Press note
Prediction Markets in Europe: Fourteen Blocking Orders, and Only Three Are Measured
19European jurisdictions with a public action on record
Plus ESMA at EU level; actions dated from November 2024 to 19 October 2026
Every European regulator's action on Polymarket and Kalshi, dated and sourced: 19 jurisdictions, fourteen blocking orders, one penalty, one licensing regime. Nine of the fourteen blocks are not applied by Polymarket itself, and only France, Spain and Switzerland have network tests. Spain's regulator has until about 26 November 2026 to decide the sanction case it opened on 26 May; on 1 October it told Vultax it could not say whether it had ruled. In Italy the administrative court in Rome refused on 5 August to suspend the block and still has to decide the merits. In the Netherlands, Polymarket has taken the 420,000 euro penalty to court. Czech internet providers have had to block kalshi.com since 15 October. Lithuania's authority is reviewing other prediction-market sites.
population: 44 dated actions by 19 European jurisdictions and ESMA, November 2024 to 19 October 2026.
Supporting figures
- 14 — Blocking orders or blacklistingsSwitzerland, Poland, Belgium, Romania, Greece, Ukraine, Portugal, Hungary, Cyprus, Spain, Italy, Czechia, France, Lithuania
- 9 — Blocks that Polymarket does not apply itselfSpain, Portugal, Hungary, Czechia, Lithuania, Romania, Switzerland, Cyprus and Greece are absent from Polymarket's own restrictions page, read 19 October 2026
- 82% — polymarket.com tests in France that were anomalous or failed385 of 472 OONI web tests, 21 July to 19 October 2026; Spain 48%, Switzerland 15%; no tests exist from the other eleven blocking countries
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How to cite
Vultax Research, Prediction Markets in Europe: Fourteen Blocking Orders, and Only Three Are Measured, 2026-10-19, https://vultax.com/research/prediction-markets-europe-regulation-tracker
Published 2026-10-19. Figures are the published study; live screens move. Plain-text version, Use our data