Crypto at Estonian Providers Halved in a Year. Then the Statistics Stopped
Client crypto assets held through Estonian providers fell by more than half in the year to June 2026, Eesti Pank said on 15 September. The same day it said it cannot publish the third quarter: too few firms hold the new CASP licence, and each figure needs three reporters.
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Client crypto assets at Estonian providers in the year to June 2026
−058%
From 1,918 million euros on 30 June 2025 to 808 million on 30 June 2026, client assets less fiat in Eesti Pank's statistics; its release of 15 September said more than half
- Share of client assets belonging to clients outside Estonia, 30 June 2026
- 0.099.6%
- 885.4 of 888.9 million euros of client assets; residents held 3.5 million, against 94.6 million a year earlier
- Crypto statistics for the third quarter of 2026
- Not published
- Too few firms hold the crypto-asset service provider licence, Eesti Pank said on 15 September 2026
What Eesti Pank's last releases showed
Eesti Pank's last four crypto releases tell one story in their headlines. In June 2025 the bank reported that clients held crypto assets worth 1.8 billion euros through Estonian service providers. In March 2026 client crypto assets had fallen by more than a third in a quarter, which the bank put down to falling prices. In June 2026 the providers' own assets were 42% lower than a year earlier.
On 15 September 2026 came the fourth: client crypto assets had fallen by more than half in a year. In the same release the bank said it could not publish statistics for the third quarter, because too few firms hold the licence that replaced the old one. The next release depends on whether, and how many, new providers enter the market.
The bank's statistics tables give the amounts behind those headlines. Client crypto assets, not counting clients' fiat money, stood at 2,620 million euros at the end of 2024, the highest of the ten quarters published. They were 1,918 million at the end of June 2025 and 808 million at the end of June 2026: 58% less in a year and 69% below the peak.
The headlines are the bank's own figures for the firms it covered, the virtual currency service providers licensed by the Financial Intelligence Unit. They do not count crypto that Estonian residents hold on platforms abroad.
Almost all of the client assets belonged to clients outside Estonia. At the end of June 2026 residents held 3.5 million euros of the 889 million in client assets, against 94.6 million a year earlier.
Four releases, then none
First quarter of 2025: clients hold crypto assets worth 1.8 billion euros through Estonian providers
12 Jun 2025
Recorded
Fourth quarter of 2025: client crypto assets fall by more than a third in a quarter as prices fall
12 Mar 2026
Recorded
First quarter of 2026: providers' assets 42% lower than a year earlier
11 Jun 2026
Recorded
Second quarter of 2026: client crypto assets down by more than half in a year; the third quarter cannot be published
15 Sep 2026
Recorded
Third quarter of 2026
Not published
Not recorded
Client crypto assets at Estonian providers, million euros
End of each quarter, client assets less fiat, to the nearest million. Eesti Pank crypto-market statistics, table 3, read 21 October 2026. No figure has been published for 30 September 2026.
Chart: Vultax Research
Show the numbers
| Point | Client crypto assets |
|---|---|
| Mar 2024 | 2,176 |
| Jun 2024 | 1,918 |
| Sep 2024 | 1,741 |
| Dec 2024 | 2,620 |
| Mar 2025 | 1,820 |
| Jun 2025 | 1,918 |
| Sep 2025 | 2,477 |
| Dec 2025 | 1,563 |
| Mar 2026 | 982 |
| Jun 2026 | 808 |
Why the third quarter is missing
Eesti Pank publishes statistics on crypto-asset service providers only when at least three firms report in each indicator and no single firm can be made out from the published figure, Andres Lauba, a statistician at Estonia's central bank, told Vultax on 12 October 2026. He wrote, in Estonian: "Currently, too few service providers have registered here as CASPs for that."
That explains the gap the bank announced on 15 September. The licence that let virtual currency service providers operate ran out on 30 June 2026, and too few firms have the new crypto-asset service provider licence for a figure to pass the bank's rules.
Lauba's answer does not give a date for publication to resume.
Three reporters is one condition of two
The three-firm threshold applies to each indicator separately, and a single firm must also not be identifiable within any indicator. Lauba said the same criteria apply to any more detailed statistics, naming breakdowns by crypto asset, by client, by client residency and turnover by service.
Three licence holders would therefore not guarantee that every breakdown can be published. Each indicator still needs three reporting firms, and none of them may be identifiable.
