Prediction market news, research and forecasting

PredictionMarketsPicks publishes news, commentary or research.

• Paid or fee-based
• Polymarket
• Kalshi

CLSTR groups related news coverage into evolving situations rather than isolated headlines. Its overview describes deduplication, cross-outlet grouping and retained context.

• Free and paid

Elicit supports literature search, evidence synthesis and research design. It is an adjacent research tool, rather than an event exchange.

• Free and paid

This StrikePing page is a validation record using contract identifiers, prospectively recorded decision times and official Kalshi outcomes. It distinguishes a separate shadow test using a spot-price proxy.

• Paid or fee-based
• Kalshi

Brier.fyi examines prediction-market accuracy across event categories including culture, economics, politics, science and sports.

PolyNoob publishes editorial profiles and guides about Polymarket traders. Its homepage supports searching the guide by trader name or wallet address and groups articles by market interests. It is an editorial research resource rather than a verified performance ranking.

• Free option
• Polymarket

Paradigm publishes news, commentary or research.

Poly2 combines economic-release calendars, news and timestamped Polymarket prices. Its description distinguishes this context from a forecast issued by Poly2 itself.

• Polymarket

The Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute publishes nonprofit research on forecasting, epistemics and decisions under uncertainty.

ASXN publishes research. This record is the research website, with further product and company details limited in the collected overview.

This Bitwise newsroom resource announces a Hyperliquid-linked exchange-traded fund. It is a specific issuer announcement, with investment-risk information on the source page.

• Hyperliquid

Lightning Rod Labs develops reinforcement-learning training environments and specialist models around customer data, including deployments where sensitive data remains with the customer.

OpenWorlds is an AI lab developing adaptive models that connect financial-market predictions with subsequent outcomes.

Quantified Intuitions offers exercises for assigning probabilities and receiving feedback on the results.

The Supercycle publishes news, commentary or research.

No description yet.

• Polymarket

The checked Intrade homepage provides history and future-development links with commentary about prediction markets. The collected page does not establish a currently operating trading exchange.

Kalshinomics’ current page states that the project is winding down. Older descriptions should be read as historical rather than evidence of an actively offered service.

PENGELUARAN HK POOLS publishes news, commentary or research.

Above the Fold is Manifold Markets’ newsletter and publication. It covers developments in the Manifold community and product, providing a first-party record of announcements and commentary.

• Manifold

Daily AI produced series from Packy McCormick's Not Boring that takes three Polymarket stories and explains the odds. Hosted under the Not Boring Substack.

• Free option
• Polymarket

Market Mechanics publishes news, commentary or research.

• Manifold

Oracle by Polymarket publishes news, commentary or research.

• Polymarket

Substack by Mike S. with weekly global outlook notes and situation monitors on geopolitics and elections, written from the perspective of a prediction market trader.

• Free and paid