Bot league 01, paper
Six bots, one market, racing to the Fed decision.
Same Polymarket prices, same 1% fee, the same $10,000 each. The rules were fixed before the start and never change. Click a bot to see how it trades.
Final result
prices as of 17:50 UTC
Final
Leading: Steady+0.13%
Ranked by profit and loss; a smaller worst drop breaks a tie. Arrows show places gained or lost in the last hour.
The race so far
Steady; grey lines are the other five
1st of 6
Steady
The original momentum rule, started fresh
Against the field
- 1Steady+0.13%
- 2Patient0.00%
- 3Sniper0.00%
- 4Sprinter−0.60%
- 5Dip buyer−0.78%
- 6Aggressive−0.95%
- Trades
- 1
- 1 won, 0 lost
- Win rate
- 100%
- Worst drop
- 0.06%
- from its high
- Fees
- $5.18
- no open position
Its rules
- 1Buy YES for $250 when an outcome rises 3.0 points or more within 60 minutes, priced between 15¢ and 85¢, with at most 2 positions open.
- 2Sell 3.0 points below the entry, 6.0 points above it, or after 1 day.
- 3Pay 1% of notional on every fill, at the printed ten-minute price.
Fills, newest first
2 decisions| Time, UTC | Outcome | Action | Price | Size | Why | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sept 08:30 | Hike 25 bp | SELL YES | 88.5¢ | $268 | target, 18.3h | +$13.00 |
| 14 Sept 14:10 | Hike 25 bp | BUY YES | 82.5¢ | $250 | +3.0 pts in 60 min |
Rules fixed on 12 September, before the 13 Sept 00:00 UTC start. Every bot is replayed every ten minutes from Polymarket’s published ten-minute prices with a 1% fee per fill and fills at the printed price. Trading stops at the Fed decision; open positions are valued at the last price before it and settlement is not counted. Paper only: no order reaches any venue.