Crypto at Estonian Providers Halved in a Year. Then the Statistics Stopped

Client crypto assets held through Estonian providers fell by more than half in the year to June 2026, Eesti Pank said on 15 September. The same day it said it cannot publish the third quarter: too few firms hold the new CASP licence, and each figure needs three reporters.

By Vultax Research5 min readMethodology

AI-assisted drafting, research and editing. Published by OmniOS OÜ. How we use AI

Client crypto assets at Estonian providers in the year to June 2026

−058%

From 1,918 million euros on 30 June 2025 to 808 million on 30 June 2026, client assets less fiat in Eesti Pank's statistics; its release of 15 September said more than half

Share of client assets belonging to clients outside Estonia, 30 June 2026
0.099.6%
885.4 of 888.9 million euros of client assets; residents held 3.5 million, against 94.6 million a year earlier
Crypto statistics for the third quarter of 2026
Not published
Too few firms hold the crypto-asset service provider licence, Eesti Pank said on 15 September 2026
Client crypto assets at Estonian providers, million eurosMar 2024 → Jun 2026
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What Eesti Pank's last releases showed

Eesti Pank's last four crypto releases tell one story in their headlines. In June 2025 the bank reported that clients held crypto assets worth 1.8 billion euros through Estonian service providers. In March 2026 client crypto assets had fallen by more than a third in a quarter, which the bank put down to falling prices. In June 2026 the providers' own assets were 42% lower than a year earlier.

On 15 September 2026 came the fourth: client crypto assets had fallen by more than half in a year. In the same release the bank said it could not publish statistics for the third quarter, because too few firms hold the licence that replaced the old one. The next release depends on whether, and how many, new providers enter the market.

The bank's statistics tables give the amounts behind those headlines. Client crypto assets, not counting clients' fiat money, stood at 2,620 million euros at the end of 2024, the highest of the ten quarters published. They were 1,918 million at the end of June 2025 and 808 million at the end of June 2026: 58% less in a year and 69% below the peak.

The headlines are the bank's own figures for the firms it covered, the virtual currency service providers licensed by the Financial Intelligence Unit. They do not count crypto that Estonian residents hold on platforms abroad.

Almost all of the client assets belonged to clients outside Estonia. At the end of June 2026 residents held 3.5 million euros of the 889 million in client assets, against 94.6 million a year earlier.

Four releases, then none

  1. First quarter of 2025: clients hold crypto assets worth 1.8 billion euros through Estonian providers

    12 Jun 2025

    Recorded

  2. Fourth quarter of 2025: client crypto assets fall by more than a third in a quarter as prices fall

    12 Mar 2026

    Recorded

  3. First quarter of 2026: providers' assets 42% lower than a year earlier

    11 Jun 2026

    Recorded

  4. Second quarter of 2026: client crypto assets down by more than half in a year; the third quarter cannot be published

    15 Sep 2026

    Recorded

  5. Third quarter of 2026

    Not published

    Not recorded

Headlines of Eesti Pank's statistical releases, read on eestipank.ee on 20 October 2026. Each release names the quarter it covers by announcing the next one. Not to scale.

Client crypto assets at Estonian providers, million euros

End of each quarter, client assets less fiat, to the nearest million. Eesti Pank crypto-market statistics, table 3, read 21 October 2026. No figure has been published for 30 September 2026.

Client crypto assets at Estonian providers, million euros. Client crypto assets: Mar 2024 2,176, Jun 2024 1,918, Sep 2024 1,741, Dec 2024 2,620, Mar 2025 1,820, Jun 2025 1,918, Sep 2025 2,477, Dec 2025 1,563, Mar 2026 982, Jun 2026 808. Measured change: −58% in a year, 1,918 → 80801,0002,0003,000Mar 2024: 2,176Jun 2024: 1,918Sep 2024: 1,741Dec 2024: 2,620Mar 2025: 1,820Jun 2025: 1,918Sep 2025: 2,477Dec 2025: 1,563Mar 2026: 982Jun 2026: 8082,6201,918808−58% in a year1,918 → 808Mar 2024Sep 2024Mar 2025Sep 2025Mar 2026

Chart: Vultax Research

Show the numbers
Client crypto assets at Estonian providers, million euros. End of each quarter, client assets less fiat, to the nearest million. Eesti Pank crypto-market statistics, table 3, read 21 October 2026. No figure has been published for 30 September 2026.
PointClient crypto assets
Mar 20242,176
Jun 20241,918
Sep 20241,741
Dec 20242,620
Mar 20251,820
Jun 20251,918
Sep 20252,477
Dec 20251,563
Mar 2026982
Jun 2026808

Why the third quarter is missing

Eesti Pank publishes statistics on crypto-asset service providers only when at least three firms report in each indicator and no single firm can be made out from the published figure, Andres Lauba, a statistician at Estonia's central bank, told Vultax on 12 October 2026. He wrote, in Estonian: "Currently, too few service providers have registered here as CASPs for that."

