Trader radar: what a prediction market wallet is actually good at
A leaderboard says how much a wallet made. It does not say what the wallet is for. Trader Radar draws each Polymarket wallet on up to eight spokes and ranks its spokes against the other wallets on the same board, so the shape shows where a wallet stands out and where it is ordinary. Raw figures stay on the card, and the board prints the date of the positions snapshot it was read from.
Largest Polymarket trades above the size threshold
Beside the radar: the largest public Polymarket trades above the published size threshold, each table with its own source time.
Observed · Observed
| Market | Taker side | Outcome | Notional | Price per share | Trade time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | buy | Broncos | 62,959.00 | 0.44 | 2026-09-14 06:10 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | buy | Yes | 24,273.00 | 0.80 | 2026-09-14 05:52 UTC |
| Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? | buy | No | 20,176.00 | 0.9986 | 2026-09-14 05:37 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | buy | No | 16,163.00 | 0.992 | 2026-09-14 05:34 UTC |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | buy | Broncos | 15,000.00 | 0.45 | 2026-09-14 06:13 UTC |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs | sell | Chiefs | 14,484.00 | 0.55 | 2026-09-14 06:14 UTC |
What you can do with it
See what a wallet does more than its peers
Pick the crypto, politics or sports board and read the shapes. A ranked spoke drawn near the rim means the wallet measured higher on it than most wallets on that board; near the centre means lower. Narrowing the cards by side or minimum position size leaves every shape as it is.
Check the figure behind the shape
Each card prints raw figures beside the radar, such as a position size in dollars or a wallet age. A high place on a spoke is worth checking against the number it rests on before you compare two wallets.
Read the snapshot date first
The board is built from a snapshot of public Polymarket positions, and the app prints when that snapshot was taken. It describes what wallets held at that time, not what they hold now.
Share a card
Every card shares to X or Telegram, or copies as a short snippet with its link. When you are signed in, the link carries your referral code, and the referral page sets out the terms.
How it works
How a spoke is placed
A spoke is a rank among the wallets on the same board that carry the same measurement, not a mark on a fixed scale. Position sizes on a crypto board and on a sports board are not comparable, and a fixed scale would push most wallets to the rim or the centre and say nothing about how they differ. A rank keeps the spread visible within the board the wallet is read against. Where too few wallets on the board carry a measurement to rank it, that spoke is drawn on a fixed scale instead and earns no label.
A spoke Vultax cannot compute for a wallet is left out of the shape rather than drawn as zero, and a wallet needs at least three measurable spokes to get a card.
- Markets traded, win rate on settled positions and edge describe the record.
- Position size, wallet age and concentration describe the book.
- Underdog describes the prices a wallet enters at, and momentum its most recent window.
Underdog
Underdog is the share of a wallet's position value that was entered below 50¢: money placed on an outcome the market priced below even odds when the position was opened. Each position counts in proportion to its value, and the spoke describes entry prices, not whether the positions paid.
Labels are for the top of the board
A card carries a label only when the wallet sits in the top 20% of its board on the spoke behind that label. A label is a description of where the wallet stands among those wallets in that snapshot. It is not a verdict on skill, and a card without a label says only that no spoke reached that band.
What it does not contain
No identity, no inferred intent and no forecast. A wallet ranked high on edge measured a better result than most of its board in that snapshot; whether that repeats is a separate question, which the observed-performance research answers with a stated sample. Where a wallet has enough data, its profile in the app carries a radar too.
What each plan gives you here
The radar board opens without an account. The rows below describe what a plan changes in the trader workspaces around it.
| What you get | Free | Essential | Premium | Pro |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet intelligence and ranked Vi opportunities | Not included | Not included | Included | Included |
| Prediction market prices, charts and market pages | Included | Included | Included | Included |
| The tables on this site, as JSON and CSV | Included | Included | Included | Included |
Compared with the wallet profilers
Several products publish per-wallet profiles, usually a scorecard combining profit, win rate and a proprietary rating. A single rating merges a description of behaviour with a claim about quality, and the reader cannot separate them again. The radar keeps the parts visible: one spoke per measurement, ranked against the same board wherever enough wallets carry it, with raw figures on the card.
Competitor details last checked . They describe other products as their operators published them, not as an assessment of them.
The table in full
Each table carries its own source, observation time, coverage and limits, and can be taken away as JSON or CSV. A missing value means the source did not report it; it is never rendered as a zero.
01 Market snapshot
Polymarket PnL leaderboard · 7d
Public display names and reported PnL from the existing Polymarket leaderboard mirror.
ObservedObserved 10 rowsWithin this table’s source-time freshness window; prices can change between observations.
| Rank | Public display name | Reported PnL (USD) | Reported volume (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | 249,861.00 | 6,726,122 |
| 2 | 0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c | 110,608.00 | 664,283.00 |
| 3 | theowalcott | 91,904.00 | 1,423,262 |
| 4 | GrandeFromage | 61,223.00 | 47,183.00 |
| 5 | cosmicxbt | 53,507.00 | 162,443.00 |
| 6 | BreakTheBank | 49,994.00 | 334,038.00 |
| 7 | anonymous | 49,748.00 | 1,615,897 |
| 8 | TKD44 | 45,768.00 | 181,360.00 |
| 9 | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | 42,808.00 | 517,683.00 |
| 10 | ndb1 | 41,596.00 | 312,528.00 |
Scroll to see all columns.
CoverageTop ten displayed from the source’s 25-row 7d PnL leaderboard sample. This is distinct from Vultax’s observed-performance cohort.
Public aliases do not establish identity. Rankings are period-specific observations, not evidence of repeatable returns.
The source rounds amounts and can default missing amounts to zero. No wallet/profile URL is inferred from a display name.
Questions
Is Trader Radar available?
Yes. The board is in the app under Analytics → Radar, and it opens without an account. Where a wallet has enough data, its profile carries a radar too.
How is a spoke placed?
By rank against the wallets on the same board that carry the same measurement, or on a fixed scale where too few do. Near the rim on a ranked spoke means the wallet measured higher than most of the board. Raw figures are printed on the card.
What does Underdog measure?
The value-weighted share of a wallet's positions entered below even odds. It describes the prices a wallet paid, not whether those positions won.
Is the board a live feed?
No. It is read from a snapshot of public Polymarket positions, and the board shows the date of that snapshot. The cards describe what wallets held then.
Does it identify traders?
No. It describes public positions by address and public display name. Vultax does not attach identities to wallets, and the account data of Vultax customers is never used in market research.
Can I share a card?
Yes, to X or Telegram, or as a copied snippet with its link. Signed in, the link carries your referral code; the referral page sets out the terms.
Coverage and methodology
- Public tables mirror existing Vultax source packs. They do not include account data, private watchlists or the complete app dataset.
- Source time, coverage and limitations apply to each table. Missing values are unavailable, not zero.
Published research behind this page
Dated write-ups of the same sources. A figure in a study describes the window it was written about, not the snapshot above.
Month-over-month realised P&L for 9,949 Polymarket wallets: activity separates winners from losers more than a leaderboard rank does, and among wallets with ten or more trades in both months, 67% were profitable in both.
Five Polymarket leaderboards compared on ranking basis, stated method and refresh, against the Vultax measurement of 9,949 wallets: 67.4% of June's profitable wallets were profitable in July, rank correlation 0.83, and one-trade wallets were profitable 12.2% of the time.
Keep reading
Take this into the workspace
The board is open to read without an account. Sign in to share a card with your referral link.
A free account needs no payment card and starts no subscription. Figures on this page were observed . JSON · Markdown · Schema