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Vultax Research · published snapshot · UTC
21.4%esports20.5%the Fed

Esports out-traded the Fed on Polymarket today.

Ten days before the most contested rate decision of the year, the busiest thing on the world's largest prediction market is a League of Legends playoff. What is on now, league by league and team by team; who trades it and how big they bet; the wallets that trade both a Game 3 and the Fed; and how the share moves through the day. This page re-reads Polymarket and our own fills every ten minutes.

Categories are assigned from each market's question; "other" is what did not fit

NOWOn the board
Esports markets live today
Every esports market in Polymarket's 200 busiest that resolves today, with its current price and the last day's volume.
Prices are Polymarket's quoted probability for the first outcome.
FIG 1By category
Share of 24-hour volume across Polymarket's 100 busiest markets
Polymarket's own volume figures. Esports is one hue; everything else is grey.
Hover a bar for the dollar figure.Top 100 markets by 24 h volume, Gamma API.
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What happened

FIG 2The markets
The biggest markets of the last 24 hours
Esports in gold.
Hover a bar for trades and wallets where we have them.
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Where the money is: leagues, games, teams

FIG 3Leagues
24-hour esports volume by league
From every esports market in Polymarket's 200 busiest. Game-winner markets inherit the league of their series.
Hover a bar.
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FIG 4Teams
Which teams draw the money, last 24 hours
Volume on every market a team appears in. A team in a best-of-five and its game markets is counted in each.
Polymarket's 24 h volume figures.Hover a bar.
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FIG 5Since we started watching
Esports versus the Fed, share of the top-100's 24-hour volume, every ten minutes
Our own polling record. It starts on 6 September and lengthens with every refresh.
Hover or use ←/→.
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Who trades a Game 3, and how big they bet

FIG 6Always on
Round-the-clock wallets on esports versus Fed markets
Share of wallets, of trades and of notional from the 2,080 wallets active in every clock-hour of our August window.
Esports: the busiest esports markets, last 24 h. Fed: three September contracts, last seven days.Hover a bar.
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FIG 7Bet size
Esports fills by size, last 24 hours
Count of fills and dollars in each size band. Compare the Fed's bands on the coin-flip page.
Notional is size × price per fill.Vultax's observed fills on the busiest esports markets.
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The biggest bets on a game today

FIG 8Esports share by hour
Esports fills as a share of all fills on Polymarket, by hour
When the games are on, they are most of the market.
Hover or use ←/→.
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FIG 9Match hours
Fills on the busiest esports markets, by hour
Each spike is a game. The LPL and LCK play in the Asian evening; the European leagues in the European one.
Public on-chain fills observed by Vultax.Last 48 hours, UTC.
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Beyond the order book

CONTEXTSchedule & results
Results this week
Leaguepedia's match schedule when available; otherwise Polymarket's own resolved game markets, where the winning outcome settles at 1.
Leaguepedia, MatchSchedule table.
CONTEXTIn the news
What is being written about the playoffs right now
The latest matching headlines, via Google News. Links go to the publisher.
Headlines are the publishers' own; Vultax does not endorse them.

How Polymarket got here

FIG 10Listings
Esports markets closing each month, Vultax catalogue
Count of Polymarket esports markets by closing month. The catalogue snapshot is from 25 August, so September is partial.
Vultax's Polymarket catalogue; the volume field is sparse, so counts are shown rather than dollars.Hover a bar.
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Why this keeps happening

Method and limits

Polymarket's category share uses its own 24-hour volume figures for its hundred busiest active markets at each read; categories are assigned from each market's question text and every market is listed in the tables, so a reader can re-sort them. Leagues are read from the market question, and game-winner markets inherit the league of the series with the same two teams. Vultax's ranking uses the public on-chain fills its pipeline had ingested for the last 24 hours, which can undercount markets whose fills arrived late; "new wallets" means wallets not seen in Vultax's 22 August to 2 September activity window. The round-the-clock cohort is the 2,080 wallets active in all 24 UTC clock-hours in that window; a trading pattern is not proof of automation and no wallet is named. A refresher re-reads every source every ten minutes; if one fails, the previous reading is kept and the page says so. Nothing here is financial advice.