That explains the gap the bank announced on 15 September. The licence that let virtual currency service providers operate ran out on 30 June 2026, and too few firms have the new crypto-asset service provider licence for a figure to pass the bank's rules.

Lauba's answer does not give a date for publication to resume.

Three reporters is one condition of two

The three-firm threshold applies to each indicator separately, and a single firm must also not be identifiable within any indicator. Lauba said the same criteria apply to any more detailed statistics, naming breakdowns by crypto asset, by client, by client residency and turnover by service.

Three licence holders would therefore not guarantee that every breakdown can be published. Each indicator still needs three reporting firms, and none of them may be identifiable.

Two checks before a crypto figure can be published

  1. At least three reporters

    At least three licensed firms report in this indicator.

  2. No firm identifiable

    No single firm can be made out from the published figure.

  3. Publishable

    Only an indicator that passes both checks can be released.

A separate question

Whether a new figure is comparable with the old series depends on which firms it covers, not on whether it can be published.

From Eesti Pank's answer to Vultax of 12 October 2026. The checks apply to each indicator and each breakdown separately.

Two licences, two groups of firms

The earlier series covered virtual currency service providers, VASPs, licensed by Estonia's Financial Intelligence Unit. Those licences allowed firms to operate until 30 June 2026. From 1 July, Finantsinspektsioon, the financial supervisor, licenses and supervises crypto-asset service providers, CASPs.

The two groups of firms differ, so their business results cannot be compared as one continuous time series, Lauba said. He added his assumption that the larger participants have registered in other countries. That is an assumption, not a measured relocation, and Vultax has not used it to estimate any change in Estonia's crypto industry.

From VASP to CASP, and the missing quarter

  1. Last day VASP licences from the Financial Intelligence Unit allow firms to operate

    30 Jun 2026

    The event

  2. Finantsinspektsioon starts licensing and supervising CASPs

    1 Jul 2026

    The event

  3. Eesti Pank says it cannot publish third-quarter crypto-market statistics

    15 Sep 2026

    Recorded

  4. Eesti Pank's statistician explains the three-reporter and identifiability conditions to Vultax

    12 Oct 2026

    Recorded

Dates from Eesti Pank's notice of 15 September 2026 and its answer to Vultax of 12 October 2026. Not to scale.

How to read a missing quarter

An unpublished quarter is not a zero. A chart of the series should keep the last published figures and mark the third quarter of 2026 as missing. Filling it with zero would claim a measurement Eesti Pank has not published.

When a CASP series appears, check which firms, indicators and methods it covers before comparing it with the VASP figures. Whether an indicator can be published and whether its group of firms matches the old one are two separate questions.

These statistics describe the service providers covered by Estonian licensing. They are not a count of every Estonian resident's crypto holdings or trading on platforms abroad.

Free to quote or cite with a link to this page. Press enquiries: [email protected].

Questions this page answers

How much did crypto holdings at Estonian providers fall?
By 58% in the year to June 2026: client crypto assets held through Estonian service providers fell from 1,918 million euros at the end of June 2025 to 808 million a year later, by Eesti Pank's statistics tables. The bank's release of 15 September 2026 said more than half. In June 2025 it had reported 1.8 billion euros for the first quarter of 2025.
Why did Eesti Pank not publish crypto statistics for the third quarter of 2026?
Too few firms hold Estonia's crypto-asset service provider licence. The bank publishes a figure only when at least three firms report in that indicator and no single firm can be identified, its statistician told Vultax on 12 October 2026.
Can the old VASP statistics be compared with new CASP statistics?
Not as one continuous series, according to Eesti Pank, because the groups of firms differ. Check the firms, indicators and methods a new release covers before comparing.
Does the missing quarter mean there was no crypto activity in Estonia?
No. An unpublished quarter is missing data, not zero activity, and the statistics never counted every resident's crypto holdings.

Sources and evidence

Based on Eesti Pank's statistics table of client assets for 31 March 2024 to 30 June 2026, read on 21 October 2026, the headlines of its statistical releases of 12 June 2025, 12 March 2026, 11 June 2026 and 15 September 2026, read on 20 October 2026, and its statistician's written answer to Vultax of 12 October 2026; the quotation is translated from Estonian. The figures cover Estonian-licensed providers only. Not investment advice.

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