Press note
NYC Mayor Odds: Mamdani Was 3.6% on Polymarket in May 2025. He Won
3.6%Mamdani at his lowest in the mayoral market, 24 May 2025
Andrew Cuomo was 86.5% the same day. Mamdani won the primary a month later
Zohran Mamdani was 2.0% in Polymarket's Democratic primary market in January 2025 and 3.6% in its mayoral market on 24 May, when Andrew Cuomo was 86.5%. He won the primary and the mayoralty; on election night the market passed 99% six minutes after the polls closed. Zohran Mamdani began 2025 as an outsider in Polymarket's markets. On 1 January 2025 he was 2.0% to win the Democratic nomination for mayor of New York. On 24 May, in the market on the mayoralty itself, he was 3.6% and Andrew Cuomo 86.5%. Mamdani won the primary on 24 June 2025 and the general election on 4 November, with 50.4% of the vote to Cuomo's 41.6% as an independent and Curtis Sliwa's 7.1%.
Observed 2025-06-25T00:30Z to 2025-06-25T02:00Z, population: Mamdani and Cuomo Yes prices, Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor.
Supporting figures
- 6 — Minutes after polls closed that Mamdani passed 99%9:06 p.m. Eastern on 4 November 2025; the AP called the race at about 9:34 p.m.
- 2.0% — Mamdani in the primary market, January 20251 January 2025. Cuomo peaked at 92.5% on 22 May 2025
- $429.6m — Traded in the mayoral marketOne of Polymarket's largest markets on a single city election
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How to cite
Vultax Research Team, NYC Mayor Odds: Mamdani Was 3.6% on Polymarket in May 2025. He Won, 2026-11-04, https://vultax.com/research/nyc-mayor-odds-polymarket-2025
Published 2026-11-04. Figures are the published study; live screens move. Plain-text version, Use our data