World Series 2026 Odds: Brewers 62%, Rays 38%, After the Dodgers Led 264 of 271 Days

The Milwaukee Brewers are 62.1% to beat the Tampa Bay Rays in the 2026 World Series on Polymarket, against 2.2% on 1 February. The Dodgers led the market on 264 of its 271 days and were swept. In 2025 the Dodgers fell to 10.5% in Game 7 and won.

By Vultax Research7 min readMethodologyRead as Markdown
The roofed ballpark of the Milwaukee Brewers seen from the upper deck, the diamond and stands filling before a game
American Family Field, home of the Milwaukee Brewers, before a game in August 2024. Photo: Michael Barera / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped.

Milwaukee Brewers, 2026 champion price

0.062.1%

Polymarket, 12:00 UTC on 20 October 2026, three days before Game 1. 2.2% on 1 February

Tampa Bay Rays, 2026 champion price
37.7%
After winning the American League pennant. 32.0% before Game 6 and 0.9% on 1 February
Days the Dodgers led the 2026 market
264 of 271
From 22 January 2026. The Brewers swept them in the National League series
Dodgers at their low point in Game 7 of 2025
10.5%
Polymarket series price at 03:14 UTC on 2 November 2025, Blue Jays 89.7%. The Dodgers won 5–4 in 11 innings
2026 World Series champion price, four teams26 Jan → 19 Oct
Live in VultaxOpen the MLB odds roomLive Polymarket prices for the 2026 World Series and every game in it, the market this study reads.

The short answer

The Milwaukee Brewers are 62.1% to win the 2026 World Series on Polymarket and the Tampa Bay Rays 37.7%. The Rays won the American League pennant on 19 October, beating the Cleveland Guardians 7–3 in Game 6 to take the series 4–2. The prices were read at 12:00 UTC on 20 October 2026, three days before Game 1 in Milwaukee on Friday 23 October.

For most of the year this market belonged to the Los Angeles Dodgers. They were 27.0% on 1 February and led on 264 of its 271 days; the Brewers swept them 4–0 in the National League series. On 1 February the Brewers were 2.2%, 13th of 30 teams, the Rays 0.9% and the Guardians 3.3%.

A series price moves hard within a single game. In Game 7 of 2025 the Dodgers fell to 10.5% at 03:14 UTC and won 5–4 in 11 innings. This page reads the public price record; it is not a forecast of the winner.

World Series 2026 odds on Polymarket

The Brewers reached the World Series with a 4–0 sweep of the Dodgers in the National League series, their first since 1982. The Rays beat the Guardians 4–2 for their third pennant, after 2008 and 2020. Neither team has won a World Series, so 2026 will have a first-time champion. At 13:00 UTC on 19 October, before Game 6, the pennant market had the Rays at 80.6% and the Guardians at 18.2%.

Before the pennant was settled, the two markets together gave a head-to-head estimate. Dividing a team's champion price by its pennant price gives its chance to win the World Series once there: 39.7% for the Rays before Game 6, which put the Brewers at about 60% against them. With the pennant decided, the champion market prices that matchup directly: 62.1% for the Brewers. The estimate from two separate markets was 1.8 points away.

Polymarket Yes prices at 12:00 UTC on 20 October 2026 and at 13:00 UTC on 19 October 2026, before Game 6 of the American League series: each market's last minute price at or before that time. Live prices are in the MLB odds room.
TeamWin the World Series, 20 OctWin the World Series, before Game 6Win the AL pennant, before Game 6
Milwaukee Brewers62.1%61.9%NL champion
Tampa Bay Rays37.7%32.0%80.6%
Cleveland GuardiansOut6.4%18.2%

Download table figures:CSVJSON with sources

The 2026 market: a season of Dodgers

Polymarket's 2026 champion market opened on 21 January. On 1 February the Dodgers were 27.0%, more than twice the next team, the New York Yankees at 11.5%. They peaked at 43.5% and were still 29.5% on 1 October, when the Brewers were 16.9%.

The lead in the market changed hands only once all year, on 13 October, in the middle of the Brewers' sweep. The Brewers have risen from 2.2% to 62.1%, and the Rays from 0.9% to 37.7%.

