]
      ],
      "measurementContext": "Planned measures, not observed findings. Do not populate counts until responses are collected.",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "Vultax execution audit",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-order-size-depth-audit",
          "note": "Basis for the capacity vignette."
        },
        {
          "label": "Vultax wallet-history audit",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/research/polymarket-wallet-first-seen-history-audit",
          "note": "Basis for the first-seen vignette."
        },
        {
          "label": "Vultax closure-clock audit",
          "url": "https://vultax.com/research/polymarket-end-date-closure-clock-audit",
          "note": "Basis for the settlement vignette."
        }
      ],
      "measurement": {
        "kind": "reference",
        "temporalCoverage": "",
        "population": "Prospective plan only; zero respondents and no completed survey",
        "methodology": "Recruitment has not begun. No estimates of user attitudes or behavior."
      },
      "id": "questions-table",
      "kind": "published-table",
      "description": "A prospective questionnaire and 90-day research plan for testing what traders understand about alerts, copying costs and settlement. No survey responses have been collected.",
      "articleUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-user-research-protocol",
      "sectionUrl": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-user-research-protocol#questions",
      "publishedAt": "2026-09-20",
      "modifiedAt": "2026-09-20",
      "version": "7531459999bebdbb8e9fc996b47639e85bd8dadee3716309bb4658d04b668d66",
      "isLive": false,
      "limitations": "Published research snapshots and calculations; these exports do not contain current quotes or live account data. Observation windows and populations are stated in the source captions and methodology. Missing metadata is unknown, not zero. Prospective protocol only. Zero respondents, no activated form and no measured user attitudes. Proposed targets and dates are not completed work. Any convenience sample must be labelled and reported by recruitment channel.",
      "downloads": {
        "json": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-user-research-protocol/data.json?dataset=questions-table",
        "csv": "https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-user-research-protocol/data.csv?dataset=questions-table"
      }
    }
  ]
}
