Press note
Brazil Election 2026: Runoff Date, Polls, Odds and Results
47.03%Flávio Bolsonaro, first round
Share of valid votes, TSE, 99.99% of polling sections counted, 5 October 2026
Brazil votes again on 25 October. Follow the Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro runoff with dated polling, market odds and links to official TSE results. Brazil's presidential election goes to a runoff between Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro on Sunday, 25 October 2026. As of this guide's check on 19 October, the second-round result has not been decided. The TSE results portal is the place to check the official count when voting ends. The number beside a candidate's name needs a label. A poll measures reported voting intention among a sample. A market price describes a contract on who wins. The official count records votes already cast. This guide connects those three views, with the Brazil election room for current available market data.
Observed 2026-10-04, population: Valid votes in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election.
Supporting figures
- 45.16% — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, first roundShare of valid votes on the same count
- 25 Oct — Runoff daySunday. Official results begin after 17:00 Brasília, 20:00 UTC
- 77¢ — Flávio Bolsonaro on Polymarket, 19 OctoberYes offer to win the presidency, as displayed on the market page
Images
Share card, 1200×630 — the headline figure and the title, rendered. Credit Vultax Research.
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Links
- The study
- Full text, sources and method
- Markdown edition
- Plain text for quoting and for assistants
- Chart figures (CSV)
- The numbers behind the headline chart
- All datasets (JSON)
- Every published table and chart, with units and sources
- Open the Brazil election odds room
- Follow market prices, available depth and recorded activity alongside the official election sources.
Press contact
Vultax Research — [email protected]
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How to cite
Vultax Research, Brazil Election 2026: Runoff Date, Polls, Odds and Results, 2026-10-20, https://vultax.com/research/brazil-election-2026-polls-odds-results
Published 2026-10-19, last revised 2026-10-20. Figures are the published study; live screens move. Plain-text version, Use our data