2026 World Series champion price, four teams

Polymarket, Monday readings, 26 January to 19 October 2026. Percent.

  • Milwaukee Brewers
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Tampa Bay Rays
  • Cleveland Guardians
2026 World Series champion price, four teams. Milwaukee Brewers: 26 Jan 2%, 2 Feb 2.1%, 9 Feb 1.9%, 16 Feb 2.5%, 23 Feb 2.8%, 2 Mar 2%, 9 Mar 1.9%, 16 Mar 1.8%, 23 Mar 2.5%, 30 Mar 3.4%, 6 Apr 3.1%, 13 Apr 2.9%, 20 Apr 2.8%, 27 Apr 2.3%, 4 May 3.6%, 11 May 3.1%, 18 May 3.8%, 25 May 5.2%, 1 Jun 5%, 8 Jun 4.6%, 15 Jun 5.5%, 22 Jun 7.6%, 29 Jun 8.4%, 6 Jul 10%, 13 Jul 9.6%, 20 Jul 8.9%, 27 Jul 9%, 3 Aug 9.5%, 10 Aug 8.3%, 17 Aug 8.5%, 24 Aug 12%, 31 Aug 13%, 7 Sep 13%, 14 Sep 16%, 21 Sep 15%, 28 Sep 16%, 5 Oct 23%, 12 Oct 26%, 19 Oct 63%. Los Angeles Dodgers: 26 Jan 28%, 2 Feb 23%, 9 Feb 24%, 16 Feb 26%, 23 Feb 24%, 2 Mar 28%, 9 Mar 29%, 16 Mar 29%, 23 Mar 28%, 30 Mar 26%, 6 Apr 27%, 13 Apr 28%, 20 Apr 30%, 27 Apr 30%, 4 May 29%, 11 May 27%, 18 May 26%, 25 May 26%, 1 Jun 26%, 8 Jun 30%, 15 Jun 29%, 22 Jun 29%, 29 Jun 30%, 6 Jul 29%, 13 Jul 29%, 20 Jul 30%, 27 Jul 34%, 3 Aug 39%, 10 Aug 40%, 17 Aug 34%, 24 Aug 33%, 31 Aug 31%, 7 Sep 33%, 14 Sep 32%, 21 Sep 31%, 28 Sep 30%, 5 Oct 37%, 12 Oct 43%, 19 Oct 6.5%. Tampa Bay Rays: 26 Jan 2.4%, 2 Feb 0.8%, 9 Feb 0.4%, 16 Feb 0.6%, 23 Feb 0.6%, 2 Mar 0.6%, 9 Mar 0.6%, 16 Mar 0.8%, 23 Mar 0.8%, 30 Mar 0.9%, 6 Apr 0.7%, 13 Apr 0.8%, 20 Apr 0.8%, 27 Apr 1.6%, 4 May 1.9%, 11 May 3.1%, 18 May 3.9%, 25 May 5.7%, 1 Jun 4.2%, 8 Jun 3.7%, 15 Jun 3.6%, 22 Jun 3.1%, 29 Jun 3.4%, 6 Jul 5.6%, 13 Jul 5.4%, 20 Jul 5%, 27 Jul 5.4%, 3 Aug 5.4%, 10 Aug 7.9%, 17 Aug 7.7%, 24 Aug 7.2%, 31 Aug 7.4%, 7 Sep 8.2%, 14 Sep 9.2%, 21 Sep 9.6%, 28 Sep 11%, 5 Oct 12%, 12 Oct 22%, 19 Oct 31%. Cleveland Guardians: 26 Jan 3.1%, 2 Feb 2%, 9 Feb 1.3%, 16 Feb 1.1%, 23 Feb 1.1%, 2 Mar 1.1%, 9 Mar 1.5%, 16 Mar 1.2%, 23 Mar 1%, 30 Mar 1.1%, 6 Apr 1.3%, 13 Apr 1.5%, 20 Apr 1.5%, 27 Apr 2.4%, 4 May 2.2%, 11 May 2%, 18 May 2.2%, 25 May 4%, 1 Jun 3.8%, 8 Jun 3.1%, 15 Jun 3.2%, 22 Jun 2.8%, 29 Jun 2.4%, 6 Jul 2.2%, 13 Jul 2.1%, 20 Jul 2.4%, 27 Jul 2.9%, 3 Aug 1.2%, 10 Aug 1.1%, 17 Aug 0.7%, 24 Aug 1.2%, 31 Aug 1.8%, 7 Sep 1.9%, 14 Sep 2.6%, 21 Sep 3.6%, 28 Sep 5.5%, 5 Oct 4.5%, 12 Oct 9.6%, 19 Oct 6.1%0%20%40%60%80%26 Jan, Milwaukee Brewers: 2%2 Feb, Milwaukee Brewers: 2.1%9 Feb, Milwaukee Brewers: 1.9%16 Feb, Milwaukee Brewers: 2.5%23 Feb, Milwaukee Brewers: 2.8%2 Mar, Milwaukee Brewers: 2%9 Mar, Milwaukee Brewers: 1.9%16 