Press note
A public protocol for studying prediction-market users
0Survey responses
Protocol only; recruitment has not begun.
A prospective questionnaire and 90-day research plan for testing what traders understand about alerts, copying costs and settlement. No survey responses have been collected. A useful user study should make it possible to publish an uncomfortable answer. Vultax is releasing a questionnaire and analysis plan before recruitment begins. It asks how people interpret a quoted price, a first-seen wallet timestamp and a market end date, then separates those interpretations from reported trading experience. The proposed first step is a 12-person adult usability pilot to find confusing wording, followed by a voluntary multi-channel survey if the questions work. That pilot target is a plan, not an achieved sample. Neither stage should be presented as a representative poll of all prediction-market users.
population: Prospective plan only; zero respondents and no completed survey.
Supporting figures
- 12 adults — Initial pilot targetProposed usability sample, not an achieved recruitment count.
- 90 days — Research horizonProposed stages and decision gates; no promise of completed data.
Images
Vultax Research
The study’s illustration, free to run with that credit and a link. It is artwork, not a figure.
Share card, 1200×630 — the headline figure and the title, rendered. Credit Vultax Research.
Reproducing one of the study’s figures instead? Caption it “Chart: Vultax Research”. Higher resolutions and other crops on request.
Links
- The study
- Full text, sources and method
- Markdown edition
- Plain text for quoting and for assistants
- Chart figures (CSV)
- The numbers behind the headline chart
- All datasets (JSON)
- Every published table and chart, with units and sources
- Explore prediction market analytics
- Inspect market context in Vultax; the downloadable study remains a dated snapshot.
Press contact
Vultax Research — [email protected]
Questions on method, a figure checked before you print it, a chart at another size, or a cut of the data this study does not publish. Say what you are writing and when it runs.
How to cite
Vultax Research, A public protocol for studying prediction-market users, 2026-09-20, https://vultax.com/research/prediction-market-user-research-protocol
Published 2026-09-20. Figures are the published study; live screens move. Plain-text version · Use our data