Worlds 2026 Final Odds: Polymarket Gives Gen.G 62.5% Against Bilibili Gaming

Gen.G and Bilibili Gaming (BLG) meet in the League of Legends World Championship final on Saturday 14 November at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York (Wikipedia). The best of five starts at 14:00 New York time, 19:00 UTC: 11:00 in Los Angeles, 16:00 in São Paulo, 19:00 in London, 20:00 in Paris and Berlin, and 03:00 on Sunday in Beijing and 04:00 in Seoul.

At 18:00 UTC on 9 November, Polymarket gave Gen.G a 62.5% chance of winning Worlds 2026 and BLG 37.4%. Its market on the final itself had Gen.G at 62.5%. About $14.1 million has traded on the winner market since it opened on 10 September, and about $290,000 on the final before a game has been played.

The market also expects a long night. It gives four or five games 72.5%, against 27.5% for a 3-0 sweep either way. Korea's league, the LCK, is 62.5% to take the title from China's LPL, the same split as the two teams, since each league has one finalist left. The Vultax esports room follows both markets live through the final.

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Gen.G won its three Swiss-stage series in Los Angeles, against Invictus Gaming, Hanwha Life Esports and LYON, dropping one game to LYON. In the knockout stage in Allen, Texas, it swept LYON and Invictus Gaming 3-0. Polymarket had it as the favourite before all five series, from 59% against Hanwha Life to 92% against LYON.

It has been the favourite in the winner market every day since 13 September; only the first three days after it opened on 10 September had another leader (BLG, then Hanwha Life). Its price rose from 32% on 15 October, as the play-in began, to 46.5% at the end of the Swiss stage and 62.5% on 9 November.

BLG took the long way. It lost its first Swiss-stage game to Movistar KOI, a best of one in which Polymarket had made it an 81% favourite, and later lost a best of three to Top Esports at 76%. With two wins and two losses it had to beat Hanwha Life Esports on 31 October to stay in. That afternoon, its price to win Worlds fell to 4.5%.

It won 2-0 as the underdog, priced at 42% before the series, then swept Dplus KIA 3-0 in the quarterfinal and beat T1 3-1 in the semifinal on 8 November. About $30.3 million traded on that semifinal, more than on any other series of the tournament.

Polymarket runs a market on the winner of every series. In the six best-of-five knockout series in Allen, the team priced above 50% an hour before the start won all six, from Invictus Gaming at 55% against Top Esports to Gen.G at 92% against LYON.

Favourites did worse in the Swiss stage, winning 20 of 33 series: 12 of the 20 best of ones and 8 of the 13 best of threes. The biggest upset came in the play-in, where FURIA beat Cloud9 with Cloud9 at 84%, and BLG lost twice as a favourite of 76% or more. Across all 45 series so far, play-in included, the favourite has won 29.

A longer series gives the stronger team more room, which fits that record. Six knockout series are still a small sample.

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T1 won the last three Worlds, in 2023, 2024 and 2025, and BLG ended that run in the semifinal. In 2024 BLG lost the final to T1 3-2 at The O2 Arena in London (Wikipedia).

Gen.G lost in the semifinals in each of the last two years, 1-3 to T1 in 2024 and 1-3 to KT Rolster in 2025 (Wikipedia). Last year it was an even bigger favourite than it is now: 66.5% to win Worlds on the morning of that semifinal in Chengdu (Polymarket). T1, at 12% a week earlier, took the title. Its first roster came from Samsung Galaxy, the 2017 world champions, and it won the Mid-Season Invitational in 2024 and 2025, but it has never won Worlds as Gen.G (Wikipedia). Whichever team lifts the trophy on Saturday wins its first Worlds under its current name.

Each price is the last value at or before 18:00 UTC on 9 November 2026 in Polymarket's public price history, for the Worlds 2026: Winner market, the market on the final, its games-total market and the Worlds 2026 Winning Region market. The chart uses Polymarket's daily readings at 00:00 UTC, with the previous value carried over the two days the daily series skips; BLG's low on 31 October is from the hourly history.

The favourite in a series is the team priced above 50% in that series' market one hour before the scheduled start; the winner is how the market settled, checked against the results on Wikipedia. Polymarket's esports markets are among its thinnest, as our sports and esports study found, and these are market prices, not a forecast by Vultax.