Mar, Milwaukee Brewers: 1.8%23 Mar, Milwaukee Brewers: 2.5%30 Mar, Milwaukee Brewers: 3.4%6 Apr, Milwaukee Brewers: 3.1%13 Apr, Milwaukee Brewers: 2.9%20 Apr, Milwaukee Brewers: 2.8%27 Apr, Milwaukee Brewers: 2.3%4 May, Milwaukee Brewers: 3.6%11 May, Milwaukee Brewers: 3.1%18 May, Milwaukee Brewers: 3.8%25 May, Milwaukee Brewers: 5.2%1 Jun, Milwaukee Brewers: 5%8 Jun, Milwaukee Brewers: 4.6%15 Jun, Milwaukee Brewers: 5.5%22 Jun, Milwaukee Brewers: 7.6%29 Jun, Milwaukee Brewers: 8.4%6 Jul, Milwaukee Brewers: 10%13 Jul, Milwaukee Brewers: 9.6%20 Jul, Milwaukee Brewers: 8.9%27 Jul, Milwaukee Brewers: 9%3 Aug, Milwaukee Brewers: 9.5%10 Aug, Milwaukee Brewers: 8.3%17 Aug, Milwaukee Brewers: 8.5%24 Aug, Milwaukee Brewers: 12%31 Aug, Milwaukee Brewers: 13%7 Sep, Milwaukee Brewers: 13%14 Sep, Milwaukee Brewers: 16%21 Sep, Milwaukee Brewers: 15%28 Sep, Milwaukee Brewers: 16%5 Oct, Milwaukee Brewers: 23%12 Oct, Milwaukee Brewers: 26%19 Oct, Milwaukee Brewers: 63%63%26 Jan, Los Angeles Dodgers: 28%2 Feb, Los Angeles Dodgers: 23%9 Feb, Los Angeles Dodgers: 24%16 Feb, Los Angeles Dodgers: 26%23 Feb, Los Angeles Dodgers: 24%2 Mar, Los Angeles Dodgers: 28%9 Mar, Los Angeles Dodgers: 29%16 Mar, Los Angeles Dodgers: 29%23 Mar, Los Angeles Dodgers: 28%30 Mar, Los Angeles Dodgers: 26%6 Apr, Los Angeles Dodgers: 27%13 Apr, Los Angeles Dodgers: 28%20 Apr, Los Angeles Dodgers: 30%27 Apr, Los Angeles Dodgers: 30%4 May, Los Angeles Dodgers: 29%11 May, Los Angeles Dodgers: 27%18 May, Los Angeles Dodgers: 26%25 May, Los Angeles Dodgers: 26%1 Jun, Los Angeles Dodgers: 26%8 Jun, Los Angeles Dodgers: 30%15 Jun, Los Angeles Dodgers: 29%22 Jun, Los Angeles Dodgers: 29%29 Jun, Los Angeles Dodgers: 30%6 Jul, Los Angeles Dodgers: 29%13 Jul, Los Angeles Dodgers: 29%20 Jul, Los Angeles Dodgers: 30%27 Jul, Los Angeles Dodgers: 34%3 Aug, Los Angeles Dodgers: 39%10 Aug, Los Angeles Dodgers: 40%17 Aug, Los Angeles Dodgers: 34%24 Aug, Los Angeles Dodgers: 33%31 Aug, Los Angeles Dodgers: 31%7 Sep, Los Angeles Dodgers: 33%14 Sep, Los Angeles Dodgers: 32%21 Sep, Los Angeles Dodgers: 31%28 Sep, Los Angeles Dodgers: 30%5 Oct, Los Angeles Dodgers: 37%12 Oct, Los Angeles Dodgers: 43%19 Oct, Los Angeles Dodgers: 6.5%26 Jan, Tampa Bay Rays: 2.4%2 Feb, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.8%9 Feb, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.4%16 Feb, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.6%23 Feb, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.6%2 