Two checks before a crypto figure can be published
At least three reporters
At least three licensed firms report in this indicator.
No firm identifiable
No single firm can be made out from the published figure.
Publishable
Only an indicator that passes both checks can be released.
A separate question
Whether a new figure is comparable with the old series depends on which firms it covers, not on whether it can be published.
Two licences, two groups of firms
The earlier series covered virtual currency service providers, VASPs, licensed by Estonia's Financial Intelligence Unit. Those licences allowed firms to operate until 30 June 2026. From 1 July, Finantsinspektsioon, the financial supervisor, licenses and supervises crypto-asset service providers, CASPs.
The two groups of firms differ, so their business results cannot be compared as one continuous time series, Lauba said. He added his assumption that the larger participants have registered in other countries. That is an assumption, not a measured relocation, and Vultax has not used it to estimate any change in Estonia's crypto industry.
From VASP to CASP, and the missing quarter
Last day VASP licences from the Financial Intelligence Unit allow firms to operate
30 Jun 2026
The event
Finantsinspektsioon starts licensing and supervising CASPs
1 Jul 2026
The event
Eesti Pank says it cannot publish third-quarter crypto-market statistics
15 Sep 2026
Recorded
Eesti Pank's statistician explains the three-reporter and identifiability conditions to Vultax
12 Oct 2026
Recorded
How to read a missing quarter
An unpublished quarter is not a zero. A chart of the series should keep the last published figures and mark the third quarter of 2026 as missing. Filling it with zero would claim a measurement Eesti Pank has not published.
When a CASP series appears, check which firms, indicators and methods it covers before comparing it with the VASP figures. Whether an indicator can be published and whether its group of firms matches the old one are two separate questions.
These statistics describe the service providers covered by Estonian licensing. They are not a count of every Estonian resident's crypto holdings or trading on platforms abroad.
Free to quote or cite with a link to this page. Press enquiries: [email protected].
Questions this page answers
- How much did crypto holdings at Estonian providers fall?
- By 58% in the year to June 2026: client crypto assets held through Estonian service providers fell from 1,918 million euros at the end of June 2025 to 808 million a year later, by Eesti Pank's statistics tables. The bank's release of 15 September 2026 said more than half. In June 2025 it had reported 1.8 billion euros for the first quarter of 2025.
- Why did Eesti Pank not publish crypto statistics for the third quarter of 2026?
- Too few firms hold Estonia's crypto-asset service provider licence. The bank publishes a figure only when at least three firms report in that indicator and no single firm can be identified, its statistician told Vultax on 12 October 2026.
- Can the old VASP statistics be compared with new CASP statistics?
- Not as one continuous series, according to Eesti Pank, because the groups of firms differ. Check the firms, indicators and methods a new release covers before comparing.
- Does the missing quarter mean there was no crypto activity in Estonia?
- No. An unpublished quarter is missing data, not zero activity, and the statistics never counted every resident's crypto holdings.
Sources and evidence
- Eesti Pank: client crypto assets fell by more than half in a year, and the pause for the third quarter, 15 September 2026 (in Estonian)
Announces that third-quarter 2026 statistics cannot be published and describes the switch from VASP to CASP licensing. Andres Lauba's answer to Vultax of 12 October 2026 is attributed in the text.
- Eesti Pank statistics: client assets by residency, client group and asset, 31 March 2024 to 30 June 2026 (in Estonian)
Table 3 of the crypto-market statistics, updated 15 September 2026 and read 21 October 2026; the quarterly figures and the chart
- Eesti Pank: providers' assets fell 42% in a year, 11 June 2026 (in Estonian)
First quarter of 2026
- Eesti Pank: client crypto assets fell by more than a third in a quarter as prices fell, 12 March 2026 (in Estonian)
Fourth quarter of 2025
- Eesti Pank: clients hold crypto assets worth 1.8 billion euros through Estonian providers, 12 June 2025 (in Estonian)
First quarter of 2025
Based on Eesti Pank's statistics table of client assets for 31 March 2024 to 30 June 2026, read on 21 October 2026, the headlines of its statistical releases of 12 June 2025, 12 March 2026, 11 June 2026 and 15 September 2026, read on 20 October 2026, and its statistician's written answer to Vultax of 12 October 2026; the quotation is translated from Estonian. The figures cover Estonian-licensed providers only. Not investment advice.
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