Risk Disclosure
Read this before you act on anything Vultax shows you. It sets out what each kind of Output actually measures, the specific ways each one is wrong, where our coverage stops, and why none of it is advice.
- In force from
- Version
- 1.1
- Issued by
- OmniOS OÜ
Version 1.1 adds § 3b on prediction-market prices, resolution, participant rankings and the simulated paper desk.
1Nothing here is advice
Vultax is an information service. No score, signal, alert, route, ranking or assistant reply is investment advice, a personal recommendation, or a suggestion to buy or sell anything.
OmniOS OÜ is not a broker, dealer, exchange, custodian or investment adviser, holds no financial licence, and provides no crypto-asset service under Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. We never hold your money or your crypto-assets and never place an order.
We do not know your objectives, your financial position, your tax position or your risk tolerance, and we do not ask. Nothing we publish is tailored to you. Every decision to act is yours, and its consequences are yours.
2Crypto-asset markets
- You can lose everything you put in. Crypto-assets are volatile, and many go to zero. Never commit money you cannot afford to lose entirely.
- Most crypto-assets are not covered by any investor compensation or deposit guarantee scheme. If a venue fails, there is usually no one to make you whole.
- Liquidity can disappear in minutes. A price on a screen is not a price you can get filled at, in size, under stress.
- Leverage multiplies losses as fast as gains and can take more than your deposit.
- Exchanges fail, freeze withdrawals, get hacked, delist pairs and go offline. Counterparty risk is real and is not something we can measure for you.
- Past behaviour of a market, an asset or a signal tells you nothing reliable about its future behaviour.
3What our signals actually mean
Every Output is a statistical measure over observed public data. Read each one as a description of the past, computed by a stated method, with a stated error mode.
| Output | What it is | How it goes wrong |
|---|---|---|
| Wash-trading and spoofing scores | A measure of how closely observed trading resembles patterns associated with that conduct. | False positives and false negatives, both. Legitimate market-making, algorithmic rebalancing and cross-venue hedging can look like wash trading. A sophisticated manipulator can look like nothing at all. A high score is not a finding that anyone broke the law. |
| Vi IQ | A composite score across market quality, liquidity health, order flow, arbitrage potential, volatility and news sentiment. | It compresses several things into one number, so it hides the disagreement between them. Read the components on the methodology page, not just the total. |
| Whale and wallet flow | Large transactions and address-level flow observed on public chains. | Address clustering is inference, not fact. Exchange hot wallets, bridges, custodians and internal transfers routinely look like a position change when nothing changed. |
| Arbitrage routes | A theoretical price gap between venues, adjusted for the fees we can see. | It does not account for slippage, execution latency, withdrawal limits, withdrawal suspensions, network congestion, or whether the venue will fill you. A visible gap has often already closed. Most gaps that persist do so because something prevents you from capturing them. |
| News and event sentiment | Classification of published items, some of it model-generated. | Sentiment models misread sarcasm, translation, and market-specific idiom. Coverage is not neutral: the loudest sources are not the best-informed. |
| Vi AI replies | Output of a third-party large language model with access to our data. | It can be fluently and confidently wrong, and can invent figures that look real. Verify anything material on the underlying surface before you act on it. |
3bPrediction markets and the paper desk
Where the Service shows prediction-market data, everything in § 3 applies, plus the following, which are specific to how those markets fail.
| What you see | What it is | How it goes wrong |
|---|---|---|
| A contract price, e.g. 0.62 | The last price at which strangers traded that outcome on that venue. | It is not a probability, and it is not our forecast. Thin books, one large participant, fee structure and the venue's resolution rules all move it. We publish historical calibration on the methodology page; a good past calibration says nothing about the contract in front of you. |
| Resolution | The venue's decision about what happened, under its own rules. | Contracts resolve on the venue's reading of the question, not yours. Ambiguous wording, disputed sources and late rule changes are common, and a position that was "right" can still pay nothing. |
| Participant rankings | Wallets ordered by realised profit over a window, using the public name each chose on the venue. | Survivorship and small samples. A leaderboard shows who happened to win; it cannot show the far larger number who made the same trades and lost. Two months of profit is not skill. Copying a ranked wallet is a decision we do not suggest, and by the time you see a position, its author may have closed it. |
| The paper desk | Simulated positions against live prices, with a virtual balance that starts at 10,000 and is worth nothing. | Paper results do not transfer. Our fills are idealised; a real venue has fees, slippage, partial fills, withdrawal limits and counterparties who see your order. A profitable simulated history is evidence of nothing about real trading, and treating it as such is the most expensive mistake this page can warn you about. |
Whether you may trade on a prediction market is a question about you, not about us. These venues are restricted or prohibited in many jurisdictions and are treated as gambling in some, as derivatives in others, and as neither elsewhere. We show public data regardless of where you are; that is not a statement that the venue is available or lawful for you. We never take a stake, and we never place a wager for you.
4Coverage, latency and gaps
- We observe 24+ exchanges. Activity on venues we do not cover, on decentralised venues, or over the counter is invisible to us, and its absence is not evidence it did not happen.
- Historical depth varies by exchange, pair and plan. A short lookback can make a recurring pattern look like a new one.
- Latency figures published on this site are targets, not guarantees. Under load, during exchange outages, or when a provider rate-limits us, data is later than the target.
- When a source fails we mark the figure unavailable rather than showing the last known value as if it were current. A blank means we do not know, not that the answer is zero.
5Naming exchanges and addresses
A detection signal against a named exchange, pair or address is not an allegation of wrongdoing. It reports that observed public behaviour matched a pattern, computed by a published method. It is not a finding of fact, an accusation, or a conclusion about anyone's intent.
If you are named on a Vultax surface and believe the data or its presentation is wrong, write to [email protected] with the surface, the figure and what you say is inaccurate. We check it against our source data, correct what is wrong, and record material corrections in the changelog. We answer within 14 days.
6Your own legal and tax position
Trading crypto-assets is restricted or prohibited in some jurisdictions, and taxed in most. Whether you may trade, what you owe, and what you must report are questions for you and your own advisers. We give no legal, tax or accounting advice, and the availability of the Service in your country is not our opinion that trading there is lawful for you.