Mar, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.6%9 Mar, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.6%16 Mar, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.8%23 Mar, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.8%30 Mar, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.9%6 Apr, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.7%13 Apr, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.8%20 Apr, Tampa Bay Rays: 0.8%27 Apr, Tampa Bay Rays: 1.6%4 May, Tampa Bay Rays: 1.9%11 May, Tampa Bay Rays: 3.1%18 May, Tampa Bay Rays: 3.9%25 May, Tampa Bay Rays: 5.7%1 Jun, Tampa Bay Rays: 4.2%8 Jun, Tampa Bay Rays: 3.7%15 Jun, Tampa Bay Rays: 3.6%22 Jun, Tampa Bay Rays: 3.1%29 Jun, Tampa Bay Rays: 3.4%6 Jul, Tampa Bay Rays: 5.6%13 Jul, Tampa Bay Rays: 5.4%20 Jul, Tampa Bay Rays: 5%27 Jul, Tampa Bay Rays: 5.4%3 Aug, Tampa Bay Rays: 5.4%10 Aug, Tampa Bay Rays: 7.9%17 Aug, Tampa Bay Rays: 7.7%24 Aug, Tampa Bay Rays: 7.2%31 Aug, Tampa Bay Rays: 7.4%7 Sep, Tampa Bay Rays: 8.2%14 Sep, Tampa Bay Rays: 9.2%21 Sep, Tampa Bay Rays: 9.6%28 Sep, Tampa Bay Rays: 11%5 Oct, Tampa Bay Rays: 12%12 Oct, Tampa Bay Rays: 22%19 Oct, Tampa Bay Rays: 31%26 Jan, Cleveland Guardians: 3.1%2 Feb, Cleveland Guardians: 2%9 Feb, Cleveland Guardians: 1.3%16 Feb, Cleveland Guardians: 1.1%23 Feb, Cleveland Guardians: 1.1%2 Mar, Cleveland Guardians: 1.1%9 Mar, Cleveland Guardians: 1.5%16 Mar, Cleveland Guardians: 1.2%23 Mar, Cleveland Guardians: 1%30 Mar, Cleveland Guardians: 1.1%6 Apr, Cleveland Guardians: 1.3%13 Apr, Cleveland Guardians: 1.5%20 Apr, Cleveland Guardians: 1.5%27 Apr, Cleveland Guardians: 2.4%4 May, Cleveland Guardians: 2.2%11 May, Cleveland Guardians: 2%18 May, Cleveland Guardians: 2.2%25 May, Cleveland Guardians: 4%1 Jun, Cleveland Guardians: 3.8%8 Jun, Cleveland Guardians: 3.1%15 Jun, Cleveland Guardians: 3.2%22 Jun, Cleveland Guardians: 2.8%29 Jun, Cleveland Guardians: 2.4%6 Jul, Cleveland Guardians: 2.2%13 Jul, Cleveland Guardians: 2.1%20 Jul, Cleveland Guardians: 2.4%27 Jul, Cleveland Guardians: 2.9%3 Aug, Cleveland Guardians: 1.2%10 Aug, Cleveland Guardians: 1.1%17 Aug, Cleveland Guardians: 0.7%24 Aug, Cleveland Guardians: 1.2%31 Aug, Cleveland Guardians: 1.8%7 Sep, Cleveland Guardians: 1.9%14 Sep, Cleveland Guardians: 2.6%21 Sep, Cleveland Guardians: 3.6%28 Sep, Cleveland Guardians: 5.5%5 Oct, Cleveland Guardians: 4.5%12 Oct, Cleveland Guardians: 9.6%19 Oct, Cleveland Guardians: 6.1%26 Jan9 Mar20 Apr1 Jun13 Jul24 Aug5 Oct

