Prediction market research

Prediction Market Analytics Desk

Read prediction markets with liquidity, participation, and fair-value context instead of headline odds alone, with paper trading that stays simulated.

Shipping soon

Prediction data collection runs today; the desk frontend is being finished before release. This page describes what the desk will show, so you can judge it before it lands.

Odds read alongside liquidity and participation depthFair-value and deviance context across venuesSimulated paper trading, never live-money execution
Status
Shipping soon
Execution
Simulated only
Venues
Multi-venue
The bottom line

A 62% price on a thin market and a 62% price on a deep one are not the same claim. The prediction desk shows the depth, participation, and cross-venue deviance behind a number so you can tell which one is worth acting on.

vx-terminal // Prediction Desk
planned module
Prediction depth read
not yet released
What this desk will show
Quoted priceShown with book depth
Cross-venue devianceComparable terms only
Paper tradingSimulated, never live-money
Prediction data collection runs today. The desk frontend is being finished before release.
What you get

Odds with depth attached

Every quoted probability is shown next to the liquidity and participation supporting it, so a thin market cannot pass itself off as a confident one.

Paper trading stays paper

Positions, settlement, and reload are fully simulated. Vultax does not route live-money orders on prediction venues.

Methodology
Explainable signal design

How prediction markets are scored

The desk separates what a venue quoted from what the surrounding book could actually support.

01

Quoted price, book depth, and observed participation are reported as separate inputs rather than collapsed into one confidence number.

02

Cross-venue deviance is computed only where both venues have comparable contract terms; unmatched markets are excluded instead of force-matched.

03

Fair-value context is presented as a model output with its inputs shown, not as a prediction or trading recommendation.