Malta’s MGA Sees ‘Significant Interest’ in Prediction Markets

The regulator told Vultax that some prediction-market products may fit existing betting licences. It declined to discuss individual companies or applications.

By Vultax Research3 min readMethodology
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Valletta’s skyline at night, photographed in September 2024. Photo: Marika Caruana / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, resized by Wikimedia Commons; otherwise unchanged.
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What the MGA told Vultax

The Malta Gaming Authority is seeing “significant interest” in prediction markets from existing and prospective licensees, an MGA spokesperson told Vultax in a written response on 16 October.

The MGA said its existing framework can accommodate such products, with the licence category depending on how each offering works. Some may fall under Type 2, covering fixed-odds betting, or Type 3, covering peer-to-peer or exchange-based betting.

“Prediction markets are not new to the Maltese regulatory framework,” the MGA spokesperson said. The MGA described its framework as neutral both to technology and to games. Its published game-type definitions distinguish betting against an operator that manages its own risk from commission-based games in which the operator does not take that gaming risk.

The possibility of using an existing category still comes with an authorisation requirement. Operators seeking to offer licensable gaming products in or from Malta must hold the appropriate MGA authorisation, the spokesperson said. The MGA described offering those products without the required authorisation as unlawful.

The interest comes from two groups: existing licensees considering additional products and prospective licensees exploring the Maltese framework. The authority gave no application count, operator names or approval dates.

Its response does not establish that Polymarket or Kalshi has applied for, or received, a Maltese licence. It also supplies no separate finding about election or interest-rate contracts and does not resolve our question about serving customers in other EU countries.

The licensing position and operator interest predate this reply. SiGMA News reported on 2 September that some prediction-market products could fall under the existing Type 2 or Type 3 categories. SBC News’s 5 October summit recap also reported MGA chief executive Charles Mizzi’s comments about operator interest and applications. The 16 October response provides Vultax with a further written statement identifying interest from both existing and prospective licensees.

Malta, Germany and Czechia: different regulatory stages

For readers following European regulation, the distinction between a licensing route and action against a particular platform matters. Three written responses in Vultax’s reporting describe different stages:

Authority and response dateWhat the response establishesWhat it does not establish
Malta MGA, 16 OctoberWhat the response establishesSome product designs may fit existing betting licences; appropriate authorisation is required for licensable offerings in or from Malta.What it does not establishA licence or application for either named platform, or permission to serve customers across the EU.
Germany GGL, 7 OctoberWhat the response establishesAdministrative proceedings against Polymarket and Kalshi; both responded. The authority reported platform restrictions and no request for internet providers to block either website.What it does not establishA fine, closure of the proceedings or a complete Kalshi block.
Czech Ministry of Finance, 2 OctoberWhat the response establishesNo objection was received before kalshi.com’s 30 September blocklist entry. Internet providers had until 15 October to block the website.What it does not establishThat every network implemented the block, or that an app or payment account was also listed.

What the comparison means

These are dated accounts of different questions and actions. The Czech blocking deadline is not an access test, and the German and Czech replies do not determine the treatment of a product in Malta.

The MGA spokesperson said the authority continues to monitor developments and engage with stakeholders, including other national competent authorities, on how emerging products are considered within its existing framework.

Reporting note

The Malta statements come from an MGA spokesperson’s written response to Vultax on 16 October 2026. The comparison uses the separately dated authority responses linked in the table; it is not a fresh audit of enforcement or network access on 17 October.

Free to quote or cite with a link to this page. Press enquiries: [email protected].

Sources and evidence

Based on an MGA spokesperson’s written response to Vultax on 16 October 2026 and the separately dated sources linked in this article. The response does not establish an application or licence for Polymarket or Kalshi, or permission to serve customers across the EU.

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