The Dodgers line ends near zero after the sweep; a closed market keeps its last price.

Chart: Vultax Research

Show the numbers
2026 World Series champion price, four teams. Polymarket, Monday readings, 26 January to 19 October 2026. Percent. Values in %.
PointMilwaukee BrewersLos Angeles DodgersTampa Bay RaysCleveland Guardians
26 Jan2%28%2.4%3.1%
2 Feb2.1%23%0.8%2%
9 Feb1.9%24%0.4%1.3%
16 Feb2.5%26%0.6%1.1%
23 Feb2.8%24%0.6%1.1%
2 Mar2%28%0.6%1.1%
9 Mar1.9%29%0.6%1.5%
16 Mar1.8%29%0.8%1.2%
23 Mar2.5%28%0.8%1%
30 Mar3.4%26%0.9%1.1%
6 Apr3.1%27%0.7%1.3%
13 Apr2.9%28%0.8%1.5%
20 Apr2.8%30%0.8%1.5%
27 Apr2.3%30%1.6%2.4%
4 May3.6%29%1.9%2.2%
11 May3.1%27%3.1%2%
18 May3.8%26%3.9%2.2%
25 May5.2%26%5.7%4%
1 Jun5%26%4.2%3.8%
8 Jun4.6%30%3.7%3.1%
15 Jun5.5%29%3.6%3.2%
22 Jun7.6%29%3.1%2.8%
29 Jun8.4%30%3.4%2.4%
6 Jul10%29%5.6%2.2%
13 Jul9.6%29%5.4%2.1%
20 Jul8.9%30%5%2.4%
27 Jul9%34%5.4%2.9%
3 Aug9.5%39%5.4%1.2%
10 Aug8.3%40%7.9%1.1%
17 Aug8.5%34%7.7%0.7%
24 Aug12%33%7.2%1.2%
31 Aug13%31%7.4%1.8%
7 Sep13%33%8.2%1.9%
14 Sep16%32%9.2%2.6%
21 Sep15%31%9.6%3.6%
28 Sep16%30%11%5.5%
5 Oct23%37%12%4.5%
12 Oct26%43%22%9.6%
19 Oct63%6.5%31%6.1%

Download chart figures:CSVJSON with sources

2025: the Game 7 the Dodgers won from 10.5%

The Dodgers were 69.0% before Game 1 in Toronto. The price then moved with every game: down after the Blue Jays won Game 1, up after Games 2 and 3, down to 32.5% after Toronto won Games 4 and 5, back to 56.5% after Game 6.

In Game 7 the Dodgers were 56.5% at 00:00 UTC. At 03:14 UTC they were 10.5%, with the Blue Jays at 89.7%. They won 5–4 in 11 innings, and their price reached 99% at 04:18 UTC.

Dodgers and Blue Jays during Game 7 of the 2025 World Series

Polymarket series price, every 5 minutes, 00:00 to 04:25 UTC on 2 November 2025. Percent.

  • Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Toronto Blue Jays
Dodgers and Blue Jays during Game 7 of the 2025 World Series. Los Angeles Dodgers: 00:00 57%, 00:05 57%, 00:10 55%, 00:15 56%, 00:20 52%, 00:25 49%, 00:30 56%, 00:35 48%, 00:40 46%, 00:45 47%, 00:50 51%, 00:55 48%, 01:00 46%, 01:05 20%, 01:10 22%, 01:15 29%, 01:20 32%, 01:25 28%, 01:30 24%, 01:35 24%, 01:40 26%, 01:45 30%, 01:50 23%, 01:55 23%, 02:00 25%, 02:05 38%, 02:10 34%, 02:15 30%, 02:20 26%, 02:25 21%, 02:30 30%, 02:35 14%, 02:40 18%, 02:45 17%, 02:50 18%, 02:55 15%, 03:00 14%, 03:05 16%, 03:10 21%, 03:15 11%, 03:20 44%, 03:25 42%, 03:30 44%, 03:35 21%, 03:40 52%, 03:45 52%, 03:50 60%, 03:55 41%, 04:00 43%, 04:05 56%, 04:10 78%, 04:15 62%, 04:20 100%, 04:25 100%. Toronto Blue Jays: 00:00 44%, 00:05 44%, 00:10 45%, 00:15 45%, 00:20 46%, 00:25 52%, 00:30 45%, 00:35 53%, 00:40 55%, 00:45 54%, 00:50 49%, 00:55 53%, 01:00 53%, 01:05 81%, 01:10 79%, 01:15 72%, 01:20 69%, 01:25 71%, 01:30 77%, 01:35 77%, 01:40 74%, 01:45 71%, 01:50 78%, 01:55 78%, 02:00 76%, 02:05 63%, 02:10 66%, 02:15 70%, 02:20 74%, 02:25 80%, 02:30 69%, 02:35 86%, 02:40 84%, 02:45 83%, 02:50 82%, 02:55 85%, 03:00 86%, 03:05 85%, 03:10 80%, 03:15 90%, 03:20 57%, 03:25 58%, 03:30 57%, 03:35 79%, 03:40 47%, 03:45 49%, 03:50 41%, 03:55 58%, 04:00 56%, 04:05 44%, 04:10 21%, 04:15 34%, 04:20 0.1%, 04:25 0.1%. Marked: 03:14 Dodgers low: 10.5%0%25%50%75%100%03:14 Dodgers low00:00, Los Angeles Dodgers: 57%00:05, Los Angeles Dodgers: 57%00:10, Los Angeles Dodgers: 55%00:15, Los Angeles Dodgers: 56%00:20, Los Angeles Dodgers: 52%00:25, Los Angeles Dodgers: 49%00:30, Los Angeles Dodgers: 56%00:35, Los Angeles Dodgers: 48%00:40, Los Angeles Dodgers: 46%00:45, Los Angeles Dodgers: 47%00:50, Los Angeles Dodgers: 51%00:55, Los Angeles Dodgers: 48%01:00, Los Angeles Dodgers: 46%01:05, Los Angeles Dodgers: 20%01:10, Los Angeles Dodgers: 22%01:15, Los Angeles Dodgers: 29%01:20, Los Angeles Dodgers: 32%01:25, Los Angeles Dodgers: 28%01:30, Los Angeles Dodgers: 24%01:35, Los Angeles Dodgers: 24%01:40, Los Angeles Dodgers: 26%01:45, Los Angeles Dodgers: 30%01:50, Los Angeles Dodgers: 23%01:55, Los Angeles Dodgers: 23%02:00, Los Angeles Dodgers: 25%02:05, Los Angeles Dodgers: 38%02:10, Los Angeles Dodgers: 34%02:15, Los Angeles Dodgers: 30%02:20, Los Angeles Dodgers: 26%02:25, Los Angeles Dodgers: 21%02:30, Los Angeles Dodgers: 30%02:35, Los Angeles Dodgers: 14%02:40, Los Angeles Dodgers: 18%02:45, Los Angeles Dodgers: 17%02:50, Los Angeles Dodgers: 18%02:55, Los Angeles Dodgers: 15%03:00, Los Angeles Dodgers: 14%03:05, Los Angeles Dodgers: 16%03:10, Los Angeles Dodgers: 21%03:15, Los Angeles Dodgers: 11%03:20, Los Angeles Dodgers: 44%03:25, Los Angeles Dodgers: 42%03:30, Los Angeles Dodgers: 44%03:35, Los Angeles Dodgers: 21%03:40, Los Angeles Dodgers: 52%03:45, Los Angeles Dodgers: 52%03:50, Los Angeles Dodgers: 60%03:55, Los Angeles Dodgers: 41%04:00, Los Angeles Dodgers: 43%04:05, Los Angeles Dodgers: 56%04:10, Los Angeles Dodgers: 78%04:15, Los Angeles Dodgers: 62%04:20, Los Angeles Dodgers: 100%04:25, Los Angeles Dodgers: 100%100%00:00, Toronto Blue Jays: 44%00:05, Toronto Blue Jays: 44%00:10, Toronto Blue Jays: 45%00:15, Toronto Blue Jays: 45%00:20, Toronto Blue Jays: 46%00:25, Toronto Blue Jays: 52%00:30, Toronto Blue Jays: 45%00:35, Toronto Blue Jays: 53%00:40, Toronto Blue Jays: 55%00:45, Toronto Blue Jays: 54%00:50, Toronto Blue Jays: 49%00:55, Toronto Blue Jays: 53%01:00, Toronto Blue Jays: 53%01:05, Toronto Blue Jays: 81%01:10, Toronto Blue Jays: 79%01:15, Toronto Blue Jays: 72%01:20, Toronto Blue Jays: 69%01:25, Toronto Blue Jays: 71%01:30, Toronto Blue Jays: 77%01:35, Toronto Blue Jays: 77%01:40, Toronto Blue Jays: 74%01:45, Toronto Blue Jays: 71%01:50, Toronto Blue Jays: 78%01:55, Toronto Blue Jays: 78%02:00, Toronto Blue Jays: 76%02:05, Toronto Blue Jays: 63%02:10, Toronto Blue Jays: 66%02:15, Toronto Blue Jays: 70%02:20, Toronto Blue Jays: 74%02:25, Toronto Blue Jays: 80%02:30, Toronto Blue Jays: 69%02:35, Toronto Blue Jays: 86%02:40, Toronto Blue Jays: 84%02:45, Toronto Blue Jays: 83%02:50, Toronto Blue Jays: 82%02:55, Toronto Blue Jays: 85%03:00, Toronto Blue Jays: 86%03:05, Toronto Blue Jays: 85%03:10, Toronto Blue Jays: 80%03:15, Toronto Blue Jays: 90%03:20, Toronto Blue Jays: 57%03:25, Toronto Blue Jays: 58%03:30, Toronto Blue Jays: 57%03:35, Toronto Blue Jays: 79%03:40, Toronto Blue Jays: 47%03:45, Toronto Blue Jays: 49%03:50, Toronto Blue Jays: 41%03:55, Toronto Blue Jays: 58%04:00, Toronto Blue Jays: 56%04:05, Toronto Blue Jays: 44%04:10, Toronto Blue Jays: 21%04:15, Toronto Blue Jays: 34%04:20, Toronto Blue Jays: 0.1%04:25, Toronto Blue Jays: 0.1%00:0002:0004:00

Times are UTC; the game started on the evening of 1 November in Toronto.

Chart: Vultax Research

Show the numbers
Dodgers and Blue Jays during Game 7 of the 2025 World Series. Polymarket series price, every 5 minutes, 00:00 to 04:25 UTC on 2 November 2025. Percent. Values in %.
PointLos Angeles DodgersToronto Blue Jays
00:0057%44%
00:0557%44%
00:1055%45%
00:1556%45%
00:2052%46%
00:2549%52%
00:3056%45%
00:3548%53%
00:4046%55%
00:4547%54%
00:5051%49%
00:5548%53%
01:0046%53%
01:0520%81%
01:1022%79%
01:1529%72%
01:2032%69%
01:2528%71%
01:3024%77%
01:3524%77%
01:4026%74%
01:4530%71%
01:5023%78%
01:5523%78%
02:0025%76%
02:0538%63%
02:1034%66%
02:1530%70%
02:2026%74%
02:2521%80%
02:3030%69%
02:3514%86%
02:4018%84%
02:4517%83%
02:5018%82%
02:5515%85%
03:0014%86%
03:0516%85%
03:1021%80%
03:1511%90%
03:2044%57%
03:2542%58%
03:3044%57%
03:3521%79%
03:4052%47%
03:4552%49%
03:5060%41%
03:5541%58%
04:0043%56%
04:0556%44%
04:1078%21%
04:1562%34%
04:20100%0.1%
04:25100%0.1%
Polymarket series prices before Game 1 (22:00 UTC on 24 October) and at 12:00 UTC on the day after each game. Results from the series record.
AfterResultDodgersBlue Jays
Before Game 1Series starts69.0%31.1%
Game 1, 24 OctBlue Jays 11–454.5%46.0%
Game 2, 25 OctDodgers 5–168.5%31.7%
Game 3, 27 OctDodgers 6–5 in 18 innings79.5%20.0%
Game 4, 28 OctBlue Jays 6–263.5%36.5%
Game 5, 29 OctBlue Jays 6–132.5%67.3%
Game 6, 31 OctDodgers 3–156.5%43.8%
Game 7, 1 NovDodgers 5–4 in 11 inningsWonLost

Download table figures:CSVJSON with sources

Download chart figures:CSVJSON with sources

2024: the favourite from the first week

Polymarket's 2024 market opened in late August with the Dodgers on top at 20.0%. They led on 55 of its 65 days and were 54.0% against the Yankees' 46.0% before Game 1.

Their lowest point came in that first game, 43.0% at 02:16 UTC on 26 October; they won it and the series in five. The price reached 99% at 03:52 UTC on 31 October.

The favourite at each stage

In both finished years the team on top at the start won. Two seasons are too few for a rate, and the 2026 favourite at the start did not reach the final.

The start is the market's third day of prices: 30 August 2024, 1 March 2025 and 24 January 2026. Before Game 1 is 22:00 UTC on the day of the opener; for 2026, 12:00 UTC on 20 October 2026.
SeasonFavourite at the startFavourite before Game 1Champion
2024Dodgers 20.0%Dodgers 54.0%Dodgers
2025Dodgers 24.0%Dodgers 69.0%Dodgers
2026Dodgers 27.0%Brewers 62.1%, 20 OctNot decided

Download table figures:CSVJSON with sources

How to read a World Series price

The same reading, what a price did before a result, is applied to award markets in our Ballon d'Or study.

  • A series price is the chance to win four games, not the next one. 62.1% for the Brewers means the market expects them to lose the series about 4 times in 10.
  • One game moves the series price a long way. In 2025 a single loss took the Dodgers from 63.5% to 32.5%.
  • Before the pennant is settled, a champion price mixes two questions: who reaches the final and who wins it. Dividing by the pennant price separates them.
  • A closed market keeps its last price. A team that is out shows a small number, not zero, until the market settles.

Method and limits

Prices are Polymarket's Yes prices from its public price-history API: minute values for the 2024 and 2025 World Series and for 19 and 20 October 2026, daily values for everything else. A team leads on a day when it has the highest daily price.

The head-to-head figures divide two prices from separate markets; their sum does not have to be exactly 100%, so treat them as approximate. Game results come from the series record, not from the market.

This page will be updated after the World Series. It reads public prices; it is not a forecast by Vultax and not advice to trade.

Downloads contain the published study figures. Changing market widgets are separate. Use Vultax research with an AI assistant. Press note.

Questions this page answers

Who is favoured to win the 2026 World Series?
The Milwaukee Brewers, at 62.1% on Polymarket at 12:00 UTC on 20 October 2026, against 37.7% for the Tampa Bay Rays.
Who won the 2026 American League pennant?
The Tampa Bay Rays. They beat the Cleveland Guardians 7–3 in Game 6 on 19 October to take the series 4–2. At 13:00 UTC on 19 October, before Game 6, Polymarket had the Rays at 80.6% to win the pennant.
When does the 2026 World Series start?
Game 1 is on Friday 23 October 2026 at the Brewers' ballpark in Milwaukee, against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Brewers host the first two games because they had the better regular-season record.
What were the Dodgers' lowest odds in Game 7 of the 2025 World Series?
10.5% on Polymarket at 03:14 UTC on 2 November 2025, with the Blue Jays at 89.7%. The Dodgers won 5–4 in 11 innings.
Did the Polymarket favourite win the last two World Series?
Yes. The Dodgers were favoured from the start in 2024 and 2025 and won both. In 2026 they led the market on 264 of 271 days and were swept in the National League series.

Revision notes

This page is kept current. Each entry records what changed and when; the live figures above refresh on their own.

  • Published before Game 1, with Polymarket's prices read at 12:00 UTC on 20 October 2026, after the Rays won the American League pennant.

Sources and evidence

A reading of public market prices at the stated times, not a forecast by Vultax and not advice to trade.

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